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Wednesday, 31 January 2018

Tenaris S.A (NYSE: TS): 31 January 2018, Wednesday, 1.43pm Singapore Time


Tenaris S.A (NYSE: TS):
31 January 2018, Wednesday, 1.43pm Singapore Time
(Click on Technical Chart above to Expand)

Attached above is the technicals for Tenaris S.A, a metals fabrication company that is incorporated in Luxembourg and listed in the US Market of NYSE. Tenaris' operations span around the globe. Their industrial system integrates steelmaking, pipe rolling and forming, heat treatment, threading and finishing across many countries. Tenaris is a leading supplier of metal tubes and related services for the world’s energy industry and certain other industrial applications. The orange region is the fake gap-down volume where accumulation occured. The 2 light green circled regions are high volume accumulations. Dark green region is another round of buying, this time with full control. The island reversal is illustrated in purple. Tenaris has changed to resume a long term uptrend with $31.50 being used as the neckline for significant re-accumulation. Current prices are a strong buy.

The Donovan Norfolk Technical Rating:
Very Bullish
(Strong Buy)


Development Bank of Singapore (DBS): 31 January 2018, Wednesday, 9.28am Singapore Time

Development Bank of Singapore (DBS): 
31 January 2018, Wednesday, 9.28am Singapore Time
(Click on Technical Chart above to Expand)

Using overnight consecutive dips from Wall Street, DBS has now been set up for immediate buying for February of 2018. Any price that is put up on offer at the sell queue for 31 January of 2018, just grab. This represents final chance to buy cheaply, to average up or to add on dips.

The Donovan Norfolk Technical Rating:
Continue to be Very Bullish

Tuesday, 30 January 2018

Exelixis Inc (NASD: EXEL): 30 January 2018, Tuesday, 3.28pm Singapore Time

Exelixis Inc (NASD: EXEL):
30 January 2018, Tuesday, 3.28pm Singapore Time
(Click on Technical Chart above to Expand)

Attached above is the technicals for Exelixis, a company that is listed in the NASDAQ. Exelixis is a genomics-based drug discovery company, and the producer of Cometriq, a treatment approved by the FDA for medullary thyroid cancer with clinical activity in several other types of metastatic cancer. It holds a number of high value biomedical patents. The orange region shows the first high volume absorption of Exelixis at $24 region. Blue circled regions are the deliberate volume absorptions at $23-$28 region. Green circled regions are impulsive buys at $25-$28 region. Fellow smart monies in Wall Street have a lot of deliberate buys on Exelixis at $23-$28 region in conclusion. We are currently not far from their buys. Expect +100% upside from this stock. This stock is supported with moving average rising uptrends.

The Donovan Norfolk Technical Rating:
Very Bullish
(Strong Buy)


Keppel Corporation: 30 January 2018, Tuesday, 12.45am Singapore Time

Keppel Corporation: 
30 January 2018, Tuesday, 12.45am Singapore Time
(Click on Chart Attached above to Expand)

Attached above is the Technicals for Keppel Corporation, the largest oil-rig builder in the world. 

The First Green Circled Region is the Donovan Norfolk Live Warnings in 1H-2016 declaring the green region to be the rock bottom for Keppel Corp together with my live crude oil analyses back in 1H-2016. During 1H-2016, I declared that crude oil would make rock bottom at US$30 per barrel. Keppel Corp bottomed at $4.30 true to my words

The Second Green Circled Region is the Donovan Norfolk Live Warnings on 10 September 2017 cautioning with Technical Analysis that this region would be another bottom for the Keppel Corp Buys at optimal zone, and warning that Keppel Corp, Crude Oil and Crude Oil Stocks would continue to super rally. Keppel Corp made another bottom with precision true to my words from the $6.27 buy point on 10 September 2017.

The Third Green Circled Region is the Donovan Norfolk Live Warnings on 6 November 2017 teaching you in live analysis how after breaking up of $7.00, Keppel Corp will pull back to $6.80-$7.00 for precision buy-on-dips before making super rally again. 1 month later, Keppel Corp did exactly to all that I had forewarned, making a dip to my precision point at Forth Green Circled Region before rallying again to the Light Green Rectangular Zone

This Light Green Rectangular Zone of rally made by Keppel Corp also fell in line with my special analyses on the first week of 2018 preempting that commodity stocks (including energy and crude oil stocks) will super rally in 2018 and 2019. Keppel Corp did exactly that and executed a Run-away/Break-away gap up with full control, breaking up $9.37 resistance with extremely high volumes. 

