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Wednesday, 4 March 2015

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 4 March 2015, Wednesday, 5.55pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
4 March 2015, Wednesday, 5.55pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
4 March 2015, Wednesday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

US markets (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 04 hours and 35 minutes away from the opening bell.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Money have changed from +5.217 to +7.472 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Monies' Bullish Calls on hand changed from +3.506 to +3.988 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator.  

Big Money Aggregate Strength (posture) in holdings changed from +4.362 to +5.730

Broad Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

In the financial markets worldwide:

+ Smart Monies are in progress for completion of mid-term and long-term tops worldwide.
+ They are actively unloading stocks now; all upmoves worldwide will show weakness now, based on the funds flow movements.

+ Broad markets in stocks and equities are not being bought up generally from November-2014 to February-2015, denoting that an index only rebound had occurred.
+ Look to be cautious, sell and unload stocks on rebounds; avoid buying stocks.

+ Stocks that fail to rally with the positive Funds Flow Analysis of the past few weeks will plunge faster than any other stocks when Funds Flow Analysis of Smart Monies turn negative (shorts) again. 

Aggregate Net Strength in Holdings of Big Monies: +5.730 (Strong Longs)


Worldwide financial markets are executing the following basic technical structures:

Long termTransition to Bear Markets
Mid termSideways but at critical point to decide if uptrends top out or not top out; high probability topping out
Short term: Inflexion Point

<< LONG TERM BEAR MARKET TRANSITIONAL-PHASE WORLDWIDE AS WARNED IN END-2013 AND EARLY-2014 HAS RECEIVED CONFIRMATION IN END-2014 AND EARLY-2015>>

Long term major top for worldwide financial markets forming in 2014:

+ First confirmation of worldwide bear market transition had made in the first half of 2014 per warned earlier.
+ The worldwide bear market transitions have been warned in end-2013 and early-2014 based on technicals and funds flow characteristics of worldwide financial markets.
+ We are receiving 2nd confirmation of worldwide bear market transition in December 2014 and early 2015.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Money Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0.000-0.999: Neutral / Negligible Net Holdings
1.000-2.999: Weak strength / weak holdings
3.000-4.999: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5.000-6.999: Strong strength / high holdings
7.000-8.999:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9.000-10.000:: Maximum strength / maximum holdings

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




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Tuesday, 3 March 2015

USDCAD: 3 March 2015, Tuesday, 11.35pm Singapore Time

USDCAD: 3 March 2015, Tuesday, 11.35pm Singapore Time

Daily Chart of  USDCAD:
USD to correct down, 
CAD to rebound up,
causing USDCAD pair to go down to at least 1.22000.

Canadian Dollar, Australian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar to rebound together with Gold until Gold hits $1550-$1600.

Take USDCAD shorting profits at 1.22000 (Conservative level to take profits)



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Side Note: Strong market vs weak market at turning point




Compare some interesting markets with worldwide Funds Flow Analysis:

Weakest market at inflexion point: Spanish market
Euro STOXX 50: European markets weak in general
Strongest market: Germany
Greece outlier.

Japan is weak at turning point too.



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Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 3 March 2015, Tuesday, 10.20pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
3 March 2015, Tuesday, 10.20pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
3 March 2015, Tuesday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

US markets (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 10 minutes away from the opening bell.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Money have changed from +10.000 (February 26th) to +5.217 (March 3rd) in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Monies' Bullish Calls on hand changed from +3.576 (February 26th) to +3.506 (March 3rd) in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator.  

Big Money Aggregate Strength (posture) in holdings changed from +6.788 (26 Feb) to +4.362 (3 Mar), denoting a -35.74% sharp decrease in bullish holdings on an aggregate combined on all fronts.


Broad Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

In the financial markets worldwide:

+ Smart Monies unloaded a massive half of all longs holdings on hand in a mere few days.
+ Smart Monies are not adding any more bullish calls to their positions.
+ Smart Monies are in progress for completion of mid-long term tops worldwide.

+ Broad markets in stocks and equities are not being bought up generally from November-2014 to February-2015, denoting an index only rebound had occured; look to be cautious, sell and unload stocks on rebounds.

+ Stocks that fail to rally with the positive Funds Flow Analysis of the past few weeks will plunge faster than any other stocks when Funds Flow Analysis of Smart Monies turn negative (shorts) again. 

