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Tuesday, 31 December 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 31 December 2013, Tuesday, 7.00pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
31 December 2013, Tuesday, 7.00pm Singapore Time
The Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
31 December 2013, Tuesday


Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the first 3 hours 00 minutes of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 3 hours 30 minutes away from opening for trading. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -7.323 to -8.147 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Hands' Puts Holdings on hand changed from -3.553 to -3.753 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Last day of 2013: 
+ Big Hands are dual shorts for a second consecutive day, despite market technical rebounds on thin volume for yet another day
+ 2nd consecutive day of setting up rebound to accumulate more shorts by Big Hands: Bearish.
+ Big Hands increased Shorts today.
+ Big Hands increased Puts today.
Big Hands, Smart Money and Market-Movers are very persistently shorts in December of 2013: be highly cautious.
+ Big Hands are also persistently bearish Puts in December of 2013.
+ Puts remain as speculative and non-protective.
+ World markets will be looking to Dow Jones Industrial Average for cues: DJIA around 16600 points will trigger the next wave of correction.
+ Worldwide markets are still bearish biased.
+ Mid Term Corrections worldwide expected to resume in January 2014.
+ Longists should be cautious as 2014 has very high probability of being welcomed with a major sell-down.
+ Shortists should short on any technical rebounds, where rebounds remain merely for selling at good prices.
+ Hot Money and Smart Money may rotate away from Equities Market into the Metals Market.

+ Timeframe of worldwide selling: To last until February 2014.

+ Financial Markets worldwide are officially entering into critical stage from November 2013 to early 2014 (Tally with all your index charts, they are all at critical multi-year resistances).

+ Note that there was unusual unloading volume in SPDR Morgan Stanley Technology Index ETF (read for implications on NASDAQ and World Markets):

+ The following are the short-mid term sell-off correction targets as per analysed since 7 weeks ago with some new updates:
(you might like to refer to the accompanying detailed analysis links attached too):

1. Malaysian FKLI: 
1,790 points and a whipsaw just below 1790 points as first target. ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 12 NOV 2013
and 
breakdown of 1780 points as second target  ---> SECOND TARGET HIT ON 13 NOV 2013
and 
1776 points as third target
and 
breakdown of 1776 points as forth target

2. Hong Kong Hang Seng Index: 
22,770 points as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 8 NOV 2013
and 
and 
21604.4 points as third target

3. India NIFTY Index:
6001 points as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 21 NOV 2013
and

4. UK FTSE100: 
6500-6550 points ---> TARGET HIT ON 3 DEC 2013

5. Germany DAX: 
8700-8750 points

8. US NASDAQ Composite: 
3700 points

9. EURO STOXX 50:
2930-2950 points ---> TARGET HIT ON 12 DEC 2013

10. Dow Jones Industrial Index (DJIA):
14750 points as first target
and 
breakdown of 14750 points as second target

11. EURUSD: 
1.34000 ---> TARGET HIT ON 7 NOV 2013 
12. GBPUSD: 
1.59000 as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT TWICE IN NOV 2013
and 
1.57000-1.57500 as second target

13. NZDUSD: 
0.81000 ---> TARGET HIT ON 29 NOV 2013

14. AUD, NZD, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD, CHF will generally be weak until the corrections end. 

15. Euronext Brussels Bel20 Index:
2740-2780 points as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 6 DEC 2013
and
2600-2632 points as second target

16. Singapore Straits Times Index (STI):
2600 points as target

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

The depth of this anticipated short-mid term sell off will reveal clearer skies and whether previous long term outlook still hold.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




Donovan Norfolk Ang

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Monday, 30 December 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 30 December 2013, Monday, 7.45pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
30 December 2013, Monday, 7.45pm Singapore Time
The Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
30 December 2013, Monday


Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the first 3 hours 45 minutes of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 2 hours 45 minutes away from opening for trading. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -7.136 to -7.323 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Hands' Puts Holdings on hand changed from -3.365 to -3.553 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Big Hands are dual shorts today despite market technical rebounds on thin volume, ie setting up rebound to short today: Bearish.
+ Big Hands are persistently shorts: be highly cautious.
+ Big Hands increased Shorts today.
+ Big Hands increased Puts today.
+ Puts remain as speculative and non-protective.
+ World markets will be looking to Dow Jones Industrial Average for cues: DJIA around 16600 points will trigger the next wave of correction.
+ Worldwide markets are still bearish biased.
+ Mid Term Corrections worldwide expected to resume in January 2014.
+ Longists should be cautious.
+ Shortists should short on any technical rebound which are essentially for selling at good prices.
+ Hot Money and Smart Money may rotate away from Equities Market into the Metals Market.

+ Timeframe of worldwide selling: To last until February 2014.

+Mid term selling climax is still to be expected. Note that if the attempted -10.000 maximum shorts cannot bring about a sell-down climax, the long term outlook for world financial markets will reverse into a long term bull market.
+ Financial Markets worldwide are officially entering into critical stage from November 2013 to early 2014 (Tally with all your index charts, they are all at critical multi-year resistances).