Keppel Corp's Tentative Target Price 1 is $18.00 and Target Price 2 is $20.00

Target Price 2 represents a +465% from The Donovan Norfolk Crude Oil Bottom caught with precision, a +319% from my 10 September 2017 Buys, a +279% from my 6 November 2017 teachings of catching the dip which was executed with precision, and a slightly more than +200% from current point.

Keppel Corporation has been consistently buying back shares at prevailing market prices, and these consistent share buy-backs at current market prices are in my opinion considered shrewd and brilliant because crude oil is going to slowly and gradually climb up to $US175-US$180 per barrel. Brilliant moves by Keppel Corp, the largest oil rig builder in the world. They know their markets very well. This makes Keppel Corp, the crude oil energy related stock, a continued must-buy because in addition to everything going right, they have a highly shrewd management.


The Donovan Norfolk Technical Rating:
Very Bullish
(Historical High Never Seen Before is in the Making)
(Expected to rally for the rest of 2018 and into 2019)


Past Related Analyses (MUST READ IN DETAIL):



Sunday, 28 January 2018

Crude Oil Target -- US$175 to US$180 per barrel: 28 January 2018, Sunday, 6.30pm Singapore Time

Crude Oil Target -- US$175 to US$180 per barrel: 
28 January 2018, Sunday, 6.30pm Singapore Time
(Click on Technical Chart above to Expand)

Attached above is the Super-Cycle Trajectories of International Light Crude Oil (WTI Oil). The Dark Yellow Circled Region is The Donovan Norfolk Live Warnings in 2H-2013 to 1H-2014 fore-warning that Crude Oil would crash soon when it was breathing above the $100 mark. A few months after my final warnings, crude oil started to crash from 3Q-2014. During 2013-2015, I had also forewarned that the impending weakness in crude oil would generally cause Asia markets to be weak and that would easily cause most people to lose money more than they would like to make money in investments and trades, this was enacted in Asia as well after my cautions. The importance of crude oil and its cascading multiplier effect to economies just cannot be under-rated.

The Green Circled Region is The Donovan Norfolk Live Analysis Rating in 1H-2016 putting US$30 per barrel as the rock bottom for Crude Oil Crash to end. Back then, the entire world shouted for US$10 per barrel crude oil. I had cautioned that anything below US$30 would be an overdone that had been caused merely by the herd who had acted sell on fear, a price not intended by smart monies and hedge funds, but for which would gladly be picked up as a buy-on-fear by smart monies and financial institutions. Why was The Donovan Norfolk Analysis so precise and deadly in accuracy? Refer to the grey support lines and you will learn why. Crude oil bottomed at precision in 1H-2016, in sync with The Donovan Norfolk Technicals for the universe of all asset classes interlinked. 

The Pink Classical Line of Resistance-Support shows the super-cyclically important S-R band for crude oil momentum at $45-$55 with the median or mean at $50, a psychologically important mark. Crude oil had back-tested this Super-cyclic Pink Line of Resistance-turned-Support in 4Q-2017.

In sync with the Trump-inspired weakness of the USD as analysed earlier, Crude Oil will be gunning for the US$170-US$180 per barrel target mark. This Target Point represents a +600% from The Donovan Norfolk Rock Bottom caught with precision back in 2016 (refer to past track record where I bought) and a +272% from current point which is less than halfway mark from eventual Target Point.

On an on-par basis, even blue chip oil-related stocks, large cap oil-related companies and elephants and mammoths have another +272% upside as the oil bullishness will trickle down with much larger multiplier effect generally. This kind of multiplier effect will also cascade in breadth to primary materials, raw materials, industrials, banking and finance, and many sectors in breadth. Even penny stocks and small cap companies will finally gain this time round.

On also an on-par basis, when this is not even the half-way mark for crude oil target, another +100% profits from all oil related companies regardless of their size of capitalisation is a conservative estimation and it will be highly achievable. Emerging Markets and Asia Markets will benefit greatly from the entire movement. Asia Equity Markets will start to create tsunamis of new highs every other month in 2018 and 2019 and with some likelihood into 2020 as well. Sustained historical highs like those in US can be expected for the rest of the world, and especially in Emerging Markets and Asia/Asia-Pacific.


5-Year Crude Oil Chart: 
28 January 2018, Sunday, 6.30pm Singapore Time
(Click on Technical Chart above to Expand)

The 5-year crude oil chart above shows how the crude oil price actions had interacted with the Super-cyclic $45-$55 critical band of resistance-turned-support in detail. Crude oil price actions made a first trinity of support cushions in 2H-2016 at the super-cyclic resistance-turned-support, with smart monies absorbing all sells in the financial markets on crude oil (deliberate intention).