Aggregate Net Strength in Holdings of Big Monies: +4.362 (Moderdate Longs)


Worldwide financial markets are executing the following basic technical structures:

Long termTransition to Bear Markets
Mid termSideways but at critical point to decide if uptrends top out or not top out; high probability topping out
Short term: Inflexion Point

<< LONG TERM BEAR MARKET TRANSITIONAL-PHASE WORLDWIDE AS WARNED IN END-2013 AND EARLY-2014 HAS RECEIVED CONFIRMATION IN END-2014 AND EARLY-2015>>

Long term major top for worldwide financial markets forming in 2014:

+ First confirmation of worldwide bear market transition had made in the first half of 2014 per warned earlier.
+ The worldwide bear market transitions have been warned in end-2013 and early-2014 based on technicals and funds flow characteristics of worldwide financial markets.
+ We are receiving 2nd confirmation of worldwide bear market transition in December 2014 and early 2015.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Money Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0.000-0.999: Neutral / Negligible Net Holdings
1.000-2.999: Weak strength / weak holdings
3.000-4.999: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5.000-6.999: Strong strength / high holdings
7.000-8.999:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9.000-10.000:: Maximum strength / maximum holdings

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




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Sunday, 1 March 2015

Advanced Straits Times Index Technical Analysis: 1 March 2015, Sunday, 8.30pm Singapore Time

Straits Times Index: 1 March 2015, Sunday, 8.30pm Singapore Time
Chart courtesy of Chartnexus.com

Attached above is the Technical Analysis of the Singapore Straits Times Index.

1. There were two A-B-C Escape Waves as illustrated in chart above.

2. The 1st A-B-C Escape Wave is a Mid-Term Escape Wave highlighted in Dark Green in chart above: this escape wave has achieved price satisfaction wave completion at 3408 points.

3. The 2nd A-B-C Escape Wave is a Short-Term Escape Wave highlighted in Light Green in chart above: this escape wave has achieved price satisfaction completion at 3458 points.

4. What these two ABC Escape Waves are telling you is that in between 1st escape wave and 2nd escape wave, using a range of Straits Times Index = 50 POINTS, the stocks and equities engaged in re-distribution of stocks from the smart hands to the fools' hands.

5. On "supposed break-up" of the double RED resistance lines, market participants who use standard technical analysis bought into the stock markets, while the stock markets used a 50-pt range to unload as much stocks as possible. This explained why the markets in the period of mid-January to March of 2015 refused to rally. This is a bearish distribution immediately following a break up, something which is increasingly becoming a fake break up, fooling 90% of the market traders and investors.

6. Singapore stocks and equities are to resume long term sell off soon: Be cautious.
(Cross reference with Malaysian Markets which was just posted, and the picture becomes clear)

7. The Straits Times Index has so far refused to rally with +10.000 Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow which is bearish in nature.

8. Note also that the region above double RED resistance lines has seen very weak buying, suggesting only retailers and the public (fools' money) have been bullish, not the smart monies: BEARISH

9. Note that in the RED circle region and the RED rectangle region, the selling volume has come back: BEARISH

10. Buying volume has been corrective in nature and selling volume impulsive: BEARISH. Market has been hastening the unloading of stocks using an index-only rebound. Broad markets are weak to rebound, and this is BEARISH in nature.

Investors to continue to suffer wealth destruction in a long term bear market as warned in end-2013 and early-2014. This is still an initial phase (stage 1) of a very long term bear market.

Important Note:

+10.000 FFA means maximum dead cat bounces as pushed by the markets have been completed. End of rebounds. This is consistent with the 2 price satisfaction point that has been achieved by Straits Times Index. This also means stocks across the board is currently more or less achieved maximum rebound from October-2014 to February-2015.

Those stocks that did not rebound within your portfolio, they are revealed by the markets now as weak stocks. Those that did not rebound much are also considered weak stocks. Markets will make new lows for these stocks in the resumption of sell-off.

Weak stocks will be hammered with strong strength (and first to be sold), mid strength stocks will be hammered with mid strength. Strong stocks (those that rebounded quite an amount with the positive Funds Flow) will be hammered the least and start selling only when FFA turns to zero or slight negative.

This is the time for all to look closely at your portfolios and see what I say happen right in your eyes again. All your portfolios will be executing the above in the coming few months.


Refer:
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/2015/02/straits-times-index-22-february-2015.html
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/2015/02/msci-singapore-index-simsci-13-february.html



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KLCI: 1 March 2015, Sunday, 8.07pm Singapore Time

KLCI: 1 March 2015, Sunday, 8.05pm Singapore Time
Chart courtesy of Chartnexus.com

Attached above is the Technical Analysis of KLCI.

1. A-B-C Escape Wave has achieved completion at price satisfaction point of 1824 points. 

2. A-B-C dead cat bounce also coincides with Super Resistance 1 and Super Resistance 2 as above.

3. Malaysian stocks and equities are to resume long term sell off soon: Be cautious.

4. Mid Term Target is 1600 points

5. Long Term Target is a break down of 1526.6 points.

6. The KLCI has so far refused to rally with +10.000 Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow which is bearish in nature.

7. The above bearish analysis will be negated only if Super Resistance 1 and Super Resistance 2 are both captured successfully and made the support. Otherwise, Malaysia Financial Markets is to be treated as a successful transition to early phase bear market.



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Tuesday, 24 February 2015

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 24 February 2015, Tuesday, 10.55pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
24 February 2015, Tuesday, 10.55pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
24 February 2015, Tuesday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Money have changed from +9.020 to +10.000 (Maximum) in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Monies flipped back to Bullish Calls, with Holdings Index Strength changed from +0.720 to +2.959 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator.  

