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Friday, 12 February 2016

France CAC40 Index Technical Analysis: 12 February 2016, Friday, 5.26pm Singapore Time

France CAC40 Index Technical Analysis: 
12 February 2016, Friday, 5.26pm Singapore Time

Attached above is the weekly chart of the France CAC40 Index.
Europe are in the midst of testing critical supports, while Asia has already broken down critical supports.

Worldwide markets are expected to have a critical escape wave rebound in 1H2016, and the above dark brown arrow shows how the French markets may execute its shoulder head shoulder last escape wave before the bear market takes over.

Asian Markets: 
Bear Market, awaiting bear market escape wave rally (Bear Market Rally/Final Escape Wave)

European Markets
In transition for final re-distribution (Rebound for Last Phase Re-Distribution)

US Markets: 
final phase of bull market (Last Wave Up to End Bull Market)


Thursday, 11 February 2016

USDCHF Technical Analysis: 11 February 2016, Thursday, 3.34pm Singapore Time

USDCHF Technical Analysis: 11 February 2016, Thursday, 3.34pm Singapore Time


Attached above is the weekly chart of USDCHF.
Strong show of intention in the shorting of USDCHF (selloff in USD to buy CHF) as shown in chart above. All in depth technical analyses are also illustrated in the USDCHF chart. 

Note that on 5th of August of 2014, I had warned of a major move in the Swiss Francs to parity and that it would turn into heavy shorts on parity (1.0000) with USD:
This was followed with the USDCHF meltdown as below:
Swiss Francs Parity with USD
(USDCHF Weekly Chart)

USDCHF is being rejected at the parity resistance band as above, and being shorted another round by smart monies worldwide.

However, under a secular trend market, USDCHF may try to find support at the green double bottom area at 0.92000 to reinforce the weak support to become a strong support before resuming secular uptrend and smashing its way up beyond parity level.

:: Related ::
All Past USDCHF Analyses:


NASDAQ-100 Technical Analysis For Your Learning of My Mistake: 11 February 2016, Thursday, 2.15pm Singapore Time

NASDAQ-100 Technical Analysis For Your Learning of My Mistake: 
11 February 2016, Thursday, 2.15pm Singapore Time

This is a follow up of my longs previously on 16 Jan 2016:

Attached above is the 4-Hourly Chart for NASDAQ 100 Index as well as my longs entry, stops placed and exit point. The positions in large contracts turned from heavy wins into heavy losses in just one sudden flip, and I am choosing to exit to preserve trading portfolio capital. It is a tough decision, since Funds Flow Analysis worldwide is still a no-shorts. Exiting positions with losses, -US$54,351 USD, from NASDAQ-100 Longs as part of risk management approach. Painful but adopting disciplined risk management since in the 4-hourly chart, selling is more impulsive than any rebound.

Above are the losses in ($) US Dollar (USD).
Below are the losses converted into (SD) Singapore Dollar (SGD).


Losses in this trade:
-S$ 77,065 SGD
(-US$ 54,351 USD)

Cumulative:
S$ 330,710 - S$ 77,065
= + S$ 253,645 SGD

Trading Journal:


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Wednesday, 10 February 2016

Hang Seng Index Technical Analysis For Your Learning: 10 February 2016, Wednesday, 11.01am Singapore Time


Hang Seng Index Technical Analysis For Your Learning: 
10 February 2016, Wednesday, 11.01am Singapore Time

Attached above is the Daily Chart for Hang Seng Index as well as my longs entry, stops placed and exit point. Exiting partial positions with losses, -HK$100,222.50 on Hong Kong Hang Seng Longs as part of risk management.


Above are the losses in ($HK) Hong Kong Dollar (HKD).
Below are the losses converted into (SD) Singapore Dollar (SGD).



Losses in this trade:
-S$ 18,162 SGD

Cumulative:
S$ 348,872 - S$ 18,162
= + S$ 330,710 SGD

Trading Journal:


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Friday, 5 February 2016

EURUSD Technical Analysis For Your Learning: 5 February 2016, Friday, 12.55am Singapore Time


EURUSD Technical Analysis For Your Learning: 
5 February 2016, Friday, 12.55am Singapore Time

On 27th January 2016, I warned that EURUSD will flip from bearishness to high bullishness, with a Reverse Shoulder-Head-Shoulder in place as follows: http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/2016/01/eurusd-technical-analysis-27-january.html

Attached above is the 4-Hourly Chart for EURUSD as well as my longs entry, stops placed and exit point after my analysis of bullishness on EURUSD on 27th Jan 2016:
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/2016/01/eurusd-technical-analysis-27-january.html

EURUSD has rallied crazily in just a span of a few days following the analysis, which spiked my profits crazily. I am taking profits on major break-ups in EURUSD, making use of the good sentiments on EURUSD right now.

:: Related ::
Previous EURUSD Analysis:
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/2016/01/eurusd-technical-analysis-27-january.html

Above are the profits in ($) US Dollar (USD).
Below are the profits converted into (SD) Singapore Dollar (SGD).



