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Showing posts with label Crude Palm Oil. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Crude Palm Oil. Show all posts

Monday, 18 June 2018

Crude Palm Oil: 18 June 2018, Monday, 12.12am Singapore Time

Crude Palm Oil: 
18 June 2018, Monday, 12.12am Singapore Time
(Click on Technical Chart above to Expand)

For those who are calling for financial markets to crash, and by induction commodity markets to crash as well, you will be disappointed to know that even Crude Palm Oil -- one of the weakest commodity asset class is finishing its winter and switching to spring as well. Crude Palm Oil is completing its correction soon. It is at the lower end of its Super-cyclic Standard Deviation from the mean. I expect it to end its correction around 2250 (limited downside), and from here target for 4000 in sync with worldwide commodities and stock market boom. My judgement of the financial markets is not affected by the noise that is currently on-going in the US' "supposed trade war tariffs" with its trading partners.


Tuesday, 23 January 2018

Sembcorp Marine, Keppel Corp and Implications for Worldwide Crude Oil and Energy Related Stocks (Includes Commodities and Shipping/Shipbuilding): 23 January 2018, Tuesday, 3.40pm Singapore Time

Sembcorp Marine, Keppel Corp and Implications for Worldwide Crude Oil and Energy Related Stocks (includes commodities and shipping/shipbuilding): 
23 January 2018, Tuesday, 3.40pm Singapore Time
(Click on Technical Chart above to Expand)

Attached is the technicals for Sembcorp Marine, a brother stock of Keppel Corp which is the largest oil-rig builder in the world. Sembcorp Marine and Keppel Corp are hence best indicators for crude oil demand in the world, especially that these 2 companies are highly sensitive to international market trends. Sembcorp Marine is used as analysis here as it is more eye-catching today.

Refer to all illustrations on chart: they highlight a lot of important information.

Sembcorp Marine has broken up large scale accumulation's resistances with deliberation, and that is to mean, all my live fore-warnings over the last 2 years on the secret buys by smart monies on crude oil stocks, crude oil related stocks, energy stocks, offshore oil and gas stocks and commodity stocks have completed. Markets will now proceed to super rally these kind of stocks worldwide, especially commodity stocks and crude oil (energy) stocks. 

Sembcorp Marine, Keppel Corp, crude oil stocks, crude oil related stocks, offshore oil and gas stocks, energy stocks and commodity stocks worldwide are jump-starting a whole new bull cycle, per my January 2018 forewarnings. This also means that shipping, shipbuilding and Baltic Dry Index worldwide had rock bottomed per my recent fore-warnings too because shipping, shipbuilding and Baltic Dry Index are tied up as a bundle to crude oil, crude oil related industries, offshore oil and gas, energy and commodities worldwide All these stocks will go multifold from +100% (large caps) to +1000% (small caps) with a mean of +500% profits (mid-caps) in upside.

The Donovan Norfolk Technical Rating:
Very Bullish
(Expected to rally for the rest of 2018 and into 2019)

Past Related Analyses (MUST READ IN DETAIL):


Thursday, 5 June 2014

Crude Palm Oil (CPO): 5 June 2014, Thursday, 4.15pm Singapore Time

On 31st August 2013, Donovan Norfolk Ang's Market Analysis for Crude Palm Oil was (I quote):
"1. short-mid term movement of FCPO will be very bullish in 2013 until the target 2750-3000 is to be hit
2. Movement from longing point of 2410 RM towards the 3000 RM represents a potential profit of +24.5% without leverage, and a profit potential of +245.0% with a 10x leverage.
3. Such a movement was consistent with worldwide funds flow analysis of all financial markets that Big Hands and Smart Monies were longing and buying for rebounds."

Refer:

All these long/buy targets had hit target with profits all taken off the table (triggered) and I had turned short/sell from the 3000 RM longs-profit-triggered target. After being bullish and making the big jackpot, I am turning short for the downside jackpot.

