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Monday, 31 December 2012

SinoGrandness: 31 December 2012, Monday, 10.25am Singapore Time

SinoGrandness: 31 December 2012, Monday, 10.25am Singapore Time

SinoGrandness, to me, is "The King of China Stocks listed in Singapore", because it represents the rare quality S-Chip out of the many thrash S-Chips out there in Singapore, and it is a strong trending stock.

SinoGrandness remains in a strong uptrend, has undergone re-accumulation phase at a higher price compared to its lows, and now has much more upside to go; the uncharted waters are the limits.

The three Longing/Buying points are illustrated in the chart.

$0.59-$0.61 is now the next level of support to serve as the launchpad for uncharted waters; should $0.59-$0.61 fail to hold, SinoGrandness becomes a straight sell. Otherwise, hold this stock as an investment until new highs keep breaking up in 2013 for SinoGrandness.


Donovan's Market Analysis:

Sunday, 30 December 2012

Russell 2000 (US Market): 30 December 2012, Sunday, 10.40am Singapore Time

Russell 2000 (US Market): 30 December 2012, Sunday, 10.40am Singapore Time


In Donovan Ang's Theory, "Russell never lies"; the implication is that this is one Technical Analysis that cannot be missed if one is lost in the directions of DJIA, NASDAQ, S&P500 or international market directions due to the recent fiscal cliff sell-downs. 

Referring to the Technical Analysis, having met the mid-long term classical resistance of 846.83-867.88 points several times since 2011, Russell 2000 is still trying to break this resistance band; the Russell 2000 hit this resistance band again in December 2012, got resisted and sold down all together with the DJIA, NASDAQ and S&P500. This sell-down was previously warned to happen using Donovan Daily International Funds Flow Analysis before it came, and they indeed came nastily in the US markets last week and the week before.

However, this nasty selling in the US markets will pose an opportunity to buy on comeback boat and not for you to sell; it is but to buy on significant comeback dip for the resumption of bull markets worldwide in 2013.

The Russell 2000 is currently at a point where tough resistance meets strong support. The YELLOW ZONE  will continue to act as powerful launchpad support to break up the 846.83-867.88 points resistance while the resistance band will do the vice-versa. Whichever breaks, be it the support or resistance, it will set the clear-cut direction.

As the bear market structure had been negated as illustrated above in the chart, it means the US market will continue to be bullish, and hence it will be the support (YELLOW ZONE) that will hold and the resistance will break. Furthermore, while trying to break the resistance, a bullish ascending triangle had been formed. 

The break up, when it comes, will cause the entire US markets to be very bullish and rally in 2013, contrary to popular bearish beliefs of a recessional and bearish US economy. This bullishness will continue to diffuse into world markets (Asia and Europe). Worldwide markets will rocket in 2013 in essence. A rising tide lifts all boats and almost all stocks will rise (of course, individual stocks will be subjected to the differential fundamentals of each respective company; strong stocks will rise more than weak stocks, and lousy companies will rise way less or not rise compared to strong and quality ones).

Properties in Asia and Singapore will continue to go up strongly in 2013; so will stocks, equities and commodities worldwide. European Markets, US Markets and Asian Markets will continue to go up next year after this immediate-short term sell-downs (DAX, CAC, FTSE-UK, STOXX 50, NASDAQ, DJIA, SPX, HSI, STI, KOSPI, KLSE, SSE etc).

January 2013 continues to post high risks of nasty sell-downs for shake-outs (short term); however, worldwide markets will climb over all walls of worries in 2013 (mid-long term).

Side Note:
On another personal side note, the hot monies has been especially die hard fans of Emerging Markets. As properties will be hot in Asia such as Hong Kong and Singapore, it is now good in 2013 to stay invested in properties and property stocks such as Cheung Kong Holdings, Sino Land, Sun Hung Kai Properties, Henderson Land Development, Capitaland, Keppeland, City Development, Yanlord, Wing Tai, Ho Bee, Singapore Land, and UOL. These will be strong stocks in strong sectors of strong economies in 2013 and represents strong investment holdings. For international investors, besides local brokerages, these are also available in CityIndex and Igmarkets etc. International investors will benefit not only in stock appreciation but also from forex terms (Hong Kong Dollar with appreciating pressures pegged within a band and Singapore Dollar appreciation). Double gains.