The second trinity of deliberate buys occurred with high volumes in 2H-2017 (refer to 5-Year Crude Oil Chart above), a double confirmation of strong buy intentions, strong buying power and strong-willed holding of the market. The confirmation of mark-ups came towards the end of 2017 with the break-up of orange trendline resistance. This is a 3rd confirmation and a confirmation on the double trinity of intentions as highlighted previously (bullish).

With everything in sync in the financial markets, crude oil will be gunning for the $US170-$US180 per barrel target. It will break up the $100 psychological resistance. The difference between this time round and the previous $100 per barrel mark in 2014 is that majority of the market will be bearish on crude oil and shorting crude oil at the US$100 area this time round, when previously before the crash they were buying without fear but greed. This time round there will be so much fear of ghosts and crashes. This is because the 2014 crash history will still be fresh in their mind and the well-spun stories of renewable energy will continue to be so convincing that people will continue to be bearish of crude oil until crude oil eventually hits the high ground target. From $100 per barrel mark, crude oil will instead not follow the 2014-crude oil crash history, it will break the 2014 trend and further rally to US$170-US$180 per barrel to silent all its critics and burn short-sellers once and for all. Renewable energy may take over only from there, i.e. when everyone tramples the renewable energies as myths.

The Donovan Norfolk Technical Rating:
Very Bullish
(Expected to rally for the rest of 2018 and into 2019)

Additional Note:
The Supercycle Chart of Crude Oil here is the charts of West Texas Intermediate (WTI or NYMEX) Crude Oil prices per barrel dated back to 1946. The price of oil shown here is adjusted for inflation using the headline CPI and is shown on a logarithmic scale (log chart). The current month is updated on an hourly basis with today's latest value. 

Past Related Analyses (MUST READ IN DETAIL):


The US Dollar Super Big Downwave: 28 January 2018, Sunday, 12.37pm Singapore Time

The US Dollar Super Big Downwave Chart 1: 
28 January 2018, Sunday, 12.37pm Singapore Time
(Click on Technical Chart above to Enlarge)

This US Dollar Analysis is a prelude to the Crude Oil Market, Crude Oil related Stocks and Emerging Market Analysis to come. The analysis will be as detailed as possible to link much of the inter-asset class groups together. 

Before I proceed with this analysis, I would like to take this opportunity to thank the Malaysian stock and equity market community for their enormous support and kind gestures shown to me all this while. The Malaysians are some of the kindest and most humble people I have seen, ever eager to learn, absorb and improve. In particular, I am greatly inspired by the their unity and Kampung spirit, always looking out for one another in one tightly knitted community. They are the most humble and kind community I have countered. This explains my efforts in doing the more in-depth than usual analysis, to allow everyone to see the big picture and why Emerging Markets like Malaysia and the rest of Asia will hyper rally through the Trump-inspired US policies.

The Green Circled Regions are The Donovan Norfolk live forewarnings in 2012, 2013, 2014 and 2015 cautioning that the humongous Quantitative Easing (Q.E) by FED with its unlimited money printing will not cause USD to plunge, but instead to super rally, causing commodities, crude oil, energy, commodity stocks and emerging markets and their associated equities and currencies to be weak, and to result in nasty losses for majority of traders and investors in Asia. It all got enacted per my warnings and many Asian market investors suffered deadly losses in those years, true to my words.

The Red Circled Regions are The Donovan Norfolk live forewarnings in 4Q-2015, February 2017 and June 2017 cautioning that USD will have a large wave down soon, against market expectations of the majority herd as well, because most will expect USD to do large wave up due to rise in interest rates and money tightening on the USD. The USD large wave down will once again catch majority by jaw-dropping surprise and will be the exact reverse of the Green Circled Zone. USD major downwave will be happening in 2017, 2018, 2019 and beyond. Commodities, crude oil, energy, commodity stocks and emerging markets and their equities and currencies will become strong again. This will catch 99% of traders and investors big time off-guard, unless they are sharp and smart to have a professional mentor guide them.

The neckline of the large distribution top of the USD has just completed. Already, 90% of the market majority herd are caught on the wrong side of the markets relating to the outlook for all asset classes since 2016 and 2017. This is an exact replica of 2012-2016 market cycle except that the replica is in the reverse now. Most people will be double wrong again.

