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Tuesday, 22 April 2014

Funds Flow Analysis To Resume End of The Month


Dear all fans of Donovan's Market Analysis,

all market analyses will resume during the end of this month when I come back from my holiday break. 

I am re-charging myself in Sentosa resorts, and will not be posting anything much until end of April.

If you are lost, just need to remember: The markets are now a sell on rebounds worldwide.



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Tuesday, 15 April 2014

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 15 April 2014, Tuesday, 5.15pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
15 April 2014, Tuesday, 5.15pm Singapore Time

Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
15 April 2014, Tuesday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the first 2 hour 15 minutes of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 4 hours 15 minutes away from opening for trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +10.000 to +10.000 (MAXIMUM LONGS AT BEARISH REVERSAL POINT) in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Hands' Puts Holdings on hand changed from -0.071 to -0.635 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ 15th of April of 2014:

+ Big Hands loaded some longs today to maintain maximum longs at major bearish reversal point.
+ Big Hands loaded bearish puts today: continued bearish consolidation (bearish consolidation means possibility of 2nd day of the 1-2 days immediate term technical rebound as highlighted yesterday). However, weaker markets will resume long term sell-off already.
+ Big Hands have maximum longs at major Bearish Reversal Point.
+ Big Hands have also flipped from Bullish Calls to Bearish Puts since yesterday.
+ At Bearish Reversal Point, Big Hands are preparing to dump any time.
+ Big Hands are persistently at Bearish Reversal Mode and unloading bullish Calls / loading bearish puts again for the 11th consecutive trading session: bearish (be on high alert)
+ WORLDWIDE BEAR MARKET CONFIRMATIONS HAVE BEEN MADE (WHILE ONE LEAST EXPECTS IT because every piece of economic forecasts seems to look bullish and rosy).

+ Worldwide Funds Flow Analysis has been PERSISTENTLY in bearish reversal mode as per forewarned.
+ Possibility of dual bearish reversal in International Funds Flow now (Double bearishness).
+ This international Funds Flow movement persistently exhibits the characteristics of a transition to bear markets in worldwide financial markets.
+ The property bear market was forewarned in October 2012.
+ The current stocks and equities worldwide bear market was forewarned in November-December 2013.
+ The current stocks and equities worldwide bear market is being double confirmed and warned currently in April 2014.
+ Immediate-Term dead cat bounce is ending (short and unload on every immediate-term rebound).
+ All 3 Short-Term, Mid-Term and Long-Term trend outlook remain in same direction of being bearish-biased and downtrend-biased.
+ NASDAQ, European markets and Asian markets will remain weak as forewarned.
+ Get out and exit stocks and equities markets: technical dead cat bounce is ending for resumption of worldwide long term downtrend.
+ Worldwide financial markets have been executing technical price discovery to confirm a long term bear market transition.
+ Long Term Investment Funds and Long Term Asset Managers are also unloading stocks and equities based on Funds Flow Model (selling off on technical rebounds) as well as based on all previous capital exodus analysis proofs.
+ In holistic consideration of the macro-analysis:

+ Financial Markets worldwide are generally in the following structures:
+ Immediate term: 1-2 days Technical Rebound
+ Short term: Bearish Reversal (Reversal to Bearish) in execution
+ Mid term: Bearish
+ Long Term: Transition to Nascent Bear Markets

+ The short-term bearish reversal of March 2014 and April 2014 (refer Funds Flow Analysis Chart) is now a tentative confirmation that financial markets are transiting to long term bear markets and resume the November 2013 and December 2013 sells.
+ Markets are bearish-biased: in essence, short, sell and exit stocks & equities on opportunistic intraday technical rebounds (95% stocks will move downtrend while only 5% will buck against the trend).
+ At FFA of +10.000, the short term technical rebounds worldwide are confirming the birth of a new bear market, and these technical rebounds had served as noises to confuse the markets.
+ After the shorts have been squeezed in February/March 2014 as indicated in the worldwide Funds Flow Analysis, the financial markets worldwide are turning to resume bleeding the longs and investment portfolios for the long term.

+ It is prudent to exit the stocks and equities markets.
+ If one is generally still holding investment portfolios in stocks and equities, one is expected to suffer further portfolio damages, a warning that was issued since November-December of 2013. 
+ Nascent long term bear market is coming sooner than one would expect and any immediate term rebounds are good opportunities to exit.