Donovan's Market Analysis:

Saturday, 29 December 2012

Lyxor China H: 29 December 2012, Saturday, 9.45am Singapore Time

Lyxor China H (US$) ETF: 29 December 2012, Saturday, 9.45am Singapore Time

While International Financial Markets undergo corrections, money will flow to China Markets for pump-ups.

As attached, Lyxor China H US$ ETF is a Buy.
Multiple Break-ups (LIGHT BLUE circles) with successful back-test confirmations;
Entire consolidation from 2011-2012 (1.5 years) has completed in China.

Buy: 
$13.20-$15.00

Target :
$19.90
(Note: Buying ETF is akin to buying a basket of blue chips, hence the stability and relatively non-volatility)

Donovan's Market Analysis:

China XLX Fertiliser Ltd: 29 December 2012, Saturday, 9.20am Singapore Time


China XLX Fertiliser Ltd: 29 December 2012, Saturday, 9.20am Singapore Time 

While International Financial Markets undergo corrections, money will flow to China Markets for pump-ups.

As attached, China XLX Fertiliser (dual listed in HKSE, Hong Kong, and SGX, Singapore) is a Buy.
Entire Accumulation Triangle is about to complete.
Break up expected.. 

Buy: 
$1.85-$2.01

Target :
$3.20-$3.30


Donovan's Market Analysis:

China Sports: 29 December 2012, Saturday, 12.05am Singapore Time

China Sports: 29 December 2012, Saturday, 12.05am Singapore Time

As attached, China Sports is a Strong Buy.
False Break-down at 4cents follows with a Break-up also at 4cents area. 

Buy: 
4.0cents-4.7cents

Target :
20.5cents

Returns: 
4 FOLDS RETURNS (+300%)
MULTI-BAGGER RETURNS.

Donovan's Market Analysis:

Friday, 28 December 2012

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 28 December 2012, Friday, 3.30 pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA) 

For Worldwide Financial Markets:
28 December 2012, Friday, 3.30 pm Singapore Time

European markets are 30 minutes away from opening, while US markets are 7 hours away from the Friday opening bell. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -0.104 to +0.074  on the Donovan Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands have switched from large Calls to Puts in December; Puts Strength currently changed from -0.664 to -0.107 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Short Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Risk-adverse set up in December
Big Hands have switched from large Calls to Puts holdings in December, and from large longs to no longs currently.
+ Possibility of a shake-out style of sell-down in January 2013 which would cause fear and panic in the financial markets.

Mid Term Outlook based on Donovan Judgement:

+ Mid-long-term remains a buy on dip in 2013 as markets in Europe and Asia have negated bear market technical structures.
+ By mid 2013, many markets (except PIIGS) will make new bull market highs. 


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Thursday, 27 December 2012

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 27 December 2012, Thursday, 5.10 pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA) 

For Worldwide Financial Markets:
27 December 2012, Thursday, 5.10 pm Singapore Time

European markets are into the 2nd hour of trading, while US markets are 5 hours 20 minutes away from the Thursday opening bell. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands are now -0.104 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands have switched from Calls to Puts, and Puts Strength is -0.664 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Dual-pronged sellings now.

Posture by Big Hands Overall:

+ Cautious approach warranted.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Friday, 21 December 2012

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 21 December 2012, Friday, 3.30 pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA) 

For Worldwide Financial Markets:
21 December 2012, Friday, 3.30 pm Singapore Time



European markets are 30 minutes away from opening, while US markets are 7 hours away from the Friday opening bell. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands decreased from +2.165 to +1.906 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Calls holdings decreased from +1.638 to +0.769 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Dual pronged profit takings again.

Posture by Big Hands Overall:

+ Large reduction in stockpiles of Calls to near zero within 2 days, since yesterday.
+ Cautious approach warranted.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

FTSE ST China Index: 21 December 2012, Friday, 4.15am Singapore Time

FTSE ST China Index: 21 December 2012, Friday, 4.15am Singapore Time

As above analysis, buy China Index.

8 months of market accumulation (BLUE dotted rectangular structure), double shake-outs, coupled with double strong supports (RED supports) and another double layer of minor supports (PINK supports) provide enormous amount of fuel for more up-thrust actions.

On entering YELLOW region, the actions are always spike-ups and spike-downs. This is a zone of sublimation, a zone where solid sublimes into gaseous state directly.


