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Friday, 13 September 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 13 September 2013, Friday, 2.30pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
13 September 2013, Friday, 2.30pm Singapore Time


The Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
13 September 2013 Friday


Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are 30 minutes away from opening for trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 7 hours 00 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +2.955 to +1.405 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Puts Holdings changed from -4.480 to -4.705 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Dual sells for today
+ Big Hands still consolidating longs and puts holdings, still attempting to make this overall switch to longs a progressively healthy one.
+ Markets in consolidation mode but expect rally any time and bullish biased. 
+ Current State: Markets neutral now, with Big Hands on the slight longs/buying side, however, with persistent non-insignificant amount of puts protections against downside. However, still expect rally any time and bullish biased (refer to proprietary DNA-FFA Analysis Chart above)

Note: AUDUSD, EURUSD, commodities, gold, silver, stocks, indices and crude palm oil all expected to remain bullish. USDJPY expected to be bearish. No change in stand (refer to my turning point stand since 31 August 2013 Funds Flow Analysis).

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ Many international markets will be testing bear-bull boundaries after this short-mid term rebounds worldwide.
+ Weak markets (e.g. Philippines, India, Korea etc) are already entering into Bear Market Zones at high points.
+ Strong markets (e.g. US, Singapore, Germany, etc) had held on to critical supports temporarily and will attempt to bounce off these critical supports; these critical supports will get tested repeatedly (their critical supports are being tested currently).
+ US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) will go on to make all time new highs while all other markets are in precarious modes.
+ Rebounds of emerging economies will merely be dead cat bounces.

In essence, there will be 3 groups of BIG MARKET MOVEMENTS from now:

1st Group (Weak Markets): 

Weak markets such as Korea, Philippines, Indonesia, Spain etc.
These markets already broke down critical supports which denote initial bear market stage; these will do dead cat bouncing back-tests (falling knife dead cat rebounds). 
Sell on rebounds.

2nd group (Mid-strength Markets): 

Singapore, Hong Kong, UK, France, etc
These markets will rebound off critical supports now (STI 2925-3065 pts, HSI 19000-19500 pts, FTSE-UK 5900-6000 pts as analysed previously), with no breakdowns yet. Refer to all past technical analyses.
Ride, observe and be cautiously ready to sell.

3rd grp (Strong Markets): 

US Markets of S&P500, DJIA and NASDAQ, as well as Malaysian KLCI
These markets may hover at all time new highs and throw a big array of confusions to traders, investors and analysts. While US hover around all time new highs, weak markets' rebounds will confirm bear market and mid-strength markets may transit to bear market phase in this rebound.
Ride and observe and be cautious.

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Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
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Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




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