The US Dollar Super Big Downwave Chart 2: 
28 January 2018, Sunday, 12.37pm Singapore Time
(Click on Technical Chart above to Enlarge)

The attached above gives the most macroscopic perspective of the US Dollar. The US Dollar Index is expected to go down as a major wave to test for historical lows of around $80.00 again. It will likely go below $80.00 too. The US Dollar will create all time historical lows in the coming cycle (and people thought that money-tightening and rise in interest rate is supposed to bring USD up to the moon). The Trump-inspired trajectory down in the movement of the US Dollar will create a tsunami of stock market rally and commodities and energy market rally. In particular, stocks and equity markets of Asia will do a super rally of a lifetime. Now, is Trump and the US really anti-Asia or pro-Asia? Asia will have a super rally of a lifetime.

In particular, there will be a another big round of fishing-trawler style of scoop-ups from the rock bottom -- especially on commodity stocks (includes plantation stocks), energy stocks, crude oil related stocks, oil rig stocks, shale oil stocks, offshore oil and gas stocks, metal stocks, shipping stocks and shipbuilding stocks. With all these primary material class of stocks bullish, this bullish wave will be cascaded to all other sectors for impulsive wave of bullishness across the board (in equity markets for breadth). Finally, not only depth, even breadth will be coming now too.

In addition, as fore-warned in 2017 and 2018, a Gold price target of $1900-$2000 is guaranteed based on price structures on the Gold Technical Chart. Gold will rally with stocks, and Gold will rocket with acceleration if stocks crash, making Gold, Gold ETFs and Gold mining companies the NUMBER 1 PERFECT hedge and a MUST-HAVE in one's portfolio for protection against all directions. Yes, as ludicrous as it may be -- a protection against all directions. 


The Donovan Norfolk Technical Rating:
Very Bullish
(Expected to rally for the rest of 2018 and into 2019)

Additional Note:
The Supercycle Chart of USD above is based on the historical data showing the broad price-adjusted U.S. dollar index published by the Federal Reserve. The index is adjusted for the aggregated home inflation rates of all included currencies. The price adjustment is especially important with United States' Asian and South American trading partners due to their significant inflation episodes of the 80s and 90s.

Past Related Analyses (MUST READ IN DETAIL):

Wednesday, 24 January 2018

Mermaid Maritime: 24 January 2018, Wednesday, 2.50pm Singapore Time

Mermaid Maritime: 
24 January 2018, Wednesday, 2.50pm Singapore Time
(Click on Technical Chart above to Expand)

Attached is the technicals for Mermaid Maritime, in line with my forewarnings of 2H-2017 and January 2018 that the shipping and shipbuilding industries had rock bottomed with the commodities sector (includes energy and oil).  The dark brown region is the shakeout region and the double black lines are resistances-turned-supports that firmly establish the confirmation of rock bottom for Mermaid Maritime. There were two back-tests (double green circles) to confirm that the bottom is over, i.e. the stock has ROCK BOTTOMED.

This is in line with my live fore-warnings in 2H-2017 that the shipping and shipbuilding industry WORLDWIDE has bottomed out (rock bottomed).

The Donovan Norfolk Technical Rating:
Very Bullish
(Expected to rally for the rest of 2018 and into 2019)

Past Related Analyses (MUST READ IN DETAIL):


Tuesday, 23 January 2018

Sembcorp Marine, Keppel Corp and Implications for Worldwide Crude Oil and Energy Related Stocks (Includes Commodities and Shipping/Shipbuilding): 23 January 2018, Tuesday, 3.40pm Singapore Time

Sembcorp Marine, Keppel Corp and Implications for Worldwide Crude Oil and Energy Related Stocks (includes commodities and shipping/shipbuilding): 
23 January 2018, Tuesday, 3.40pm Singapore Time
(Click on Technical Chart above to Expand)

Attached is the technicals for Sembcorp Marine, a brother stock of Keppel Corp which is the largest oil-rig builder in the world. Sembcorp Marine and Keppel Corp are hence best indicators for crude oil demand in the world, especially that these 2 companies are highly sensitive to international market trends. Sembcorp Marine is used as analysis here as it is more eye-catching today.

Refer to all illustrations on chart: they highlight a lot of important information.

Sembcorp Marine has broken up large scale accumulation's resistances with deliberation, and that is to mean, all my live fore-warnings over the last 2 years on the secret buys by smart monies on crude oil stocks, crude oil related stocks, energy stocks, offshore oil and gas stocks and commodity stocks have completed. Markets will now proceed to super rally these kind of stocks worldwide, especially commodity stocks and crude oil (energy) stocks. 

Sembcorp Marine, Keppel Corp, crude oil stocks, crude oil related stocks, offshore oil and gas stocks, energy stocks and commodity stocks worldwide are jump-starting a whole new bull cycle, per my January 2018 forewarnings. This also means that shipping, shipbuilding and Baltic Dry Index worldwide had rock bottomed per my recent fore-warnings too because shipping, shipbuilding and Baltic Dry Index are tied up as a bundle to crude oil, crude oil related industries, offshore oil and gas, energy and commodities worldwide All these stocks will go multifold from +100% (large caps) to +1000% (small caps) with a mean of +500% profits (mid-caps) in upside.

