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Tuesday, 28 April 2015

Trades: 28 April 2015

Trainees and Followers' Results:



Congrats to all within the Donovan Norfolk family group!
As we walk down the trading and investing road, there is much more to come... =)


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AUDUSD (Australian Dollar), Commodities and Commodity Stocks Analysis: 28 April 2015

Australian Dollar, the weakest of the commodities currencies, will rally to this region:
0.85443-0.88492 Band. 

This will further spur rallies in commodities and inflict a major dead cat bounce (escape wave) for all commodities and commodity stocks.

Now, remember my fore-warnings of the past few weeks that commodity currencies, commodities and commodity stocks will have major escape wave rebounds while USD to undergo healthy correction down? This is happening now.

This final correction, a healthy one, in the USD will be the ONE FINAL CONFIRMATION for the WORLDWIDE BEAR MARKET in stocks and equities markets, while stocks and equities will have one final distribution (pump and distribute). 
In weak markets/stocks, it will just merely backtest long term critical support-turned-resistances. Do not love your stocks, and this is one final chance to get out for investors who were stuck.





Click "Share" on the Facebook icon at the bottom of this thread if you like it, or 
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Trades: 28 April 2015

Followers' Results:


Congrats to all within the Donovan Norfolk family group!
As we walk down the trading and investing road, there is much more to come... =)

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gold and Gold ETF: 28 April 2015, Tuesday, 8.55pm Singapore Time

The Bullish Sideway Consolidation in Gold has completed and Gold has resumed its bullish break-up (refer to the break-up in the 4 hourly chart above with Gold breaking up critical blue band resistance)

Buy more Gold and Gold ETFs (GLD/SPDR GLD) on any and every immediate dips.

Donovan Technical Rating:
Bullish on Gold until end of commodities rebound
(this commodities rebound was fore-warned few weeks ago just before it comes)




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Gold and Gold ETF: 28 April 2015, Tuesday, 8.55pm Singapore Time

Gold and Gold ETF: 28 April 2015, Tuesday, 8.55pm Singapore Time

The Bullish Sideway Consolidation in Gold has completed and Gold has resumed its bullish break-up (refer to the break-up in the 4 hourly chart above with Gold breaking up critical blue band resistance)

Buy more Gold and Gold ETFs (GLD/SPDR GLD) on any and every immediate dips.

Donovan Technical Rating:
Bullish on Gold until end of commodities rebound
(this commodities rebound was fore-warned few weeks ago just before it comes)




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if you would like to start a discussion about it with friends on your Facebook Wall.

AUDUSD (Australian Dollar), Commodities and Commodity Stocks Analysis: 28 April 2015

AUDUSD (Australian Dollar), Commodities and Commodity Stocks Analysis: 28 April 2015

Australian Dollar, the weakest of the commodities currencies, will rally to this region:
0.85443-0.88492 Band. 

This will further spur rallies in commodities and inflict a major dead cat bounce (escape wave) for all commodities and commodity stocks.

Now, remember my fore-warnings of the past few weeks that commodity currencies, commodities and commodity stocks will have major escape wave rebounds while USD to undergo healthy correction down? This is happening now.

This final correction, a healthy one, in the USD will be the ONE FINAL CONFIRMATION for the WORLDWIDE BEAR MARKET in stocks and equities markets, while stocks and equities will have one final distribution (pump and distribute). 
In weak markets/stocks, it will just merely backtest long term critical support-turned-resistances. Do not love your stocks, and this is one final chance to get out for investors who were stuck.



Click "Share" on the Facebook icon at the bottom of this thread if you like it, or 
if you would like to start a discussion about it with friends on your Facebook Wall.

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 28 April 2015, Tuesday, 3.25pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
28 April 2015, Tuesday, 3.25pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
28 April 2015, Tuesday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

US markets (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 06 hours 05 minutes away from opening for trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Money have changed from +6.120 to +3.801 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Monies' Bullish Calls on hand changed from +5.099 to +4.057 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator.  

