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Wednesday, 26 March 2014

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 26 March 2014, Wednesday, 7.50pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
26 March 2014, Wednesday, 7.50pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
26 March 2014, Wednesday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the first 3 hours 50 minutes of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 1 hour 40 minutes away from opening for trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +6.389 to +8.045 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. On the other front, Big Hands' Calls Holdings on hand changed from +1.436 to +1.852 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ 26th of March of 2014:
+ Worldwide Big Hands are dual longs today for the 3rd consecutive day and for executing Immediate Term Intradays' rebound (Intradays' Dead Cat Bounce).
+ However, all 3 Short-Term, Mid-Term and Long-Term trend outlook remains bearish-biased and downtrend-biased.
+ Big Hands' Bullish Calls continue to be at consolidating weakened positions.
+ Big Hands have strengthened intentions of switching to Bearish Puts.
+ In holistic consideration of the macro-analysis:

+ Financial Markets worldwide are generally in the following structures:
+ Immediate term: Technical Rebound
+ Short term: Bearish Reversal (Reversal to Bearishness) in execution
+ Mid term: Transition to or in the midst of Downtrend
+ Long Term: Transition to Nascent Bear Markets

+ The short-term bearish reversal of March 2014 (refer Funds Flow Analysis Chart) is now a tentative confirmation that financial markets are attempting to transit to long term bear markets now.
+ Markets are bearish-biased: short, sell and exit stocks & equities generally on opportunistic intraday technical rebounds.

This bearish reversal was warned ahead at the end of February 2014 and during the first 2 weeks of March 2014 just before FED Chairman Janet Yellen announced the raise in year-end 2015 interest rate expectations to 1%, above market consensus of 0.65%. 

Refer to these warnings before FED Chairman's rates announcement that is bearish for markets:
+ At FFA of +10.000 previously, the short term technical rebounds worldwide are confirming the birth of a new bear market, and these technical rebounds were meant to serve as noises to confuse the markets.
+ After the shorts have been squeezed in February 2014, the financial markets worldwide are to resume bleeding the longs and investment portfolios for the long term.
+ If one is generally still holding investment portfolios or longs in stocks and equities, one is expected to suffer further portfolio damages, a warning that was issued since November-December of 2013 based on totality analysis. 
+ Nascent long term bear market is coming sooner than one would expect and any immediate term rebounds are good opportunities to exit.

Side-Note:
Read all the hot money, smart money and capital exodus / capital flight articles located at the right hand column of this analysis site. They were in-depth analyses and painstakingly written to help you. I had put in much efforts in those quality articles and giving to you for free. 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




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Tuesday, 25 March 2014

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 25 March 2014, Tuesday, 7.40pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
25 March 2014, Tuesday, 7.40pm Singapore Time


Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
25 March 2014, Tuesday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the first 3 hour 40 minutes of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 1 hours 50 minutes away from opening for trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +4.270 to +6.389 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. On the other front, Big Hands' Calls Holdings on hand changed from +1.148 to +1.436 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ 25th of March of 2014:
+ Worldwide Big Hands are dual longs today for execution of 2nd consecutive day of Immediate Term Intra-day rebound.
+ However, Short Term, Mid Term and Long Term outlook remains bearish-biased.
+ Big Hands Bullish Calls are weakening.
+ Big Hands seem to also have strengthening intentions of switching to Bearish Puts
+ In consideration of the macro-analysis:

+ Financial Markets worldwide are generally in the following structures:
+ Immediate term: Technical Rebound
+ Short term: Bearish Reversal (Reversal to bearishness) in execution
+ Mid term: Transition to or in the midst of Downtrend
+ Long Term: Transition to Nascent Bear Market

+ The short-term bearish reversal of March 2014 (refer Funds Flow Analysis Chart) is now a tentative confirmation that worldwide financial markets are attempting to transit to long term bear markets.
+ Markets are bearish-biased: short, sell and exit stocks & equities generally on opportunistic intraday technical rebounds.

This bearish reversal was warned ahead at the end of February 2014 and during the first 2 weeks of March 2014 just before FED Chairman Janet Yellen announced the raise in year-end 2015 interest rate expectations to 1%, above market consensus of 0.65%. 

Refer to these warnings before FED Chairman's rates announcement that is bearish for markets:
+ At FFA of +10.000 previously, the short term technical rebounds worldwide are confirming the birth of a new bear market, and these technical rebounds were meant to serve as noises to confuse the markets.
+ After the shorts have been squeezed in February 2014, the financial markets worldwide are to resume bleeding the longs and investment portfolios for the long term.
+ If one is generally still holding investment portfolios or longs in stocks and equities, one is expected to suffer further portfolio damages, a warning that was issued since November-December of 2013 based on totality analysis. 
+ Nascent long term bear market is coming sooner than one would expect and any immediate term rebounds are good opportunities to exit.