Donovan's Market Analysis:

HSBC MSCI China ETF: 21 December 2012, Friday, 12.17am Singapore Time

HSBC MSCI China ETF: 21 December 2012, Friday, 12.17am Singapore Time

As above analysis, buy China.

Symmetrical Triangle Breakup; 
new minor support (PINK SUPPORT) formed at higher level showing high bullishness;
volume shake-out of weak holders on the week of 21 September, indicator high bullishness.

Target: $35.50

Donovan's Market Analysis:

Thursday, 20 December 2012

iShares FTSE China 25 Index (NYSE: FXI): 20 December 2012, Thursday, 11.48pm Singapore Time

iShares FTSE China 25 Index (NYSE: FXI): 20 December 2012, Thursday, 11.48pm Singapore Time

As above technical analysis, buy China.

Symmetrical Triangle Breakup; buying interest strong.

Target: $52 (High Upside)

Donovan's Market Analysis:

iShares MSCI China Index (NYSE: MCHI) : 20 December 2012, Thursday, 11.25pm Singapore Time

iShares MSCI China Index (NYSE: MCHI) : 20 December 2012, Thursday, 11.25pm Singapore Time

As above technical analysis, buy China.

Ascending Triangle; breakup; buying interest strong.

Target: $60

Donovan's Market Analysis:

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 20 December 2012, Thursday, 3.30 pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA) 

For Worldwide Financial Markets:
20 December 2012, Thursday, 3.30 pm Singapore Time


European markets are 30 minutes away from opening, while US markets are 7 hours away from the Thursday opening bell. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands decreased from +4.444 to +2.165 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Calls holdings decreased from +8.053 to +1.638 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Dual pronged profit takings today.

Posture by Big Hands Overall:

+ Large reduction in Calls today.
+ Profit takings today.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Wednesday, 19 December 2012

Wilmar International: 19 December 2012, Wednesday, 5.03pm Singapore Time


I am now retracting my risk-off analysis on Wilmar, and am back to high bullishness on Wilmar.

This is because Big Hands' risk-on are back according to my Funds Flow Analysis, and that Wilmar, together with Olam and Noble Group which are in the same commodities sector, will be back on track for rallies. 

Hence my anticipation of a break up on Wilmar will stand. 

It is still very cheap to get back in on Wilmar as it has not officially broken up yet and upside is high.


Donovan's Market Analysis: 

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 19 December 2012, Wednesday, 2.50 pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA) 

For Worldwide Financial Markets:
19 December 2012, Wednesday, 2.50 pm Singapore Time



European markets are 1 hour 10 minutes away from opening, while US markets are 7 hours 40 minutes away from the Wednesday opening bell. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands increased from +3.643 to +4.444 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Calls holdings changed from +7.554 to +8.053 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Dual pronged longs today.

Posture by Big Hands Overall:

+ Big Hands are buying up again.
+ Further increase to the already swelling stockpile of Calls on hand.
+ Back to risk-on push-up bias
+ Dow Jones Industrial Index (DJIA) and S&P500 (SPX) will both convincingly break up ALL TIME new bull market highs of 14198.10 points and 1576.09 points respectively in 1Q/2Q 2013.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Bank of America (BAC): 19 December 2012, Wednesday, 2.05pm Singapore Time

Bank of America (BAC): 19 December 2012, Wednesday, 2.05pm Singapore Time 

Bank of America (BAC): 19 December 2012, Wednesday, 2.05pm Singapore Time 

Accumulate from $10.00-$11.50 
(Load more on back-test of $10.00, if market is kind)

Target: $15.00
(For US banks such as Bank of America, it is safe to buy and hold all the way till bull market in US ends)

Free money is dropping off from the sky in this bank stock. Grab while stocks last!
Close eyes and make money, and laugh all the way to the bank.

All Bank of America Analyses:
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/search/label/Bank%20of%20America

Donovan's Market Analysis:
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg

Tuesday, 18 December 2012

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 18 December 2012, Tuesday, 3.15 pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA) 

For Worldwide Financial Markets:
18 December 2012, Tuesday, 3.15 pm Singapore Time


European markets are 45 minutes away from opening, while US markets are 7 hours 15 minutes away from the Tuesday opening bell. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands further changed from +3.643 to +4.129 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Calls holdings changed from +7.446 to +7.554 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Posture by Big Hands Overall:

+ Consolidation Day

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve