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Monday, 23 September 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 23 September 2013, Monday, 3.59 pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
23 September 2013, Monday, 3.59 pm Singapore Time

The Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
23 September 2013 Monday


Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the 1st hour of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 5 hours 31 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -0.003 to +3.185 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands have switched from Puts to Calls, changing from -3.402 to +1.759 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Very strong dual longs today by the Big Hands.
+ Per analysed last week, Big Hands' consolidations are expected to end this week.
+ Neutral consolidations is to end this week and rally to continue per warned.
+ Big Hands have not only longed again, they have unloaded all Puts in net.
+ Big Hands have also switched to Bullish Calls.
+ Big Hands are now Longs with a switch to Calls Options/Warrants.
+ This next wave of rally is to resume after current few days of consolidations in financial markets worldwide.
+ Previously the rally was expected to be for shorting purposes based on FFA interpretation. However, now the rally is no longer for shorting purposes and the nature of the rally is reverted back to a healthy one: one which has some more upside and for fierce pump-up. 
+ The nature of the rally has now switched back to one of a healthy rally.
+ Financial markets, commodities markets, Gold, Silver and Forex markets (AUD, EUR, CAD etc) still expected to have some more upside, and this upside is expected to be healthy.
+ Expectations are unchanged: FCPO 3000RM as target, Gold $1500-$1550 as target, Silver $30.00 as target, Golden Agri (Palm Oil Stock) S$0.60 as 1st target and S$0.74 as 2nd target, AUDUSD $0.96 as first target and $1.00 parity as 2nd target, USDJPY ¥83.54-¥84.00 as target, and final target: Stocks Worldwide and across the board to rally on overbought and on top of disbelief.

Summary as below:
* Rally expected in Crude Palm Oil, Crude Palm Oil stocks, Commodities, Gold, Silver.
* Corn will rebound to the targets for shorting as per mentioned previously: http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/search/label/Corn
* Strength still expected in AUDUSD.
* Strength still expected in EURUSD.
USDJPY expected to be bearish.
* Technical Rebounds expected in weak currencies such as Ringgit, Rupiah, SGD, Philippines Peso, Indian Rupee, Korean Won, HKD, Thai Baht, Russian Ruble, Middle-East currencies and currencies that were hammered in August 2013.
* World Markets to continue pushing up for Technical Rebounds when everyone is shorting and judging that we are at peak currently.

+ All major indices worldwide will continue to rally until I turn bearish.
+ This super rally will burn all LATE SHORTS out there who to tried to beat the markets judging that markets were toppish or peakish.
+ All LATE SHORTS out there internationally will die big time.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ Weak markets (e.g. Philippines, India, Korea etc) had entered into Bear Market Zones at high points previously.
+ Strong markets (e.g. US, Singapore, Germany, etc) had held on to critical supports temporarily and will attempt to bounce off these critical supports; these critical supports will get tested repeatedly (their critical supports are still being tested currently).
+ US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) will go on to make all time new highs while all other markets are still in support-turned-resistance testing modes.
+ Rebounds of emerging economies will merely be dead cat bounces.

In essence, there will be 3 groups of BIG MARKET MOVEMENTS from now:

1st Group (Weak Markets): 

Weak markets such as Korea KOSPI , Philippines, Indonesia, Spain IBEX etc.
These markets already broke down critical supports which denote initial bear market stage; these will do dead cat bouncing back-tests (falling knife dead cat rebounds). 
Sell on rebounds.

2nd group (Mid-strength Markets): 

Singapore STI, Hong Kong HSI, UK FTSE100, France CAC, Italy MIB, Spain etc
These markets will rebound off critical supports now (STI 2925-3065 pts, HSI 19000-19500 pts, FTSE-UK 5900-6000 pts as analysed previously), with no breakdowns yet. Refer to all past technical analyses.
Ride, observe and be cautiously ready to sell.

3rd grp (Strong Markets): 

US Markets of S&P500, DJIA and NASDAQ, German DAX as well as Malaysian KLCI
These markets may hover at all time new highs and throw a big array of confusions to traders, investors and analysts. While US hover around all time new highs, weak markets' rebounds will confirm bear market and mid-strength markets may transit to bear market phase in this rebound.
Ride and observe and be cautious.

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Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
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Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.



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