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Monday, 31 March 2014

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 31 March 2014, Monday, 2.45pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
31 March 2014, Monday, 2.45pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
31 March 2014, Monday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are 0 hour 15 minutes away from opening for trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 6 hours 45 minutes away from opening for trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +10.000 (Bearish Reversal Point) to +8.299 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Hands' Calls Holdings on hand changed from +3.788 to +4.266 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ 31st of March of 2014:
+ Worldwide Big Hands are no longer buying for the execution of Immediate Term Intradays' rebound (in the form of Intradays' Dead Cat Bounce); they are unloading stealthily again for the resumption of short-term, mid-term and long-term down-move.
+ Immediate-Term dead cat bounce is ending (short on this rebound).
+ All 3 Short-Term, Mid-Term and Long-Term trend outlooks remain in same direction of being bearish-biased and downtrend-biased.
+ Worldwide financial markets have been executing technical price discovery to confirm a bear market transition.
+ Long Term Investment Funds are also unloading now (selling off on technical rebounds).
+ In holistic consideration of the macro-analysis:

+ Financial Markets worldwide are generally in the following structures:
+ Immediate term: Technical Rebound Ending
+ Short term: Bearish Reversal (Reversal to Bearish) in execution
+ Mid term: Bearish
+ Long Term: Transition to Nascent Bear Markets

+ The short-term bearish reversal of March 2014 (refer Funds Flow Analysis Chart) is now a tentative confirmation that financial markets are attempting to transit to long term bear markets.
+ Markets are bearish-biased: short, sell and exit stocks & equities generally on opportunistic intraday technical rebounds.

This bearish reversal was warned ahead at the end of February 2014 and during the first 2 weeks of March 2014 just before FED Chairman Janet Yellen announced the raise in year-end 2015 interest rate expectations to 1%, above market consensus of 0.65%. 

Refer to these warnings before FED Chairman's rates announcement that is bearish for markets:
+ At FFA of +10.000 previously, the short term technical rebounds worldwide are confirming the birth of a new bear market, and these technical rebounds were meant to serve as noises to confuse the markets.
+ After the shorts have been squeezed in February 2014, the financial markets worldwide are to resume bleeding the longs and investment portfolios for the long term.
+ If one is generally still holding investment portfolios or longs in stocks and equities, one is expected to suffer further portfolio damages, a warning that was issued since November-December of 2013 based on totality analysis. 
+ Nascent long term bear market is coming sooner than one would expect and any immediate term rebounds are good opportunities to exit.

Side-Note:
Read all the hot money, smart money and capital exodus / capital flight articles located at the right hand column of this analysis site. They were in-depth analyses and painstakingly written to help you. I had put in much efforts in those quality articles and giving to you for free. 

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Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
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Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




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