Side-Note:
Read all the hot money, smart money and capital exodus / capital flight articles located at the right hand column of this analysis site. They were in-depth analyses and painstakingly written to help you. I had put in much efforts in those quality articles and giving to you for free. 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




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Monday, 14 April 2014

Market Forecast Update: 14 April 2014, Monday, 10.50pm Singapore Time


Market Forecast Update:
14 April 2014, Monday, 10.50pm Singapore Time

Based on current market actions,
tomorrow Asia will execute a sell down. 

Either:
1. Open high (green) and end low (red), or
2. Open flat/slight red and end low (red)



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Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 14 April 2014, Monday, 4.25pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
14 April 2014, Monday, 4.25pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
14 April 2014, Monday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the first 1 hour 25 minutes of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 5 hours 05 minutes away from opening for trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +10.000 to +10.000 (MAXIMUM LONGS AT BEARISH REVERSAL POINT) in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Hands flipped from Bullish Calls Holdings to Bearish Puts Holdings, changing from +0.423 to -0.071 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ 14th of April of 2014:

+ Big Hands loaded slight longs and loaded bearish puts today: consolidation (bearish consolidation means possibility of 1-2 days immediate term technical rebound as consolidation).
+ Big Hands have maximum longs at Bearish Reversal Point.
+ Big Hands have also flipped from Bullish Calls to Bearish Puts.
+ At Bearish Reversal Point, Big Hands are preparing to dump any time.
+ Big Hands are persistently at Bearish Reversal Mode and unloading bullish Calls / loading bearish puts yet again for the 10th consecutive trading day: bearish
+ WORLDWIDE BEAR MARKET CONFIRMATIONS HAVE BEEN MADE (WHILE ONE LEAST EXPECTS IT because every piece of economic forecasts seems to look bullish and rosy).

+ Worldwide Funds Flow Analysis has been PERSISTENTLY in bearish reversal mode as per forewarned.
+ Possibility of dual bearish reversal in International Funds Flow now (Double bearishness).
+ This international Funds Flow movement persistently exhibits the characteristics of a transition to bear markets in worldwide financial markets.
+ The property bear market was forewarned in October 2012.
+ The current stocks and equities worldwide bear market was forewarned in November-December 2013.
+ The current stocks and equities worldwide bear market is being double confirmed and warned currently in April 2014.
+ Immediate-Term dead cat bounce is ending (short and unload on every immediate-term rebound).
+ All 3 Short-Term, Mid-Term and Long-Term trend outlook remain in same direction of being bearish-biased and downtrend-biased.
+ NASDAQ, European markets and Asian markets will remain weak as forewarned.
+ Get out and exit stocks and equities markets: technical dead cat bounce is ending for resumption of worldwide long term downtrend.
+ Worldwide financial markets have been executing technical price discovery to confirm a long term bear market transition.
+ Long Term Investment Funds and Long Term Asset Managers are also unloading stocks and equities based on Funds Flow Model (selling off on technical rebounds) as well as based on all previous capital exodus analysis proofs.
+ In holistic consideration of the macro-analysis:

+ Financial Markets worldwide are generally in the following structures:
+ Immediate term: 1-2 days Technical Rebound
+ Short term: Bearish Reversal (Reversal to Bearish) in execution
+ Mid term: Bearish
+ Long Term: Transition to Nascent Bear Markets

+ The short-term bearish reversal of March 2014 and April 2014 (refer Funds Flow Analysis Chart) is now a tentative confirmation that financial markets are transiting to long term bear markets and resume the November 2013 and December 2013 sells.
+ Markets are bearish-biased: in essence, short, sell and exit stocks & equities on opportunistic intraday technical rebounds (95% stocks will move downtrend while only 5% will buck against the trend).
+ At FFA of +10.000, the short term technical rebounds worldwide are confirming the birth of a new bear market, and these technical rebounds had served as noises to confuse the markets.
+ After the shorts have been squeezed in February/March 2014 as indicated in the worldwide Funds Flow Analysis, the financial markets worldwide are turning to resume bleeding the longs and investment portfolios for the long term.

+ It is prudent to exit the stocks and equities markets.
+ If one is generally still holding investment portfolios in stocks and equities, one is expected to suffer further portfolio damages, a warning that was issued since November-December of 2013. 
+ Nascent long term bear market is coming sooner than one would expect and any immediate term rebounds are good opportunities to exit.


Side-Note:
Read all the hot money, smart money and capital exodus / capital flight articles located at the right hand column of this analysis site. They were in-depth analyses and painstakingly written to help you. I had put in much efforts in those quality articles and giving to you for free. 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




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if you would like to start a discussion about it with friends on your Facebook Wall.