Side-Note:
Read all the hot money, smart money and capital exodus / capital flight articles located at the right hand column of this analysis site. They were in-depth analyses and painstakingly written to help you. I had put in much efforts in those quality articles and giving to you for free. 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




Click "Share" on the Facebook icon at the bottom of this thread if you like it, or 
if you would like to start a discussion about it with friends on your Facebook Wall.

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Monday, 24 March 2014

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 24 March 2014, Monday, 5.15pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
24 March 2014, Monday, 5.15pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
24 March 2014, Monday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the first 1 hour 15 minutes of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 4 hours 15 minutes away from opening for trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +2.473 to +4.270 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. On the other front, Big Hands' Calls Holdings on hand changed from +1.109 to +1.148 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ 24th of March of 2014:
+ Worldwide Big Hands are dual longs today for execution of Immediate Term intra-day rebound.
+ However, Short Term remains bearish-biased.
+ In consideration of the macro-analysis:

+ Financial Markets worldwide are generally in the following structures:
+ Immediate term: Technical Rebound
+ Short term: Bearish Reversal (Reversal to bearishness) in execution
+ Mid term: Transition to or in the midst of Downtrend
+ Long Term: Transition to Nascent Bear Market

+ The short-term bearish reversal of March 2014 (refer Funds Flow Analysis Chart) is now a tentative confirmation that worldwide financial markets are attempting to transit to long term bear markets.
+ Markets are bearish-biased: short, sell and exit stocks & equities generally on opportunistic intraday technical rebounds.

This bearish reversal was warned ahead at the end of February 2014 and during the first 2 weeks of March 2014 just before FED Chairman Janet Yellen announced the raise in year-end 2015 interest rate expectations to 1%, above market consensus of 0.65%. 

Refer to these warnings before FED Chairman's rates announcement that is bearish for markets:
+ At FFA of +10.000 previously, the short term technical rebounds worldwide are confirming the birth of a new bear market, and these technical rebounds were meant to serve as noises to confuse the markets.
+ After the shorts have been squeezed in February 2014, the financial markets worldwide are to resume bleeding the longs and investment portfolios for the long term.
+ If one is generally still holding investment portfolios or longs in stocks and equities, one is expected to suffer further portfolio damages, a warning that was issued since November-December of 2013 based on totality analysis. 
+ Nascent long term bear market is coming sooner than one would expect and any immediate term rebounds are good opportunities to exit.

Side-Note:
Read all the hot money, smart money and capital exodus / capital flight articles located at the right hand column of this analysis site. They were in-depth analyses and painstakingly written to help you. I had put in much efforts in those quality articles and giving to you for free. 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




Click "Share" on the Facebook icon at the bottom of this thread if you like it, or 
if you would like to start a discussion about it with friends on your Facebook Wall.

Posted by at No comments:
Labels: ,

Friday, 21 March 2014

NASDAQ-100 : 21 March 2014, Friday, 10.30pm Singapore Time

NASDAQ-100 Technical Analysis: 21 March 2014, Friday, 10.30pm Singapore Time
Attached above is the technical analysis of the NASDAQ-100 Chart

As shown above, the 12-year secular bull market of 2002-2014 has finally reached its eventual price satisfaction point at 3635 points to end the bull market and initiate the start of a new bear market.

It is prudent for one to unload stocks and equities as a risk management SOP as the bull market has ended and a new bear market is underway.

The entire timeline of what is happening is as indicated in the chart above.

"Interest Rate-Unemployment Rate-Equities Market" Tripartite Relationship

The chart above is a supplement to the NASDAQ analysis (NASDAQ: leading indicator of US Markets), illustrating in full the "Interest Rate-Unemployment Rate-Equities Market" tripartite relationship and why the interest rate rise may produce different effects this time round due to the fact that circumstances are not normal since the 2008 financial crisis. Circumstances are not normal as already reflected by the flattened interest rates curve with respect to the decreasing unemployment rates. This is due to the massive deflationary pressures acting on the US economy since 2008. Under such abnormally deflationary circumstances, with toxic assets as inevitable by-products of the 2008 crisis which have not been fully purged out, a rise in interest rate easily stimulates the deflationary forces to rear its ugly head, and this is bearish for stocks, equities and commodities markets. Furthermore, the rise in interest rates is now on the premise of persistently high unemployment (above 6%). In addition, this 6% excludes the population who have already given up looking for jobs. 6% unemployment is a threshold support in classical trends analysis that is difficult to be improved upon, now made worse by the expected increase in rates. Unemployment rate is expected to be supported at 6% in the US labour market (The New Normal: see data charted above) and is expected to worsen from this threshold zone from 2014 onwards (refer to the series of BLACK & GREEN CIRCLES marked in the data chart as above for what is happening).