Big Money Aggregate Strength (posture) in holdings changed from +5.610 to +3.929 in strength


Broad Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

In the financial markets worldwide today:

+ Big Monies took profits of almost half of all long holdings on hand today.
+ Big Monies also took profits of bullish calls on hand but are still holding quite some strong strength bullish calls.
+ Bullish calls are now speculatively bullish in nature. 
+ Short term rebounding rallies are weakening but may not end yet based on current posture in smart monies' holdings.


Worldwide financial markets are executing the following basic technical structures:

Long termTransition to Bear Markets
Mid termSideways with uptrend bias now.
Short term: Uptrend

<< TRANSITION TO LONG TERM BEAR MARKET WORLDWIDE AS WARNED IN END-2013 AND EARLY-2014 HAS RECEIVED CONFIRMATION IN EARLY-2015>>

Long term major top for worldwide financial markets forming in 2014 and early 2015:

+ First confirmation of worldwide bear market transition had made in the first half of 2014 per warned earlier.
+ The worldwide transitions to bear markets have been warned in end-2013 and early-2014 based on technicals and funds flow characteristics of worldwide financial markets.
+ We are receiving 2nd confirmation of worldwide bear market transition in early 2015.

The order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear markets respectively

While Long Term Major Top starts to form in indices worldwide, the following is the order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear market respectively:

1. Weakest stocks (2.27% of the entire broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2012, making it 2.27% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make highs). 

2. Weaker stocks (the next 13.59% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2013, making it 2.27%+13.59%=15.86% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make new highs but with deceleration). 

3. Weak stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2014, making it 15.86%+34.13%=49.99% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to consolidate and to peak out)

4. Strong stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2015, making it 49.99%+34.13%=84.12% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to start to go downtrend)

5. The stronger and the strongest stocks (the remaining 15.88% of the broad market) will transit into their bear markets in 2016 onwards, making it 84.12%+15.88%=100% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices in bear market).

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Money Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0.000-0.999: Neutral / Negligible Net Holdings
1.000-2.999: Weak strength / weak holdings
3.000-4.999: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5.000-6.999: Strong strength / high holdings
7.000-8.999:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9.000-10.000:: Maximum strength / maximum holdings

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




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Monday, 27 April 2015

VARD: 27 April 2015, Monday, 10.33pm Singapore Time

VARD: 27 April 2015, Monday, 10.33pm Singapore Time

Attached is the technical analysis of VARD that is listed in the Singapore SGX.

This is a stock that I said can contra this morning for today and take profits for today and the new few days. 

Currently +3.1% paper profits.

Target $0.760-$0.805
Take all profits at target level.

Side note:
Funds Flow Analysis worldwide: 
Bullish for short term in stocks


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Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 27 April 2015, Monday, 10.20pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
27 April 2015, Monday, 10.20pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
27 April 2015, Monday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

US markets (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ) are in the first 00 hour 50 minutes of trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Money have changed from +3.477 (24 Apr) to +6.120 (27 Apr) in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Monies' Bullish Calls on hand changed from +4.854 (24 Apr) to +5.099 (27 Apr) in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator.  

Big Money Aggregate Strength (posture) in holdings changed from +4.166 to +5.610 in strength


Broad Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

In the financial markets worldwide today:

+ Big Monies piled up large amount of longs today.
+ Big Monies also held on to large amounts of bullish calls.
+ Bullish calls are now speculatively bullish in nature. 
+ More short term rebounding rallies to carry on; short term rebounds have not finished yet.


Worldwide financial markets are executing the following basic technical structures:

Long termTransition to Bear Markets
Mid termSideways with uptrend bias now.
Short term: Uptrend

<< TRANSITION TO LONG TERM BEAR MARKET WORLDWIDE AS WARNED IN END-2013 AND EARLY-2014 HAS RECEIVED CONFIRMATION IN EARLY-2015>>

Long term major top for worldwide financial markets forming in 2014 and early 2015:

+ First confirmation of worldwide bear market transition had made in the first half of 2014 per warned earlier.
+ The worldwide transitions to bear markets have been warned in end-2013 and early-2014 based on technicals and funds flow characteristics of worldwide financial markets.
+ We are receiving 2nd confirmation of worldwide bear market transition in early 2015.