Sunday, 13 April 2014

M1 Limited: 13 April 2014, Sunday, 11.25pm Singapore Time

M1 Limited: 13 April 2014, Sunday, 11.25pm Singapore Time
Chart courtesy of Chartnexus.com

All Technical Analysis illustrations of M1 Limited as highlighted above in chart.

There was a massive pump and dump of stocks and equities to the retailers.
The public are holding on to unwanted babies as explained by all the set ups as above.
Bearish as per warned beforehand. Even quality or safe stocks such as M1 are not spared.

Donovan Norfolk Ang Technical Rating:
Bearish
(Sell/Short at the Red Zones above)
(Bearish also on all international stocks and equities)
Sell and Exit Stocks and Equities Markets on any and every technical rebounds.





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Ezra Holdings: 13 April 2014, Sunday, 9.56pm Singapore Time

Ezra Holdings: 13 April 2014, Sunday, 9.56pm Singapore Time
Chart courtesy of Chartnexus.com

All illustrations of Ezra Holdings as highlighted above in chart.

There was a massive re-distribution of stocks to the retailers.
Worse, there was a massive pump-and-dump action inside the large consolidation channel.

At the end of this Bear Market, if the entire price structure plays out according to scripts, 
Ezra will hit target at 59 cents.

This means Ezra will roughly further half price from here.

Based on current price of $1.07,
with price target of $0.59,
this represents a downside of -44.9% downside 
for 
Ezra Holdings.

Fundamentals wise, 
Ezra is a highly geared company and its liabilities in the balance sheets do not look good to me;
when interest rates go up, usually highly leveraged companies will run into some difficulties.


Donovan Norfolk Ang Technical Rating:
Bearish with High Downside
(Sell/Short at the Zones above)
(Bearish also on all international stocks and equities)




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Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Ltd: 13 April 2014, Sunday, 9.29pm Singapore Time

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Ltd: 13 April 2014, Sunday, 9.29pm Singapore Time
Chart courtesy of Chartnexus.com

All illustrations of Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Ltd as highlighted above in chart.

There was a massive re-distribution of stocks to the retailers.

At the end of this Bear Market, if the entire price structure plays out according to scripts, 
Yangzijiang will end up at 25cents.

Based on current price of $1.10,
with price target of $0.25,
this represents a downside of -77.3% downside 
for 
Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Ltd.

Donovan Norfolk Ang Technical Rating:
Bearish with High Downside
(Sell/Short at the Zones above)
(Bearish also on all international stocks and equities)




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Genting SP: 13 April 2014, Sunday, 10.00am Singapore Time

Genting SP: 13 April 2014, Sunday, 10.00am Singapore Time
Chart courtesy of Chartnexus.com

Attached above is the daily chart of Genting SP.

Genting SP is being deliberately suppressed at the RED CIRCLES highlighted above.
These RED CIRCLES are also the warnings where I had issued to get out of the stocks and equities markets in my live analyses.
Genting Singapore has completed its large scale long term consolidation and is resuming its very long term downtrend.

Based on Genting Overall Price Structure, Volume Analysis, Funds Flow Analysis, Fundamental Analysis of Worldwide Economic Situations in the following few years to come,
Guaranteed Bear Market Target for Genting SP is to:

1. Break down $1.00 as first target (another -23.4% downside from here)
2. Hit  $0.865 (86.5cents) as second target (another -33.7% downside from here )
3. A bigger dead cat bounce can only take place at around 86.5cents to back-test $1.00 as new-support-turned resistance in year 2014-2016.

Downside is tremendous
(another -23.4% to -33.7% from current point)

Note:
Genting SP is available also in international brokerages such as IGmarkets.

Donovan Norfolk Ang Technical Rating:
Bearish
(Sell/Short at the Zones above)
(Bearish also on all international stocks and equities)

Related:
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/2014/04/genting-hk-13-april-2014-sunday-731am.html



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Genting HK: 13 April 2014, Sunday, 7.31am Singapore Time

Genting HK: 13 April 2014, Sunday, 7.31am Singapore Time
Chart courtesy of Chartnexus.com

Attached above is the daily chart of Genting HK.
Genting is being deliberately suppressed. 
After achieving cup and handle break-up in early 2014 as part of an escape wave, and completing price satisfaction in mid May 2014, Genting is resuming its downtrend.