+ The following are the short-mid term sell-off correction targets as per analysed since 7 weeks ago with some new updates:
(you might like to refer to the accompanying detailed analysis links attached too):

1. Malaysian FKLI: 
1,790 points and a whipsaw just below 1790 points as first target. ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 12 NOV 2013
and 
breakdown of 1780 points as second target  ---> SECOND TARGET HIT ON 13 NOV 2013
and 
1776 points as third target
and 
breakdown of 1776 points as forth target

2. Hong Kong Hang Seng Index: 
22,770 points as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 8 NOV 2013
and 
and 
21604.4 points as third target

3. India NIFTY Index:
6001 points as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 21 NOV 2013
and

4. UK FTSE100: 
6500-6550 points ---> TARGET HIT ON 3 DEC 2013

5. Germany DAX: 
8700-8750 points

8. US NASDAQ Composite: 
3700 points

9. EURO STOXX 50:
2930-2950 points ---> TARGET HIT ON 12 DEC 2013

10. Dow Jones Industrial Index (DJIA):
14750 points as first target
and 
breakdown of 14750 points as second target

11. EURUSD: 
1.34000 ---> TARGET HIT ON 7 NOV 2013 
12. GBPUSD: 
1.59000 as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT TWICE IN NOV 2013
and 
1.57000-1.57500 as second target

13. NZDUSD: 
0.81000 ---> TARGET HIT ON 29 NOV 2013

14. AUD, NZD, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD, CHF will generally be weak until the corrections end. 

15. Euronext Brussels Bel20 Index:
2740-2780 points as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 6 DEC 2013
and
2600-2632 points as second target

16. Singapore Straits Times Index (STI):
2600 points as target

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

The depth of this anticipated short-mid term sell off will reveal clearer skies and whether previous long term outlook still hold.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.



Sunday, 29 December 2013

SPDR Morgan Stanley Technology Index ETF: 29 December 2013, Sunday, 8.00pm Singapore Time

SPDR Morgan Stanley Technology Index ETF: 29 December 2013, Sunday, 8.00pm Singapore Time
Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

Attached above is the SPDR Morgan Stanley Technology Index ETF. 

As per warned that Dow Jones Industrial Index (DJIA) 16600 points will trigger an algorithmic sell-down, Dow is now nearing that region. 

As Dow approaches the critical area, the SPDR Morgan Stanley Technology Index ETF has an unusual high unload, and note that it is an Index ETF. Hence one needs to be cautious of the NASDAQ and technology stocks too.

There is a high possibility that the worldwide resumption in selling will be carried out in January 2014. In essence, 2014 may be welcomed with a sell-off. Cautions are warranted if one is heavily longs/buys.

In my next analysis, I will cover Singapore Property Sector. In October 2012 when properties were riding high, I warned of a significant correction to come. As per my style, saying things before it happens, the property sector suffered setbacks in 2013. How will it perform in 2014 and how to know how the property sector will fare in 2014? Property owners definitely need to look out for my Property Sector Update Coverage. 


Saturday, 28 December 2013

Business, Trading & Investment Quotes of Wisdom (1)

"When you are hunting elephants, don’t get distracted chasing rabbits."

-T. Boone Pickens



Donovan Norfolk Ang

Click "Share" at the Top of the Page if you like it or 
if you would like to start a discussion about it with friends on your Facebook Wall.

Friday, 27 December 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 27 December 2013, Friday, 10.29pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
27 December 2013, Friday, 10.29pm Singapore Time


The Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
27 December 2013, Friday


Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the first 6 hours 29 minutes of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 1 minute away from opening for trading. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -8.514 to -7.136 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Hands' Puts Holdings on hand changed from -3.680 to -3.365 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ World markets will be looking to Dow Jones Industrial Average for cues now: DJIA 16600 points will trigger the next wave of correction.
+ Mid Term Corrections worldwide expected to resume after current low volume windows dressing worldwide. 

+ Timeframe of worldwide selling: To last until January/February 2014.

+Short-mid term selling climax is still to be expected. Note that if the attempted -10.000 maximum shorts cannot bring about a sell-down climax, the long term outlook for world financial markets will reverse into a long term bull market.
+ Financial Markets worldwide are officially entering into critical stage from November 2013 to early 2014 (Tally with all your index charts, they are all at critical multi-year resistances).

+ The following are the short-mid term sell-off correction targets as per analysed since 7 weeks ago with some new updates:
(you might like to refer to the accompanying detailed analysis links attached too):

1. Malaysian FKLI: 
1,790 points and a whipsaw just below 1790 points as first target. ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 12 NOV 2013
and 
breakdown of 1780 points as second target  ---> SECOND TARGET HIT ON 13 NOV 2013
and 
1776 points as third target
and 
breakdown of 1776 points as forth target

2. Hong Kong Hang Seng Index: 
22,770 points as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 8 NOV 2013
and 
and 
21604.4 points as third target

3. India NIFTY Index:
6001 points as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 21 NOV 2013
and

4. UK FTSE100: 
6500-6550 points ---> TARGET HIT ON 3 DEC 2013

5. Germany DAX: 
8700-8750 points

8. US NASDAQ Composite: 
3700 points

9. EURO STOXX 50:
2930-2950 points ---> TARGET HIT ON 12 DEC 2013

10. Dow Jones Industrial Index (DJIA):
14750 points as first target
and 
breakdown of 14750 points as second target

11. EURUSD: 
1.34000 ---> TARGET HIT ON 7 NOV 2013 
12. GBPUSD: 
1.59000 as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT TWICE IN NOV 2013
and 
1.57000-1.57500 as second target

13. NZDUSD: 
0.81000 ---> TARGET HIT ON 29 NOV 2013

14. AUD, NZD, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD, CHF will generally be weak until the corrections end. 

15. Euronext Brussels Bel20 Index:
2740-2780 points as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 6 DEC 2013
and
2600-2632 points as second target

16. Singapore Straits Times Index (STI):
2600 points as target

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

The depth of this anticipated short-mid term sell off will reveal clearer skies and whether previous long term outlook still hold.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.