The order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear markets respectively

While Long Term Major Top starts to form in indices worldwide, the following is the order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear market respectively:

1. Weakest stocks (2.27% of the entire broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2012, making it 2.27% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make highs). 

2. Weaker stocks (the next 13.59% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2013, making it 2.27%+13.59%=15.86% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make new highs but with deceleration). 

3. Weak stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2014, making it 15.86%+34.13%=49.99% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to consolidate and to peak out)

4. Strong stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2015, making it 49.99%+34.13%=84.12% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to start to go downtrend)

5. The stronger and the strongest stocks (the remaining 15.88% of the broad market) will transit into their bear markets in 2016 onwards, making it 84.12%+15.88%=100% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices in bear market).

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Money Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0.000-0.999: Neutral / Negligible Net Holdings
1.000-2.999: Weak strength / weak holdings
3.000-4.999: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5.000-6.999: Strong strength / high holdings
7.000-8.999:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9.000-10.000:: Maximum strength / maximum holdings

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




Click "Share" on the Facebook icon at the bottom of this thread if you like it, or 
if you would like to start a discussion about it with friends on your Facebook Wall.

Tuesday, 21 April 2015

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 21 April 2015, Tuesday, 10.40pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
21 April 2015, Tuesday, 10.40pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
21 April 2015, Tuesday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

US markets (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ) are in the first 01 hour 10 minutes of trading. US markets and European markets are still green, however there is large shorts today being piled up worldwide.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Money have changed from +0.380 to -3.409 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Monies' Bullish Calls on hand changed from +1.905 to +1.540 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator.  

Big Money Aggregate Strength (posture) in holdings changed from +1.143 to -0.935


Broad Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

In the financial markets worldwide today:

+ Big Monies piled up large amount of shorts today.
+ Big Monies reduced bullish calls for the 4th consecutive trading day.
+ Big Monies are dual sells today.
+ Worldwide resumption of stocks sell-off all across the board is being brewed up now.

+ EARLY ALERT:
+ Long Term Bear Market is making double confirmation on stocks all across the board internationally.

+ Stocks that fail to rally with the positive Funds Flow Analysis of the past few weeks will plunge faster than any other stocks when Funds Flow Analysis of Smart Monies turn negative (shorts) again. 


Worldwide financial markets are executing the following basic technical structures:

Long termTransition to Bear Markets
Mid termSideways with high probability of topping out: Bearish Bias.
Short term: Choppy

<< TRANSITION TO LONG TERM BEAR MARKET WORLDWIDE AS WARNED IN END-2013 AND EARLY-2014 HAS RECEIVED CONFIRMATION IN EARLY-2015>>

Long term major top for worldwide financial markets forming in 2014 and early 2015:

+ First confirmation of worldwide bear market transition had made in the first half of 2014 per warned earlier.
+ The worldwide transitions to bear markets have been warned in end-2013 and early-2014 based on technicals and funds flow characteristics of worldwide financial markets.
+ We are receiving 2nd confirmation of worldwide bear market transition in early 2015.

The order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear markets respectively

While Long Term Major Top starts to form in indices worldwide, the following is the order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear market respectively:

1. Weakest stocks (2.27% of the entire broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2012, making it 2.27% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make highs). 

2. Weaker stocks (the next 13.59% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2013, making it 2.27%+13.59%=15.86% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make new highs but with deceleration). 

3. Weak stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2014, making it 15.86%+34.13%=49.99% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to consolidate and to peak out)

4. Strong stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2015, making it 49.99%+34.13%=84.12% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to start to go downtrend)

5. The stronger and the strongest stocks (the remaining 15.88% of the broad market) will transit into their bear markets in 2016 onwards, making it 84.12%+15.88%=100% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices in bear market).

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Money Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0.000-0.999: Neutral / Negligible Net Holdings
1.000-2.999: Weak strength / weak holdings
3.000-4.999: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5.000-6.999: Strong strength / high holdings
7.000-8.999:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9.000-10.000:: Maximum strength / maximum holdings

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




Click "Share" on the Facebook icon at the bottom of this thread if you like it, or 
if you would like to start a discussion about it with friends on your Facebook Wall.