Bear market target for Genting HK is to break down 31.5 cents and 26 cents respectively.
Downside is tremendous.

Donovan Norfolk Ang Technical Rating:
Bearish
(Sell/Short at the Zones above)
(Bearish also on all international stocks and equities)

Related:
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/2014/04/genting-sp-13-april-2014-sunday-1000am.html



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Friday, 11 April 2014

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 11 April 2014, Friday, 2.59pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
11 April 2014, Friday, 2.59pm Singapore Time


Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
11 April 2014, Friday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are 0 hour 01 minute away from opening for trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 6 hours 31 minutes away from opening for trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +10.000 to +10.000 (MAXIMUM LONGS AT BEARISH REVERSAL POINT: BEARISH BIASED) in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Hands' Calls Holdings on hand changed from +1.449 to +0.423 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ 11th of April of 2014:

+ Big Hands loaded some longs and loaded some bearish puts today: directionless for today
+ Big Hands are still at maximum longs with bearish reversal positions.
+ Big Hands are persistently at Bearish Reversal Mode and unloading bullish Calls / loading bearish puts yet again for the 9th consecutive day: bearish
+ WORLDWIDE BEAR MARKET CONFIRMATIONS HAVE BEEN MADE (WHILE ONE LEAST EXPECTS IT because everything seems to look bullish and rosy).

+ Worldwide Funds Flow Analysis has been PERSISTENTLY in bearish reversal mode as per forewarned.
+ Possibility of dual bearish reversal in International Funds Flow now (Double bearishness).
+ This international Funds Flow movement persistently exhibits the characteristics of a transition to bear markets in worldwide financial markets.
+ The property bear market was forewarned in October 2012.
+ The current stocks and equities worldwide bear market was forewarned in November-December 2013.
+ The current stocks and equities worldwide bear market is being double confirmed and warned currently in April 2014.
+ Immediate-Term dead cat bounce is ending (short and unload on every immediate-term rebound).
+ All 3 Short-Term, Mid-Term and Long-Term trend outlook remain in same direction of being bearish-biased and downtrend-biased.
+ NASDAQ, European markets and Asian markets will remain weak as forewarned.
+ Get out and exit stocks and equities markets: technical dead cat bounce is ending for resumption of worldwide long term downtrend.
+ Worldwide financial markets have been executing technical price discovery to confirm a long term bear market transition.
+ Long Term Investment Funds and Long Term Asset Managers are also unloading stocks and equities based on Funds Flow Model (selling off on technical rebounds) as well as based on all previous capital exodus analysis proofs.
+ In holistic consideration of the macro-analysis:

+ Financial Markets worldwide are generally in the following structures:
+ Immediate term: Technical Rebound Ending
+ Short term: Bearish Reversal (Reversal to Bearish) in execution
+ Mid term: Bearish
+ Long Term: Transition to Nascent Bear Markets

+ The short-term bearish reversal of March 2014 and April 2014 (refer Funds Flow Analysis Chart) is now a tentative confirmation that financial markets are transiting to long term bear markets and resume the November 2013 and December 2013 sells.
+ Markets are bearish-biased: in essence, short, sell and exit stocks & equities on opportunistic intraday technical rebounds (95% stocks will move downtrend while only 5% will buck against the trend).
+ At FFA of +10.000, the short term technical rebounds worldwide are confirming the birth of a new bear market, and these technical rebounds had served as noises to confuse the markets.
+ After the shorts have been squeezed in February/March 2014 as indicated in the worldwide Funds Flow Analysis, the financial markets worldwide are turning to resume bleeding the longs and investment portfolios for the long term.

+ It is prudent to exit the stocks and equities markets.
+ If one is generally still holding investment portfolios in stocks and equities, one is expected to suffer further portfolio damages, a warning that was issued since November-December of 2013. 
+ Nascent long term bear market is coming sooner than one would expect and any immediate term rebounds are good opportunities to exit.

+ Commodities currencies (AUDUSD, NZDUSD) to continue to be hammered as per warned last week and start of this week. (See my Commodities Stock and Commodities Forex Correlation on Synchronisation before the start of this week on the analysis site.

Side-Note:
Read all the hot money, smart money and capital exodus / capital flight articles located at the right hand column of this analysis site. They were in-depth analyses and painstakingly written to help you. I had put in much efforts in those quality articles and giving to you for free. 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




Click "Share" on the Facebook icon at the bottom of this thread if you like it, or 
if you would like to start a discussion about it with friends on your Facebook Wall.