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Thursday, 21 May 2015

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 21 May 2015, Thursday, 11.56pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
21 May 2015, Thursday, 11.56pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
21 May 2015, Thursday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

US markets (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ) are in the first 02 hours and 26 minutes of trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Money have changed from -10.000 to -10.000 (Maximum Shorts) in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Monies' Bullish Calls on hand changed from +0.373 to +0.328 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator.  

Big Money Aggregate Strength (posture) in holdings changed from -4.814 to -4.836 in strength (Smart Monies are Moderate Shorts in Aggregated Holdings and consolidating their shorts)


Broad Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

In the financial markets worldwide today:

+ Worldwide Big Monies maintained shorts at maximum levels.
+ Worldwide Big Monies unloaded slight protective calls.
+ Big Monies are consolidating their shorts for a 2nd trading day; this is very bearish in nature.
+ Every immediate rebound is now a sell and get out.
+ Smart Monies are Moderate Shorts in Aggregated Holdings and have been consolidating their shorts recently.
+ LEADING INDICATOR: Short-mid term escape wave rallies of 1st half of 2015 have ended, with Smart Monies switching to shorts holdings. The shorts come at a time of worldwide short and mid term market-tops.
+ Market True Peaks and Bear Markets may be on the way to getting double confirmations worldwide.


Worldwide financial markets are executing the following basic technical structures:

Long termTransition to Bear Markets
Mid termBearish-Bias
Short term: Downtrend with Bearish-Bias

<< TRANSITION TO LONG TERM BEAR MARKET WORLDWIDE AS WARNED IN END-2013 AND EARLY-2014 HAS RECEIVED CONFIRMATION IN EARLY-2015>>

Long term major top for worldwide financial markets forming in 2014 and early 2015:

+ First confirmation of worldwide bear market transition had made in the first half of 2014 per warned earlier.
+ The worldwide transitions to bear markets have been warned in end-2013 and early-2014 based on technicals and funds flow characteristics of worldwide financial markets.
+ We are receiving 2nd confirmation of worldwide bear market transition in early 2015.

The order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear markets respectively

While Long Term Major Top starts to form in indices worldwide, the following is the order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear market respectively:

1. Weakest stocks (2.27% of the entire broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2012, making it 2.27% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make highs). 

2. Weaker stocks (the next 13.59% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2013, making it 2.27%+13.59%=15.86% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make new highs but with deceleration). 

3. Weak stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2014, making it 15.86%+34.13%=49.99% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to consolidate and to peak out)

4. Strong stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2015, making it 49.99%+34.13%=84.12% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to start to go downtrend)

5. The stronger and the strongest stocks (the remaining 15.88% of the broad market) will transit into their bear markets in 2016 onwards, making it 84.12%+15.88%=100% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices in bear market).

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Donovan Big Money Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
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Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0.000-0.999: Neutral / Negligible Net Holdings
1.000-2.999: Weak strength / weak holdings
3.000-4.999: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5.000-6.999: Strong strength / high holdings
7.000-8.999:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9.000-10.000:: Maximum strength / maximum holdings

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




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