Profits in this trade:
+S$ 131,955 SGD

Cumulative:
S$ 216,917 + S$ 131,955
= + S$ 348,872 SGD

Trading Journal:


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Thursday, 4 February 2016

AUDUSD Advanced Technical Analysis: 4 February 2016, Thursday, 5.55pm Singapore Time


AUDUSD Advanced Technical Analysis: 
4 February 2016, Thursday, 5.55pm Singapore Time

Attached above is the weekly chart of AUDUSD. 
For those interested in how a bottom forms, the attached technicals above with full illustrations depict how a bottoming process executes and forms.

Target as highlighted by the orange wave projection in chart.


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Germany DAX Index Technical Analysis: 4 February 2016, Thursday, 11.10am Singapore Time

Germany DAX Index Technical Analysis: 
4 February 2016, Thursday, 11.10am Singapore Time

Attached above is the weekly chart of Germany DAX Index. 
Germany is leading Europe.
Hot monies want to flow into Europe with Germany leading.
I am transferring partial HSI capital into DAX.

Zone of Super Support:
Blue Band of Support and Black Band of Support.
Worldwide Funds Flow in All Financial Markets:
No Shorts, but Strong Longs


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Gold Technical Analysis: 4 February 2016, Thursday, 10.35am Singapore Time

Gold Technical Analysis: 
4 February 2016, Thursday, 10.35am Singapore Time

Attached is the weekly chart of Gold.
Gold is nearing the end of the 66.67% consolidation triangle. 
It is ending its smart monies' accumulation soon and is preparing to break up in 2016/2017. 
Gold's rally target is $1550-$1600.
Invest not in stocks, invest in gold. Take profits of all Gold Investment when $1550 approaches.
Take profits of all Gold investments in 2 or 3 batches when it comes:
1. $1500 ; 2. $1550 ; 3. $1600

USD will have significant yet healthy correction in 2016, and Gold and Oil will have significant rally in 2016 (Bear Market Rally in Commodities, a common phenomenon of Escape Wave)


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Wednesday, 3 February 2016

Hang Seng Index Technical Risk Management For Your Learning: 3 February 2016, Wednesday, 4.35pm Singapore Time


Hang Seng Index Technical Analysis For Your Learning: 
3 February 2016, Wednesday, 4.35pm Singapore Time

Attached above is the weekly chart for Hang Seng Index as well as my longs entry, stops placed and exit point 
(risk management unloading). 
Decided to exit partial longs holdings on Hang Seng for risk management purposes, although the Hang Seng buys were bought at the low.

:: Related ::
All Past Hang Seng Index Analyses:
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/search/label/Hang%20Seng%20Index

Above are the losses in (HK) Hong Kong Dollar (HKD).
Below are the losses converted into (SD) Singapore Dollar (SGD).



Losses in this trade:
-S$ 8,641 SGD

Cumulative:
S$ 225,558 - S$ 8,641
= + S$ 216,917 SGD

Trading Journal:


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Tuesday, 2 February 2016

AUDCAD Technical Analysis: 2 February 2016, Tuesday, 1.02am Singapore Time

AUDCAD Technical Analysis: 
2 February 2016, Tuesday, 1.02am Singapore Time

Attached above is the daily chart of AUDCAD:
Long if breakup dark blue triangle;
Do nothing if breakdown dark blue triangle.


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Monday, 1 February 2016

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 1 February 2016, Monday, 8.12pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
1 February 2016, Monday, 8.12pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
1 February 2016, Monday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

US markets (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 02 hours 18 minutes away from opening for trading while European markets are in the first 04 hours 12 minutes of trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Monies have changed from +10.000 (Maximum Strength Longs) to +10.000 (Maximum Strength Longs) in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Smart Monies have flipped into bearish puts, with puts on hand changed to -0.107 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator.  

Big Money Aggregated Strength (posture) in holdings changed from +5.248 to +4.947  in strength (Smart Monies are Moderate Strength Longs in Aggregated Holdings Now)

Broad Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

In the financial markets worldwide today:

+ Worldwide Smart Monies maintain MAXIMUM LONGS STRENGTH IN HOLDINGS irregardless of market volatility in any direction
+ Smart Monies have flipped from bullish calls into negligible amount of bearish puts.
+ Bearish puts are protective puts.
+ Overall, Smart Monies are now bullish longs with bearish puts.

+ For 2016, US markets of Dow Jones Industrial Avg, S&P 500 and NASDAQ composite are still expected to break up more all time new highs since 2008 financial crisis.

Worldwide financial markets are executing the following basic technical structures:

Long termLast wave up for US markets; Bear Markets for Asia & Europe
Mid term Correction bottoming out
Short term: Uptrend

The order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear markets respectively

While Long Term Major Top starts to form in indices worldwide, the following is the order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear market respectively:

1. Weakest stocks (2.27% of the entire broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2012, making it 2.27% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make highs). 

2. Weaker stocks (the next 13.59% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2013, making it 2.27%+13.59%=15.86% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make new highs but with deceleration). 