The Donovan Norfolk Technical Rating:
Very Bullish
(Expected to rally for the rest of 2018 and into 2019)

Past Related Analyses (MUST READ IN DETAIL):


SGX Technical Analysis and Implications for Asia Markets: 23 January 2018, Tuesday, 12.53am Singapore Time

SGX Technical Analysis and Implications for Asia Markets: 
23 January 2018, Tuesday, 12.53am Singapore Time
(Click on Technical Chart above to Expand)

Attached is the technicals for SGX, the stock market operator of Singapore. The orange circles are The Donovan Norfolk forewarnings in January 2016 and July 2016 preempting that 1H-2016 will mark a major pivot bottom and that SGX, Asia Stock Markets and Singapore Stock Markets will have high trading volumes coming in starting from 2017 and continuing into 2018. Note, in 2H-2012, I had also forewarned in many public analysis writings that stocks will go into very low trading volumes in Asia and in Singapore, and that many brokers will go out of job in the industry. It all also came true from 2H-2012 to 2H-2015 until 1H-2016 when I finally flipped to high bullishness for Asia and called an end to the SGX winter.

SGX has broken up critical resistance of $7.70-$7.93 band of resistance. This break up is accompanied by high volume RUN-AWAY GAP which is successful. This is essentially hyper bullish in nature. This means high-power buyers controlled the markets from the start to the end. It is deliberated, not random. This means the future is bright for Singapore and Asian Stock Markets for 2018 and 2019 as Singapore has always been best indicator for Asia Market Performances.

Coincidentally, SGX also released disappointing corporate results a few days ago; people commented sell on the disappointment, and I forewarned that market is not as easy as reading the news but to instead buy the dip on bad news because markets are forward-looking. Coincidentally, this break-up was achieved right after my warnings. This means many naive short-on-the-news traders are receiving tar on the face and shedding tears of losses which will further widen. The move up is impulsive. SGX will break up psychological resistance of $10.00 like hot knife through butter. Even if the knife is not sharp, it will still batter the butter resistance into some smashed dairy pieces which is ugly but creamy delicious. Expect more upside roaring.

The Donovan Norfolk Technical Rating:
Bullish
(Expected to rally for the rest of 2018 and into 2019)

Past SGX Analysis:


Monday, 22 January 2018

Updates and Highlight: 22 January 2018, Monday, 11.52am Singapore Time

Updates and Highlight


Shipping, ship-building, offshore oil and gas, energy and crude oil related stocks are all entering into top volumes today, something per forewarned at the first 2 weeks of 2018. These volumes are very healthy buy volumes. Continue to be hyper bullish on such stocks and companies. 

Commodity stocks are also having more and more volumes coming in. Be overweight on all these sector of stocks. As highlighted, The Donovan Norfolk Group is going to switch to underweight on technology sector stocks and going to take profits on NASDAQ Longs as well.

Cross-Reference:


Monday, 15 January 2018

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc (NYSE: CLF): 15 January 2018, Monday, 8.00pm Singapore Time


Cleveland-Cliffs Inc (NYSE: CLF): 
15 January 2018, Monday, 8.00pm Singapore Time
(Click on Technical Chart above to Enlarge)

Attached is the technicals for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc (NYSE: CLF), an industrial metals and minerals stock that is listed in the US Market (NYSE). Note that this is in line with my 2H-2016 and 1H-2017 fore-warnings to scoop up metals and metal company stocks at the cheap because US will be re-starting its manufacturing engine and infrastructure engine. With China's One Belt One Road also in play, metals, industrial metals and minerals will experience a high demand. In addition, now that commodities' winter is over too (refer to attached CRB Index Link), all the factors summed up means that this stock will soar and roar impulsively. Technicals as illustrated on chart: the stock experienced large double bottom accumulation. This is currently followed by a deliberate breakup of double bottom resistances with high volume. Immediate fast target is $11.05. However, because of the long term economic dynamics as explained earlier, expect at least +100% profits from this quality stock.

Important in-depth cross reference to commodities' technical analysis is as attached below too (Reuters-Jefferies CRB Index).

The Donovan Norfolk Technical Rating:
Highly Bullish
(Strong Buy)

Important Cross-Reference:


Friday, 12 January 2018

Gerdau S.A (NYSE: GCB): 12 January 2018, Friday, 12.26am Singapore Time

Gerdau S.A (NYSE: GGB): 
12 January 2018, Friday, 12.26am Singapore Time
(Click on Technical Chart above to Enlarge)

Attached is the technicals for Gerdau S.A (NYSE: GGB), a steel and iron commodity stock that is listed in the US Market (NYSE). Fundamentally, the projected EPS for this year, next year and the next 5 years are highly positive-biased. Gerdau is also able to generate positive sales despite worldwide commodities' winter of the past 5 years. Now that commodities' winter is over, this stock will soar and roar impulsively. The performance trend is as attached too. 

The volume flow illustrates smart monies relentlessly buying up the stock and holding the stock each time after they bought up. This was then followed by large scale consolidation to further re-accumulate. After a disruptive volume absorption in the market (technical blue box), an impulsive wave of buy-ups followed in end of 2017 and the stock proceeded to break up in January 2018, in sync with my live fore-warnings of an end to commodities' doldrums. 

Gerdau has also executed a large inverse shoulder-head-shoulder re-accumulation. The volume indicating liquidity is healthy and the SMAs are healthy. The healthy trend is your positive best friend. This is in tune with my forewarned Emerging Markets' outperformance to come in 2018 and the Commodity Sector theme of cyclic rotation that is coming. Important in-depth cross reference to commodities' technical analysis is as attached below too (Reuters-Jefferies CRB Index).

The Donovan Norfolk Technical Rating:
Highly Bullish
(Strong Buy)

Important Cross-Reference:


Wednesday, 10 January 2018

Safe Bulkers (NYSE: SB): 10 January 2018, Wednesday, 10.21pm Singapore Time

Safe Bulkers (NYSE: SB): 
10 January 2018, Wednesday, 10.21pm Singapore Time
(Click on Technical Chart above to Enlarge)

Attached above is the technicals for Safe Bulkers Inc (NYSE: SB), a shipping industry related stock that is listed in the NYSE for riding up the bottoming out of the shipping cycle worldwide. In the short term, Safe Bulkers has finished backtesting the band of moving average supports and is awaiting breakup of the red classical resistance line. In the mid-long term, Safe Bulkers is on strong uptrend and the trend is one's best friend. The volume flow has been healthy. For the large background, the baltic dry index indicating the health of the shipping industry had bottomed out (refer BDI link attached). Fundamentally, the forward earnings for Safe Bulkers for next year is expected to be good and forward earnings for the next 5 years is expected to be reasonably decent. Target: +100% upmove.

Previous Baltic Dry Index Analysis as Background:


Tuesday, 9 January 2018

Maritime, Shipping and Ship-Building stocks: 9 January 2018, Tuesday, 10.15pm Singapore Time

Maritime, Shipping and Ship-Building stocks:
9 January 2018, Tuesday, 10.15pm Singapore Time

Do note that WORLDWIDE Maritime, Shipping and Ship-Building stocks are the group of stocks that will hyper rally in 2018 and 2019 too with jaws-breaking outperformance. Super hyper rally for this group of stocks. You have been hereby dumped with The Donovan Norfolk Helicopter Money. Grab it while stocks last. 


Monday, 8 January 2018

Commodities' Cyclical Upturn To Come: Which are the Malaysia's top 8 finest breed which will keep going up in 2018 with minimal risk and maximal upside? 8 January 2018, Monday, 1.58am Singapore Time

Commodities' Cyclical Upturn To Come: 
Which are the top 8 Malaysia's finest breed which will keep going up in 2018 with minimal risk and maximal upside?
8 January 2018, Monday, 1.58am Singapore Time
(Click on Technical Relativity Chart above to Enlarge)

Attached above is the Technicals of the Past Half-Year Trending Relativity of the commodity stocks in Malaysia. The FTSE ST Basic Materials Index is used for the bench-marking process and has been flattened to neutrality for the benchmarking. The litmus result yields the finest breed horse from among the soon to come cyclical upturn of commodity sector worldwide. In essence, we are obtaining the strongest horse and the strong horses that have at least 90% winning edge.

In the short-mid term going into 2018, Sino Hua-An and Heng Yuan came in as the cream of the crop. Hibiscus, Press Metal Aluminium Holdings, Malaysia Steel Works and Guan Chong Bhd make up the next layer of cream for the upcoming commodities cyclic boom. This is then followed by Southern Steel and Ann Joo Resources. The edge for these top 8 commodity stocks usually lasts long. They are generally performing far superior compared to the industry. The trend is likely to carry on in 2018 and 2019.

As these are the horses with the strongest legs and sufficiently high liquidity, all supports will be successfully absorbed by buy queues. They will have limited downside and maximal upside because the worldwide commodity sector's winter is to come to an end in 2018. 

The Donovan Norfolk Technical Rating:
Bullish
Worldwide Commodity Sector's Cyclical Winter is to come to an official end now

Friday, 5 January 2018

Commodity Cyclical Upturn To Come: Which are the top 3 finest breed for buying? 5 January 2018, Friday, 11.14am Singapore Time

Commodities' Cyclical Upturn To Come: 
Which are the top 3 Singapore's finest breed for buying?
5 January 2018, Friday, 11.14am Singapore Time
(Click on Technical Relativity Chart above to Enlarge)

Attached above is the Technicals of the Past Half-Year Trending Relativity of the commodity stocks in Singapore. The FTSE ST Basic Materials Index is used for the bench-marking process. The litmus result yields the finest breed horse from among the soon to come cyclical upturn of commodities sector worldwide. In essence, we are obtaining the strongest horse that has at least 90% winning edge.

In the short-mid term going into 2018, Olam came in as the cream of the crop. Golden Agri and Bumitama Agri came in 2nd and 3rd respectively. The trend is one's best friend when it comes to performance, and it will be translated from short-mid term to long term from 2018 on. The edge usually lasts long. The 3 commodity equities are generally performing far superior compared to the industry. The trend is likely to carry on in 2018.

As these are the horses with the strongest legs, they will have limited downside and maximal upside because the worldwide commodity sector's winter is to come to an official end in 2018. 

The Donovan Norfolk Technical Rating:
Bullish
Worldwide Commodity Sector's Cyclical Winter is to come to an official end now

China-Hong Kong Banks that are on 10,000 cans of RedBull within some of the Strongest Sectors of International Financial Markets: 5 January 2018, Friday, 1.31am Singapore Time

China-Hong Kong Banks that are on 10,000 cans of RedBull within some of the Strongest Sectors of International Financial Markets:
5 January 2018, Friday, 1.31am Singapore Time
(Click on Relativity Chart above to Expand)

Attached above is the Technicals of the Past Half-Year Trending Relativity of the top few banks in China-Hong Kong that are listed in the HKSE. The SPDR Financial Select Sector Index is used as the bench-marking. The litmus result yields the finest breed horse from among the best of the best among some of the strongest sectors internationally (financial sector). As China is the 2nd largest economy in the world, and often in a league of their own, it would be preferable to compare banks within the HKSE ecosystem.

In the short-mid term going into 2018, the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) came up top while Hang Seng Bank came in 2nd among the pack. The trend is one's best friend when it comes to performance. The edge usually lasts long. Both ICBC and Hang Seng bank are also performing far superior compared to the industry. The trend is likely to carry on.

If one is a Chinese investor with appetite for international/China-HK exposure, then the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and Hang Seng Bank represent finest breed horses. These are likely to be hard to fall while possessing strong legs to run up smoothly without much resistance for 2018. 

DNA Technical Rating:
Continue to be Very Bullish


Strongest Banks that are on 1000 cans of RedBull -- India Banks versus US Banks: 5 January 2018, Friday, 12.36am Singapore Time

Strongest Banks that are on 1000 cans of RedBull -- India Banks versus US Banks:
5 January 2018, Friday, 12.36am Singapore Time
(Click on Relativity Chart above to Expand)

Attached above is the Technicals of the Past Half-Year Trending Relativity of the top 3 banks in India and the top 4 banks in the US in terms of market capitalisation. The SPDR Financial Select Sector Index is used as the bench-marking process. The litmus result yields the finest breed horse from among the best of the best among some of the strongest sectors internationally (financial sector).

India banks are generally on par with the benchmark when it came to short-mid term performances for the look-ahead into 2018. With business momentum and trend as the best friends, the top 2 banks in this comparison turn out to be Bank of America and JP Morgan. Of particular note however is that something may be brewing positive for State Bank of India for 2018. In November State Bank of India was in fact at one point in time the best performing bank among the tops banks in India and US before it retraced deeper than expected when it reverted to the mean at the benchmark. Out of the top 3 India banks, State Bank of India comes into 2018 as the best performer in the short-mid term and the trend will likely carry on for 2018. This is then followed by HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank respectively. 

DNA Technical Rating:
Continue to be Bullish on India Banks and Very Bullish on US Banks


Thursday, 4 January 2018

Strongest Banks that are on 1000 cans of RedBull -- Philippines Banks versus US Banks: 4 January 2018, Thursday, 12.50am Singapore Time

Strongest Banks that are on 1000 cans of RedBull -- Philippines Banks versus US Banks:
4 January 2018, Thursday, 12.50am Singapore Time
(Click on Relativity Chart above to Expand)

Attached above is the Technicals of the Past Half-Year Trending Relativity of the top 3 banks in Philippines and the top 4 banks in the US in terms of market capitalisation. The SPDR Financial Select Sector Index is used as the bench-marking process. The litmus result yields the finest breed horse from among the best of the best among some of the strongest sectors internationally (financial sector).

