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Wednesday 31 July 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 31 July 2013, Wednesday, 5.35pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
31 July 2013, Wednesday, 5.35pm Singapore Time

Computed FFA For Worldwide Financial Markets

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the 3rd hour of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 3 hours 55 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +4.204 to -1.351 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Puts Holdings changed from -4.191 to -4.340 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Big Hands unexpectedly flipped from large longs of yesterday to even larger shorts today.
+ Holdings of Big Hands have dramatically flipped from Longs to Shorts now.
+ Big Hands still persist to hold non-insignificant amount of puts too.
+ Possibly, Ben Bernanke will have bad things to say during the FOMC release.
+ All is not well.
+ Possible sell-down tonight as the amount of sells today by the smart monies, before US markets open, is extremely huge.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ Many international markets will be testing bear-bull boundaries after the short term rebounds worldwide.
+ Weak markets (e.g. Philippines, India, Korea etc) are already entering into Bear Market Zones at high points.
+ Strong markets (e.g. US, Singapore, Germany, etc) had held on to critical supports temporarily and will attempt to bounce off these critical supports; these critical supports will get tested repeatedly (their critical supports are being tested currently).
+ US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) will go on to make all time new highs while all other markets are in precarious modes.
+ Rebounds of emerging economies will merely be dead cat bounces.

In essence, there will be 3 groups of BIG MARKET MOVEMENTS from now:

1st Group (Weak Markets): 
Weak markets such as Korea, Philippines, Indonesia, Spain etc.
These markets already broke down critical supports which denote initial bear market stage; these will do dead cat bouncing back-tests (falling knife dead cat rebounds). 
Sell on rebounds.

2nd group (Mid-strength Markets): 

Singapore, Hong Kong, UK, France, etc
These markets will rebound off critical supports now (STI 2925-3065 pts, HSI 19000-19500 pts, FTSE-UK 5900-6000 pts as analysed previously), with no breakdowns yet. Refer to all past technical analyses.
Ride, observe and be cautiously ready to sell.

3rd grp (Strong Markets): 

US Markets of S&P500, DJIA and NASDAQ.
These markets will make all time new highs and throw a big array of confusions to traders, investors and analysts. While US will go on to make all time new highs, weak markets' rebounds will confirm bear market and mid-strength markets may transit to bear market phase in this rebound.
Ride and observe and be cautious.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.

Tuesday 30 July 2013

EUR/GBP: 30 July 2013, Tuesday, 7.50pm Singapore Time


EUR/GBP: 30 July 2013, Tuesday, 7.50pm Singapore Time

Added Mid-sized Shorts EUR-GBP @ 0.8681

Accumulating shorts on EUR-GBP

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 30 July 2013, Tuesday, 3.55pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
30 July 2013, Tuesday, 3.55pm Singapore Time

Computed FFA For Worldwide Financial Markets

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are 5 minutes away from opening for trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 5 hours 35 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +0.594 to +4.204 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Puts Holdings changed from -4.400 to -4.191 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Big Hands are generally big longs today, loading up buys.
+ However, Big Hands are still protecting themselves with puts.
+ Markets are turning from bearish-bias to neutral and towards bullish bias now.
+ A short term rally is in the making now.
+ Possible rally tonight when US markets open in 5 hours 35 minutes time.
+ Possible rally in August 2013.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ Many international markets will be testing bear-bull boundaries after the short term rebounds worldwide.
+ Weak markets (e.g. Philippines, India, Korea etc) are already entering into Bear Market Zones at high points.
+ Strong markets (e.g. US, Singapore, Germany, etc) had held on to critical supports temporarily and will attempt to bounce off these critical supports; these critical supports will get tested repeatedly (their critical supports are being tested currently).
+ US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) will go on to make all time new highs while all other markets are in precarious modes.
+ Rebounds of emerging economies will merely be dead cat bounces.

In essence, there will be 3 groups of BIG MARKET MOVEMENTS from now:

1st Group (Weak Markets): 
Weak markets such as Korea, Philippines, Indonesia, Spain etc.
These markets already broke down critical supports which denote initial bear market stage; these will do dead cat bouncing back-tests (falling knife dead cat rebounds). 
Sell on rebounds.