NASDAQ-100 Technical Analysis: 21 March 2014, Friday, 10.30pm Singapore Time
The next chart above is the detailed Elliot Wave count (A-B-C with internal 5-3-5) of the 12 year move from 795.4 points to the current 3676.4 points, bearing in mind that the price satisfaction for the 12-year move is 3635.0 points, a final upmove target that has already been achieved to end this bull market. NASDAQ, a leading indicator of US Markets (DJIA, S&P500, NASDAQ, Russell 2000 and Russell 3000) already have limited upside and tremendous downside risk, as with worldwide financial markets (refer to previous capital flight and smart money exodus proofs as highlighted in earlier analyses).

(Note that this is the NASDAQ-100 not the NASDAQ Composite, however, both are the same in characteristics).

Donovan Norfolk Ang Technical Rating:
Bearish
(Bearish also on all international stocks and equities)

Related:
(Capital flight/exodus from worldwide bank stocks)

(The Great Capital Flight of Emerging Markets)

(Straits Times Index as preview of World Markets)

(Straits Property Index as preview of World Property Markets)

Please share with your friends to alert them.

Click "Share" on the Facebook icon at the bottom of this thread if you like it, or 
if you would like to start a discussion about it with friends on your Facebook Wall.

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Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 21 March 2014, Friday, 5.30pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
21 March 2014, Friday, 5.30pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
21 March 2014, Friday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the first 1 hours 30 minutes of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 4 hour 00 minutes away from opening for trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +1.149 to +2.473 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. On the other front, Big Hands' Calls Holdings on hand changed from +1.277 to +1.109 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ 21st of March of 2014:
+ Worldwide Big Hands loaded slight longs today.
+ However Big Hands reduced Bullish Calls on hand and added some Bearish Puts.
+ In consideration of the Funds Flow Chart:
+ Short term Bearish Reversal for down-move in worldwide markets to continue to be executed as per warned early March 2014; Mid-long term Downtrend move to be resumed as per warned November-December of 2013.
+ This short-term bearish reversal point of March 2014 is now a tentative initial confirmation of transition to nascent bear markets in financial markets worldwide.
+ Markets are bearish-biased: short, sell and exit stocks & equities positions generally on opportunistic intraday technical rebounds.

This bearish reversal was warned ahead at the end of February 2014 and during the first 2 weeks of March 2014 just before FED Chairman Janet Yellen announced the raise in year-end 2015 interest rate expectations to 1%, above market consensus of 0.65%. 

Refer to these warnings before FED Chairman's rates announcement that is bearish for markets:
+ Financial Markets worldwide are generally in the following structures:
+ Immediate term: Bearish-biased
+ Short term: Bearish Reversal in execution
+ Mid term: Transition to or in the midst of Downtrend
+ Long Term: Transition to Nascent Bear Market

+ The short term technical rebounds of February 2014 are merely speculative dead cat bounces as warned beforehand.
+ At FFA of +10.000, the short term technical rebounds worldwide are confirming the birth of a new bear market, and these technical rebounds were meant to serve as noises to confuse the markets.
+ Now that after the shorts had been squeezed in February 2014, the financial markets worldwide are going to resume hammering the longs, buys and investment portfolios for the long term.
+ If one is generally still holding investment portfolios, longs or buys in stocks and equities markets, one is expected to suffer further portfolio damages again, a warning that was issued by Donovan Norfolk Ang since November-December of 2013 based on totality analysis of the financial markets. Nascent long term bear market is coming sooner than you expected and any immediate term rebounds are good opportunities to exit.

Side-Note:
Read all the hot money, smart money and capital exodus / capital flight articles located at the right hand column of this analysis site. They were extremely in-depth and painstakingly written to help you. I had put in much efforts in those quality analysis articles and giving to you for free. 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




Click "Share" on the Facebook icon at the bottom of this thread if you like it, or 
if you would like to start a discussion about it with friends on your Facebook Wall.

Posted by at No comments:
Labels: ,
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