The following MONTHLY, WEEKLY AND DAILY Chart of Crude Palm Oil
shows you what is happening in the Crude Palm Oil markets as well as a display of all my track records.


Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Monthly Chart:
5 June 2014, Thursday, 4.15pm Singapore Time

Note that Crude Palm Oil is currently under long term suppression and is entrenched in a very long term bear market. A lot of resistances illustrated above, especially the Long Term Bear Market Enforcement Zone in LUMINOUS GREEN, is ensuring this very long term bearish downtrend.

A sufficiently powerful classical resistance as denoted by the three red "SUPPRESS" in the chart above is further capping the CPO market.

All palm oil commodities stocks to be suppressed.
refer as example recent palm oil commodities stocks' analyses:

Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Weekly Chart:
5 June 2014, Thursday, 4.15pm Singapore Time

CPO also has a long term distribution shoulder-head-shoulder as above. 
This entire formation means that 1720 will be tested as the next support, and that 1720 region will be hit. 
This represents a further heavy -26.9% downside from current point.


Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Daily Chart:
5 June 2014, Thursday, 4.15pm Singapore Time

The above illustrates the resumption of long term downtrend once the price satisfaction zone as determined in August 2013 was hit in March 2014.

From chart above, Crude Palm Oil is guaranteed to break down multi-year low of 2137RM for a new multi-year low.

Donovan Norfolk Ang Technical Rating:

Stocks expected to be bearish during this FCPO Technical Long Term Downtrend Resumption:
Very Bearish on Palm Oil Stocks such as 
Wilmar, Golden Agri, Kencana Agri, First Resources etc
Bearish also on commodities stocks in general.

Bearish also on AUDUSD and NZDUSD.
Bullish on USDCAD.
(That is, bearish on commodities currencies: Aussie Dollar, New Zealand Dollar and Canadian Dollar)


Donovan Norfolk Ang

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Saturday, 31 August 2013

Crude Palm Oil (FCPO): 31 August 2013, Saturday, 10.10pm Singapore Time

Crude Palm Oil (FCPO): 31 August 2013, Saturday, 10.10pm Singapore Time

Crude Palm Oil (FCPO)

Attached is the Technical Analysis of Crude Palm Oil (FCPO).

Crude Palm Oil (FCPO) has formed a solid mid-long term Longs/Buy Technical Accumulation and is currently executing a violent shake-out phase. Short-mid term movement of FCPO will be very bullish.

Judgement from Technicals is that FCPO is unlikely to be a false break-up as it would coincide with USD short-mid term correctional movements. Once the current backtest at 2360-2410 completes, FCPO will rocket strongly up towards the 3000 RM point for the ultimate bearish reversal.

Movement from current point of 2410 RM towards the 3000 RM represents a potential profit of +24.5% without leverage, and a profit potential of +245.0% with a 10x leverage.

Based on Technical Structure,

Long: $2410 (First Batch of Buys); $2390 (2nd Batch of Buys); $2360-2370 (Final Batch of Buys)

Target 1: $2750 (First Resistance), representing at least +340RM profit per contract longed.
Target 2: $3000 (Guaranteed Price Satisfaction), representing +590RM profit per contract longed.


This Technical Rebound is targeted to wipe out late shortists who do not have holding power to their shorts.
Take longs/buys/investment profits on FCPO/Crude Palm Oil/Crude Palm Oil Stocks when the above targets are hit.


Stocks expected to be bullish during this FCPO Technical Rebound:
Palm Oil Stocks such as 
Wilmar, Golden Agri, Kencana Agri, First Resources

Note that this movement up is a short-mid term dead cat bounce within a long term downtrend/downwave.


Side-Note:
Current Movement in this sector of commodities is consistent with my FFA Worldwide that Big Hands took all shorts profits on the international financial markets off the table already. Worldwide markets not bearish already. Also consistent with my stand that Gold will hit 1500-1550 for reversal back down.



Donovan's Market Analysis: