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Friday 28 June 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 28 June 2013, Friday, 2.55pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
28 June 2013, Friday, 2.55pm Singapore Time

Computed FFA For Worldwide Financial Markets

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are 5 minutes away from opening for trading while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 6 hours 35 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -10.00 to -2.962 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Puts Holdings changed from -6.868 to -6.280 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Big Hands took profits of substantially big chunks of their shorts.
+ Big dual buys today.
+ Big Hands, however, are still protecting themselves of any immediate term continued selling using Puts.
+ Short term bottoming in progress in worldwide markets.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ Many international markets will be testing bear-bull boundaries.
+ Some weak markets (e.g. Philippines, India, Korea etc) are getting into Bear Market Zones.
+ Strong markets (e.g. US, Singapore, Germany, etc) will hold the supports for now (their critical supports are being tested currently).
+ US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) will go on to make all time new highs from here
+ Emerging economies will make dead cat bounces.

In essence, there will be 3 groups of BIG MARKET MOVEMENTS from now:

1st Group (Weak Markets): 
Weak markets such as Korea, Philippines, Indonesia, Spain etc.
These markets already broke down critical supports which denote initial bear market stage; these will do dead cat bouncing back-tests (falling knife dead cat rebounds). 
Sell on rebounds.

2nd group (Mid-strength Markets): 
Singapore, Hong Kong, UK, France, etc
These markets will rebound off critical supports now (STI 2925-3065 pts, HSI 19000-19500 pts, FTSE-UK 5900-600 pts all analysed previously), with no breakdowns yet. Refer to all past technical analyses.
Ride, observe and be cautiously ready to sell.

3rd grp (Strong Markets): 
US Markets of S&P500, DJIA and NASDAQ.
These markets will make all time new highs and throw a big array of confusions to traders, investors and analysts. While US will go on to make all time new highs, weak markets' rebounds will confirm bear market and mid-strength markets may transit to bear market phase in this rebound.
Ride and observe and be cautious.


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.

Thursday 27 June 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 27 June 2013, Thursday, 8.50pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
27 June 2013, Thursday, 8.50pm Singapore Time

Computed FFA For Worldwide Financial Markets

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the 6th hour of trading while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 0 hours 40 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -9.724 to -10.00 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Puts Holdings changed from -7.577 to -6.868 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Increase in Shorts
+ Slight profit taking in Puts again.
+ Short term still bearish-biased.
+ Big Hands increased/maintained Shorts despite 1-2 days immediate term rebound with strong bullishness.
+ Big Hands still looking to plunge/sell-down the markets as of current standing.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ Many international markets will be testing bear-bull boundaries.
+ Some weak markets (e.g. Philippines, India, Korea etc) are getting into Bear Market Zones.
+ Strong markets (e.g. US, Singapore, Germany, etc) will hold the supports for now (their critical supports are being tested currently).
+ US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) will go on to make all time new highs from here
+ Emerging economies will make dead cat bounces.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.

Wednesday 26 June 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 26 June 2013, Wednesday, 2.50pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
26 June 2013, Wednesday, 2.50pm Singapore Time

Computed FFA For Worldwide Financial Markets

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are 10 minutes away from opening for trading while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 6 hours 40 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -10.00 to -9.724 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Puts Holdings changed from -7.904 to -7.577 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Slight profit takings in Shorts.
+ Slight profit taking in Puts.


Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ Many international markets will be testing bear-bull boundaries.
+ Some weak markets (e.g. Philippines, India, Korea etc) are getting into Bear Market Zones.
+ Strong markets (e.g. US, Singapore, Germany, etc) will hold the supports for now (their critical supports are being tested currently).
+ US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) will go on to make all time new highs from here
+ Emerging economies will make dead cat bounces.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions walked by Big Hands.

Tuesday 25 June 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 25 June 2013, Tuesday, 2.30pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
25 June 2013, Tuesday, 2.30pm Singapore Time

Computed FFA For Worldwide Financial Markets

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are 30 minutes away from opening for trading while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 7 hours 00 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -10.00 to -10.00 (no change) in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Puts Holdings changed from -7.904 to -8.479 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Short term sell down has not climaxed yet but is approaching and nearing towards climax.
+ Fear has begun to creep in but not full scale of fear yet.
+ Partial capitulation with weak holders starting to give up in the short term, but not full capitulation yet.
+ Main direction still bearish biased for the short term
+ Short term longs-killing-longs style of selling by retail investors/traders is taking place currently.


Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ Many international markets will be testing bear-bull boundaries.
+ Some weak markets (e.g. Philippines, India, Korea etc) are getting into Bear Market Zones.
+ Strong markets (e.g. US, Singapore, Germany, etc) will hold the supports for now (their critical supports are being tested currently).
+ US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) will go on to make all time new highs from here
+ Emerging economies will make dead cat bounces.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions walked by Big Hands.

Monday 24 June 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 24 June 2013, Monday, 5.15pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
24 June 2013, Monday, 5.30pm Singapore Time

Computed FFA For Worldwide Financial Markets

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the 3rd hour of trading while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 4 hours 15 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -9.527 to -10.00 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Puts Holdings changed from -6.990 to -7.904 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Short term sell down has not climaxed yet but is approaching and nearing towards climax.
+ Fear is creeping in.
+ No capitulation yet but weak holders have started to give up in the short term.
+ Main direction still bearish biased for the short-mid term
+ Short term longs-killing-longs style of selling by retail investors/traders is creeping in.


Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ Many international markets will be testing bear-bull boundaries.
+ Some weak markets are getting into Bear Market Zones.
+ There is now chances that a number of Asian markets will start falling into Bear Market Zones if this selling persists for the coming 1-2 weeks and markets execute the initial stage of longs-killing-longs trampling style of selling.


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions walked by Big Hands.

MSCI Korea (iShares Korea): 24 June 2013, Monday, 12.40am Singapore Time


MSCI Korea (iShares Korea): 24 June 2013, Monday, 12.40am Singapore Time

Korea enters Bear Market (A Warning to Asia and International Financial Markets)

Analysis Write-up has been published on DirectorsTalk, a renowned Financial Journal:
http://www.directorstalk.com/korea-enters-a-bear-market-technical-analysis-of-ishares-msci-korea/

Home:
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg

Friday 21 June 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 21 June 2013, Friday, 2.50 pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
21 June 2013, Friday, 2.50 pm Singapore Time

Computed FFA For Worldwide Financial Markets

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are 10 minutes away from opening for trading while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 6 hours 40 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -8.327 to -9.527 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Puts Holdings changed from -3.643 to -6.990 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Increase in Shorts despite markets doing immediate term rebound today
+ Relentless piling up of Puts persist
+ Dual increase in Shorts despite markets rebounding immediate term today
+ Intentions to carry out more market plunges persist
+ Main direction still strongly bearish biased for the short-mid term 
+ Sell down has not climaxed and there is still no fear created in the international financial markets yet
+ Main margin calls have not been triggered yet (i.e. the longs have still not trampled the longs yet)
+ No signs of capitulation
+ Many strong holders are holding on to hopes and so markets have more downside
+ The best recipe for a longs-killing-longs trampling style of selling has not happened yet, and when it happens, it will be nasty.
+ Expect more sell-down to continue in the days and weeks ahead.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ We are currently not in any bear market yet but many international markets are testing bear-bull zones boundaries soon.
+ There is now chances that a number of Asian markets will start falling into Bear Market Zones if this selling persists for the coming 1-2 weeks and markets execute the initial stage of longs-killing-longs trampling style of selling.


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions walked by Big Hands.