2nd group (Mid-strength Markets): 

Singapore, Hong Kong, UK, France, etc
These markets will rebound off critical supports now (STI 2925-3065 pts, HSI 19000-19500 pts, FTSE-UK 5900-6000 pts as analysed previously), with no breakdowns yet. Refer to all past technical analyses.
Ride, observe and be cautiously ready to sell.

3rd grp (Strong Markets): 

US Markets of S&P500, DJIA and NASDAQ.
These markets will make all time new highs and throw a big array of confusions to traders, investors and analysts. While US will go on to make all time new highs, weak markets' rebounds will confirm bear market and mid-strength markets may transit to bear market phase in this rebound.
Ride and observe and be cautious.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.

Monday 29 July 2013

EUR-GBP: 29 July 2013, Monday, 5.44pm Singapore Time


EUR-GBP: 29 July 2013, Monday, 5.44pm Singapore Time

Initial Small Short on EUR-GBP @ 0.8631

Accumulating shorts on EUR-GBP

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 29 July 2013, Monday, 5.05pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
29 July 2013, Monday, 5.05pm Singapore Time

Computed FFA For Worldwide Financial Markets

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the 3rd hour of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 4 hours 25 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +0.797 to +0.594 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Puts Holdings changed from -4.346 to -4.400 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Consolidation Day.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ Many international markets will be testing bear-bull boundaries.
+ Weak markets (e.g. Philippines, India, Korea etc) are already entering into Bear Market Zones at high points.
+ Strong markets (e.g. US, Singapore, Germany, etc) had held on to critical supports temporarily and will attempt to bounce off these critical supports; these critical supports will get tested repeatedly (their critical supports are being tested currently).
+ US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) will go on to make all time new highs while all other markets are in precarious modes.
+ Rebounds of emerging economies will merely be dead cat bounces.

In essence, there will be 3 groups of BIG MARKET MOVEMENTS from now:

1st Group (Weak Markets): 
Weak markets such as Korea, Philippines, Indonesia, Spain etc.
These markets already broke down critical supports which denote initial bear market stage; these will do dead cat bouncing back-tests (falling knife dead cat rebounds). 
Sell on rebounds.

2nd group (Mid-strength Markets): 

Singapore, Hong Kong, UK, France, etc
These markets will rebound off critical supports now (STI 2925-3065 pts, HSI 19000-19500 pts, FTSE-UK 5900-6000 pts as analysed previously), with no breakdowns yet. Refer to all past technical analyses.
Ride, observe and be cautiously ready to sell.

3rd grp (Strong Markets): 

US Markets of S&P500, DJIA and NASDAQ.
These markets will make all time new highs and throw a big array of confusions to traders, investors and analysts. While US will go on to make all time new highs, weak markets' rebounds will confirm bear market and mid-strength markets may transit to bear market phase in this rebound.
Ride and observe and be cautious.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.

Apple Inc (AAPL): 29 July 2013, Monday, 12.28am Singapore Time


Apple Inc: 29 July 2013, Monday, 12.28am Singapore Time
Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

US Market Stock: Apple (NASDAQ: APPL)

Attached is the Technical Analysis of Apple listed in the NASDAQ (US Stock Market).

Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) has formed a short-mid term technical rebound double bottom and is now poised for a technical rebound.

Based on Technical Structure,

Long: $429.00-$440.99

Target 1: $476.50-$498.55 (First Resistance), representing at least $36 per share profit.
Target 2: $530.00 (Double Bottom Price Satisfaction), representing $89 per share profit.


This Technical Rebound is targeted to wipe out late Apple shortists who do not have holding power to their shorts.
Take longs/buys/investment profits on APPLE (APPL) when the above targets are hit.



