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Wednesday, 12 February 2014

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 12 February 2014, Wednesday, 4.15pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
12 February 2014, Wednesday, 4.15pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
12 February 2014, Wednesday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are are in the first 15 minutes of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 6 hours 15 minutes away from opening for trading. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -4.958 to -3.315  in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Hands' Puts Holdings on hand changed from -2.239 to -1.460 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ 12th of February of 2014:
+ Big Hands are dual longs/buys for today.
+ Big Hands took profits of slight shorts holdings today for a second consecutive day with risk management purposes.
+ Big Hands still maintained shorts which are accumulated since November-December of 2013 as calculated.
+ Big Hands took profits of some bearish puts today too.
+ Note that Bearish Puts of the Big Hands were persistent since November-December of 2013 and were classified as Speculative ones.
+ Worldwide markets' execution of the immediate term technical rebound within a mid term downwave, as per warned previously, does not mean a buy, but were rather opportunities to sell/short/unload/exit on rebounds.
+ This immediate term rebound is ending soon, and should preferably end today.
+ Financial markets should still be looked upon as bearish-biased.
+ In essence, Big Hands are using immediate term technical rebounds to suck in naive Buying/Longs/Investment monies worldwide and wipe out weak shorts while they consolidate their Shorts.
+ Mid-term selling wave is still in progress: MORE SELL-DOWNS TO GO and is far from over.
+ Reiterate again that the market-movers and smart monies have been very persistent in their Shorts Holdings and Bearish Puts Holdings since November and December of 2013, and it was also warned at the end of 2013 that year 2014 would be welcomed with sharp market plunges worldwide. This worldwide sell-off is far from over.
+ Be extremely cautious of the stocks and equities markets worldwide.
+ Expect whipsaws and volatility.

In essence, carry on to sell/unload stocks and equities on rebounds, or SHORT on rebounds: run first, talk later.
+ To long is to counter-trend (reward is still there but will have to take the high risk associated with it).

+ In the mid term, the selling in worldwide stocks and equities markets is still far from over.
+ Stocks and equities worldwide are still expected to sell off broadly, unless the particular stock has very strong fundamentals to withstand any broad selling.
+ It took at least 2 months for the rainstorm clouds to accumulate, it follows that significant portfolio damages have to be effected by the selling in order for the rainstorm clouds to be dissipated.
+ The first wave of damage has already been effected.
+ Worldwide markets are expected to trigger the first real wave of margin calls to further hammer the financial markets.

+ Hot Money and Smart Money had, also per warned in December of 2013, rotated away from Equities, Stocks and Bonds into the Metals Market (Gold, Silver, Copper, etc).

+ Timeframe of worldwide selling: Tentatively projected to last until March/April 2014.

+ Note that there was also unusual unloading volumes in SPDR Morgan Stanley Technology Index ETF (read for implications on NASDAQ and World Markets) as warned on 29 Dec 2013:

Recent Analyses related to Emerging Markets:


(Banks in the 4 Major Financial Centres of the World used as Litmus: U.S, U.K, Singapore and Hong Kong)

+ The following are the mid term sell-off correction targets as per analysed since 11 weeks ago with updates:
(you might like to refer to the accompanying detailed analysis links attached too):

1a. Malaysian FKLI: 
1,790 points and a whipsaw just below 1790 points as first target. ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 12 NOV 2013
breakdown of 1780 points as second target  ---> SECOND TARGET HIT ON 13 NOV 2013
1776 points as third target ---> THIRD TARGET HIT ON 5 FEB 2014 TODAY
breakdown of 1776 points as forth target

1b. Malaysian KLCI:
Breakdown of 1728-1750 points band as target

2. Hong Kong Hang Seng Index: 
22,770 points as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 8 NOV 2013
22,000 points as second target ---> SECOND TARGET HIT ON 27 JAN 2014

3. India NIFTY Index:
6001 points as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 21 NOV 2013

4. UK FTSE100: 
6500-6550 points ---> TARGET HIT ON 3 DEC 2013

5. Germany DAX: 
8700-8750 points

8. US NASDAQ Composite: 
3700 points

2930-2950 points ---> TARGET HIT ON 12 DEC 2013

10. Dow Jones Industrial Index (DJIA):
14750 points as first target
breakdown of 14750 points as second target

11. Euronext Brussels Bel20 Index:
2740-2780 points as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 6 DEC 2013
2600-2632 points as second target

12. Singapore Straits Times Index (STI):
2600 points as target

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

Tentative Nascent Bear Market Worldwide.

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.

Donovan Norfolk Ang

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1 comment:

  1. Good to see some positive sign from chart. I haven't cut loss any of the stocks held since dec and I hope the uptrend begins by having more profit taking from short sell.