Big Money Aggregate Strength (posture) in holdings changed from +4.870 to +6.480 (Strong Longs)


Broad Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

In the financial markets worldwide:
+ Smart Monies added some longs to make it maximum longs in holdings.
+ Smart Monies added bullish calls to make it weak strength bullish calls in holdings.
+ Smart Monies are still attempting to confirm short term market peaks

+ Broad markets in stocks and equities are not being bought up generally; look to be cautious, sell and unload stocks on rebounds.

+ Stocks that fail to rally with the positive Funds Flow Analysis of the past few weeks will plunge faster than any other stocks when Funds Flow Analysis of Smart Monies turn negative (shorts) again. 

Aggregate Net Strength in Holdings of Big Monies: +6.480 (Strong Longs)


Worldwide financial markets are executing the following basic technical structures:

Long termTransition to Bear Markets
Mid termSideways but at critical point to decide if uptrends top out or not top out; high probability topping out
Short term: Uptrend But Attempting To Confirm Market Peak Now

<< LONG TERM BEAR MARKET TRANSITIONAL-PHASE WORLDWIDE AS WARNED IN END-2013 AND EARLY-2014 HAS RECEIVED CONFIRMATION IN END-2014 AND EARLY-2015>>

Long term major top for worldwide financial markets forming in 2014:

+ First confirmation of worldwide bear market transition had made in the first half of 2014 per warned earlier.
+ The worldwide bear market transitions have been warned in end-2013 and early-2014 based on technicals and funds flow characteristics of worldwide financial markets.
+ We are receiving 2nd confirmation of worldwide bear market transition in December 2014 and early 2015.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Money Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0.000-0.999: Neutral / Negligible Net Holdings
1.000-2.999: Weak strength / weak holdings
3.000-4.999: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5.000-6.999: Strong strength / high holdings
7.000-8.999:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9.000-10.000:: Maximum strength / maximum holdings

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




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if you would like to start a discussion about it with friends on your Facebook Wall.

Sunday, 22 February 2015

Straits Times Index: 22 February 2015, Sunday, 11.10am Singapore Time

Straits Times Index: 22 February 2015, Sunday, 11.10am Singapore Time
Chart courtesy of Chartnexus.com

Bearish Ascending Wedge hidden inside Straits Times Index from September 2014 to February 2015. This is signs of further distribution (unload) in stocks from the smart monies to the foolish monies.

Stocks and equities to carry on being unloaded as warned in end-2013 and early-2014.



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US Dollar: 22 February 2015, Sunday, 10.35am Singapore Time

US Dollar: 22 February 2015, Sunday, 10.35am Singapore Time
Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com


USD and USD Index will sell off towards 85.00-90.00 Cyclical Support band on the fact that every Tom, Dick and Harry knows that FED interest rates will be raised this year 2015. This will be yet another reverse logic move that sucks money from naive traders and naive investors who trade or invest on stale news.

US Dollar Supercycle Resistance (Very strong sell pressure):

1. Gold to have a large escape wave to $1550-$1600, Silver and Oil to have major dead cat bounces until gold hits $1550-$1600 and USD Index hits green support band at 85.00-90.00 as above;
Inter-Reference with Gold:
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/2015/02/gold-gld-etf-18-february-2015-wednesday.html
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/2015/02/gold-19-february-2015-thursday-830am.html

2. Commodities to execute escape wave rebounds;

 3. Stocks and equities to sell off.
Inter-Reference with Straits Times Index and MSCI Singapore as illustrative example:
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/2015/02/msci-singapore-index-simsci-13-february.html
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/2015/02/straits-times-index-22-february-2015.html

4. EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY, CAD, NZD and AUD to have dead cat bounce until USD Index hits 85.00-90.00 band as above on chart.
Inter-Reference with Euro analysis as illustrative example:
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/2015/02/eurusd-3-february-2015-tuesday-941pm.html

*Euro Currency Note: 
Markets may price in Greece's 4-month negotiation extension with creditors as "will be successful" by having Euro going up first. This will wipe out Euro shorts that shorted on breakdowns in the market. If negotiation is indeed successful 4 months later, markets to sell Euro on news 4 months later; if negotiation fails, markets to sell and hammer Euro doubly hard 4 months later. 
What is assured? 4 months later --> Sell Euro (Euro shorts would had been wiped out)

5. The above executions (reverse psychology moves) will inflict majority of traders and investors with another round of losses.

6. Markets like to play reverse psychology so that everyone loses on logic thinking. Those who follow trends, you are often late on trend, by the time an obvious trend is formed and you can see the trend, so does the whole world. If the whole world can see a trend just like you do and wins money, then who loses if everyone wins? This is then the time you lose money like the whole world of traders and investors do. Because you saw a trend like everyone does.

7. Many "experts" are now coming out with stale trend charts of everything that had already been happened in the market commenting on how the trend will carry on. The reverse play is coming soon when self-proclaimed gurus are coming out to draw late trend charts and commenting like a pro on nice trends that seemed to be going to go on perpetually.



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