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Friday, 3 January 2014

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 2 January 2014, Thursday, 11.59pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
2 January 2014, Thursday, 11.59pm Singapore Time
The Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
2 January 2014, Thursday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -8.147 to -8.556 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Hands' Puts Holdings on hand changed from -3.753 to -4.174 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ First trading day of 2014:
+ Markets worldwide welcome 2014 with bad sell-offs as per warned on 31 Dec 2013. 
+ Big Hands are dual shorts for a third consecutive day: Bearish.
+ Big Hands increased Shorts today.
+ Big Hands increased Puts today.
Big Hands, Smart Money and Market-Movers are very persistently shorts in November and December of 2013: be highly cautious.
+ Big Hands are also persistently bearish Puts in November and December of 2013.
+ Puts remain as speculative and non-protective.
+ World markets had used Dow Jones Industrial Average for algorithmic/high frequency trading trigger of sell-downs as per warned beforehand, i.e. DJIA around 16600 points to trigger the next wave of resumption in down-move.
+ Worldwide markets are still bearish biased.
+ Mid Term Corrections worldwide expected to resume in January 2014 (no change in stand).
+ Shortists should short on any technical rebounds, where rebounds remain merely for selling at good prices.
+ Hot Money and Smart Money had rotated away from Equities-Stocks and Bond Market into the Metals Market.

+ Timeframe of worldwide selling: Tentatively projected to last until February 2014.

+ Financial Markets worldwide are officially entering into critical stage from November 2013 to early 2014 (Tally with all your index charts, they are all at critical multi-year resistances).

+ Note that there was unusual unloading volume in SPDR Morgan Stanley Technology Index ETF (read for implications on NASDAQ and World Markets):

+ The following are the short-mid term sell-off correction targets as per analysed since 7 weeks ago with some new updates:
(you might like to refer to the accompanying detailed analysis links attached too):

1. Malaysian FKLI: 
1,790 points and a whipsaw just below 1790 points as first target. ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 12 NOV 2013
breakdown of 1780 points as second target  ---> SECOND TARGET HIT ON 13 NOV 2013
1776 points as third target
breakdown of 1776 points as forth target

2. Hong Kong Hang Seng Index: 
22,770 points as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 8 NOV 2013
21604.4 points as third target

3. India NIFTY Index:
6001 points as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 21 NOV 2013

4. UK FTSE100: 
6500-6550 points ---> TARGET HIT ON 3 DEC 2013

5. Germany DAX: 
8700-8750 points

8. US NASDAQ Composite: 
3700 points

2930-2950 points ---> TARGET HIT ON 12 DEC 2013

10. Dow Jones Industrial Index (DJIA):
14750 points as first target
breakdown of 14750 points as second target

11. EURUSD: 
1.34000 ---> TARGET HIT ON 7 NOV 2013 
12. GBPUSD: 
1.59000 as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT TWICE IN NOV 2013
1.57000-1.57500 as second target

13. NZDUSD: 
0.81000 ---> TARGET HIT ON 29 NOV 2013

14. AUD, NZD, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD, CHF will generally be weak until the corrections end. 

15. Euronext Brussels Bel20 Index:
2740-2780 points as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 6 DEC 2013
2600-2632 points as second target

16. Singapore Straits Times Index (STI):
2600 points as target

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

The depth of this anticipated short-mid term sell off will reveal clearer skies and whether previous long term outlook still hold.

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.

Donovan Norfolk Ang

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  1. Could you share your expert views on Australia commodities business with China ?
    If China economy goes down, wouldnt it affect the demand for commodities from Australia ?

    saw the aud/usd day chart, seems that AUD is slowly recovering and may rebound.
    Please help to connect the missing link, thanks a lot

  2. UK FTSE - does it means once it reach the target of 6500 on 3 Dec and now went up to 6700, it may goes down again ? Can one still place a short on this index ?

    China & Nikkei Index - you did mentioned that HK will lead the Asia to a downfall followed by Europe and lastly US.
    Was wondering since you covered extensively on HSI, how about China index or Nikkei ? These are two major markets in Asia , will they have any impact or should we treat them as standalone ?

    Really appreciate your expert inputs, thanks a lot