Donovan's Market Analysis:

Friday 26 July 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 26 July 2013, Friday, 2.45pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
26 July 2013, Friday, 2.45pm Singapore Time

Computed FFA For Worldwide Financial Markets

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are 15 minutes away from opening for trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 6 hours 45 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +1.895 to +0.797 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Puts Holdings changed from -3.676 to -4.346 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Dual Sells today by Big Hands
+ Profit-taking of immediate-term longs
+ Persistent increase and holding of non-insignificant amount of Bearish Puts.
+ The smart monies are persistently non-bullish biased (i.e. selling-biased).
+ If one is going longs, prudence and cautious approach is to be taken.
+ European markets and US markets may sell down tonight.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ Many international markets will be testing bear-bull boundaries.
+ Weak markets (e.g. Philippines, India, Korea etc) are already entering into Bear Market Zones at high points.
+ Strong markets (e.g. US, Singapore, Germany, etc) had held on to critical supports temporarily and will attempt to bounce off these critical supports; these critical supports will get tested repeatedly (their critical supports are being tested currently).
+ US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) will go on to make all time new highs while all other markets are in precarious modes.
+ Rebounds of emerging economies will merely be dead cat bounces.

In essence, there will be 3 groups of BIG MARKET MOVEMENTS from now:

1st Group (Weak Markets): 
Weak markets such as Korea, Philippines, Indonesia, Spain etc.
These markets already broke down critical supports which denote initial bear market stage; these will do dead cat bouncing back-tests (falling knife dead cat rebounds). 
Sell on rebounds.

2nd group (Mid-strength Markets): 

Singapore, Hong Kong, UK, France, etc
These markets will rebound off critical supports now (STI 2925-3065 pts, HSI 19000-19500 pts, FTSE-UK 5900-6000 pts as analysed previously), with no breakdowns yet. Refer to all past technical analyses.
Ride, observe and be cautiously ready to sell.

3rd grp (Strong Markets): 

US Markets of S&P500, DJIA and NASDAQ.
These markets will make all time new highs and throw a big array of confusions to traders, investors and analysts. While US will go on to make all time new highs, weak markets' rebounds will confirm bear market and mid-strength markets may transit to bear market phase in this rebound.
Ride and observe and be cautious.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.

Thursday 25 July 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 25 July 2013, Thursday, 2.15pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
25 July 2013, Thursday, 2.15pm Singapore Time

Computed FFA For Worldwide Financial Markets

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are 45 minutes away from opening for trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 7 hours 15 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +0.663 to +1.895 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Puts Holdings changed from -3.632 to -3.676 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Consolidation Day.
+ Persistent holding of non-insignificant amount of Bearish Puts for protection.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ Many international markets will be testing bear-bull boundaries.
+ Weak markets (e.g. Philippines, India, Korea etc) are already entering into Bear Market Zones at high points.
+ Strong markets (e.g. US, Singapore, Germany, etc) had held on to critical supports temporarily and will attempt to bounce off these critical supports; these critical supports will get tested repeatedly (their critical supports are being tested currently).
+ US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) will go on to make all time new highs while all other markets are in precarious modes.
+ Rebounds of emerging economies will merely be dead cat bounces.

In essence, there will be 3 groups of BIG MARKET MOVEMENTS from now:

1st Group (Weak Markets): 
Weak markets such as Korea, Philippines, Indonesia, Spain etc.
These markets already broke down critical supports which denote initial bear market stage; these will do dead cat bouncing back-tests (falling knife dead cat rebounds). 
Sell on rebounds.

2nd group (Mid-strength Markets): 

Singapore, Hong Kong, UK, France, etc
These markets will rebound off critical supports now (STI 2925-3065 pts, HSI 19000-19500 pts, FTSE-UK 5900-6000 pts as analysed previously), with no breakdowns yet. Refer to all past technical analyses.
Ride, observe and be cautiously ready to sell.

3rd grp (Strong Markets): 

US Markets of S&P500, DJIA and NASDAQ.
These markets will make all time new highs and throw a big array of confusions to traders, investors and analysts. While US will go on to make all time new highs, weak markets' rebounds will confirm bear market and mid-strength markets may transit to bear market phase in this rebound.
Ride and observe and be cautious.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.