3. Weak stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2014, making it 15.86%+34.13%=49.99% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to consolidate and to peak out)

4. Strong stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2015, making it 49.99%+34.13%=84.12% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to start to go downtrend)

5. The stronger and the strongest stocks (the remaining 15.88% of the broad market) will transit into their bear markets in 2016 onwards, making it 84.12%+15.88%=100% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices in bear market).

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Money Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0.000-0.999: Neutral / Negligible Net Holdings
1.000-2.999: Weak strength / weak holdings
3.000-4.999: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5.000-6.999: Strong strength / high holdings
7.000-8.999:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9.000-10.000:: Maximum strength / maximum holdings

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.



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Saturday, 30 January 2016

USDJPY Technical Analysis For Your Learning: 30 January 2016, Saturday, 2.22am Singapore Time


USDJPY Technical Analysis For Your Learning: 
30 January 2016, Saturday, 2.22am Singapore Time

Attached above is the daily chart for USDPY as well as my longs entry, stops placed and exit point (profits taking point).
After shorting the Japanese Yen by buying USDJPY, I am taking all my USDJPY longs profits before the forex market closes in 3-4 hours' time.

Bank of Japan's news release of negative interest rates shocked markets, but actually are markets really that shocked? Of course not. 10 days ago, i.e. 8 trading days ago, I already said, based on technicals, USDJPY was going to rebound (refer to attached link below). I even charted the path of the rebound, and bought before the news. USDJPY is now going where I said it is going, and I am taking profits and selling USDJPY on news.

This is the technique of buy-before-the-news (buy on breakdown, buy on fear) and sell-on-news when sentiment is good (sell on rally, sell on greed).

¥2.6 million Yen profits in 10 days, or S$30k SGD in 10 days, translating to +S$3k SGD per day. There is no need to even go in-out-in-out-in-out the market like a confusing busy idiot. Go in, sleep, alarm clock sounds, wake up, take profits, go shopping. Simple and sweet.

:: Related ::
Previous USDJPY Analysis (made 10 days ago) as below:
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/2016/01/usdjpy-technical-analysis-20-january_20.html

Above are the profits in (¥) Japanese Yen (JPY).
Below are the profits converted into (SD) Singapore Dollar (SGD).



Profits in this trade:
+S$ 30,581 SGD

Cumulative:
S$ 194,977 + S$ 30,581
= + S$ 225,558 SGD

Trading Journal:


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Friday, 29 January 2016

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 29 January 2016, Friday, 9.59pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
29 January 2016, Friday, 9.59pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
29 January 2016, Friday, 9.59pm

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

US markets (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 00 hour 31 minutes away from opening for trading while European markets are in the first 05 hours 59 minutes of trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Monies have changed from +10.000 (Maximum Strength Longs) to +10.000 (Maximum Strength Longs) in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Smart Monies' Bullish Calls Holdings on hand changed from +0.816 to +0.495 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator.  

Big Money Aggregated Strength (posture) in holdings changed from +5.408 to +5.248 in strength (Smart Monies are Strong Strength Longs in Aggregated Holdings Currently)

Broad Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

In the financial markets worldwide today:

+ Worldwide Smart Monies maintain MAXIMUM LONGS STRENGTH IN HOLDINGS irregardless of market volatility in any direction
+ The amount of longs held by Smart Monies have shot through the roof.
+ Worldwide Smart monies consolidated their bullish calls in holdings.
+ Worldwide Smart Monies are dual longs in holdings.
+ Worldwide Smart Monies are bullish biased in the short-mid term.
+ There is no protection against any downside (i.e. bullish)
+ Pre-CNY and Lunar New Year/Chinese New Year Worldwide Stock Market Rallies expected.

+ For 2016, US markets of Dow Jones Industrial Avg, S&P 500 and NASDAQ composite are still expected to break up more all time new highs since 2008 financial crisis.

Worldwide financial markets are executing the following basic technical structures:

Long termLast wave up for US markets; Bear Markets for Asia & Europe
Mid term Correction bottoming out
Short term: Uptrend

The order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear markets respectively

While Long Term Major Top starts to form in indices worldwide, the following is the order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear market respectively:

1. Weakest stocks (2.27% of the entire broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2012, making it 2.27% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make highs). 

2. Weaker stocks (the next 13.59% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2013, making it 2.27%+13.59%=15.86% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make new highs but with deceleration). 

3. Weak stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2014, making it 15.86%+34.13%=49.99% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to consolidate and to peak out)

4. Strong stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2015, making it 49.99%+34.13%=84.12% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to start to go downtrend)

5. The stronger and the strongest stocks (the remaining 15.88% of the broad market) will transit into their bear markets in 2016 onwards, making it 84.12%+15.88%=100% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices in bear market).

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Money Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0.000-0.999: Neutral / Negligible Net Holdings
1.000-2.999: Weak strength / weak holdings
3.000-4.999: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5.000-6.999: Strong strength / high holdings
7.000-8.999:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9.000-10.000:: Maximum strength / maximum holdings

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.



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