With business momentum and trend as the best friends, the BDO Unibank (PSE: BDO) and Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) came up tops in the short-mid term. Both are also performing far superior compared to the industry. Of particular note is that  BDO Unibank (PSE: BDO) is outperforming even Singapore's DBS Bank and US' Bank of America where Singapore (3rd most important financial centre in the world) and US (most important financial centre in the world) are supposed to be conducive environments for the banks. BDO Unibank will continue its trending momentum in 2018 and is a must to have as investment and longs-trade in Philippines. Downside minimal and upside continues to be powerful.

If one is an investor in Philippines with appetite for international exposure, then BDO Unibank and Bank of America represent the finest breed horse which are likely to be hard to fall and possess strong legs to run up smoothly without much resistance for 2018. 

DNA Technical Rating:
Continue to be Very Bullish


Strongest Banks that are on 1000 cans of RedBull -- Malaysia Banks versus US Banks: 4 January 2018, Thursday, 12.15am Singapore Time

Strongest Banks that are on 1000 cans of RedBull -- Malaysia Banks versus US Banks:
4 January 2018, Thursday, 12.15am Singapore Time
(Click on Relativity Chart above to Expand)

Attached above is the Technicals of the Past Half-Year Trending Relativity of the top 3 banks in Malaysia and the top 4 banks in the US in terms of market capitalisation. The SPDR Financial Select Sector Index is used as the bench-marking process. The litmus result yields the finest breed horse from among the best of the best among some of the strongest sectors internationally (financial sector).

Unfortunately, Malaysian banks fell below the benchmark when it came to short-mid term performances for the look-ahead to 2018. With business momentum and trend as the best friends, the top 2 banks in this comparison turn out to be Bank of America and JP Morgan. CIMB Bank came in the weakest, followed by Public Bank and Maybank. Hence to have an outperforming portfolio, it may be more prudent to overweight on US Banks for investors in Malaysia even though Malaysian banks and US banks are on uptrend.

DNA Technical Rating:
Continue to be Bullish on Malaysian Banks and Very Bullish on US Banks


Wednesday, 3 January 2018

Strongest Banks that are on 1000 cans of RedBull within some of the Strongest Sectors of International Financial Markets: 3 January 2018, Wednesday, 11.49pm Singapore Time

Strongest Banks that are on 1000 cans of RedBull within some of the Strongest Sectors of International Financial Markets:
3 January 2018, Wednesday, 11.49pm Singapore Time
(Click on Relativity Chart above to Expand)

Attached above is the Technicals of the Past Half-Year Trending Relativity of the top 3 banks in Singapore and the top 4 banks in the US in terms of market capitalisation. The SPDR Financial Select Sector Index is used as the bench-marking. The litmus result yields the finest breed horse from among the best of the best among some of the strongest sectors internationally (financial sector).

With business momentum and trend as the best friends, the Development Bank of Singapore (SGX: DBS) and Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) came up tops in the short-mid term. Both are also performing far superior compared to the industry. 

If one is a Singaporean investor with appetite for international exposure, then DBS Bank and Bank of America represent finest breed horse which are likely to be hard to fall and possess strong legs to run up smoothly without much resistance for 2018. 

DNA Technical Rating:
Continue to be Very Bullish


Reuters-Jefferies CRB Index, Commodities and Commodity Stocks: 3 January 2018, Wednesday, 9.17am Singapore Time

Reuters-Jefferies CRB Index, Commodities and Commodity Stocks Chart 1: 
3 January 2018, Wednesday, 9.17am Singapore Time
(Click on Technical Chart above to Enlarge)

Attached is the important technicals of Reuters-Jefferies CRB Index for Commodities and Commodity Stocks. The red circled regions are my live fore-warnings back in 2013, 2014 and 2015 warning before price actions get executed that commodities and commodity stocks all over the world will crash and go into their respective commodity sector's winter back in 2013, 2014 and 2015. I also forewarned back in 2013 that Emerging Markets' Equities will cause investors and traders to bleed from 2013-2015 in my live fore-warnings because the primary industries in the lower chain will affect EM economies. All per happened soon after my warnings. With precision, I also forewarned at the start of 2016 that markets will suddenly reverse big time upwards from 1H-2016 on, a time when most people will again and again be caught on the wrong footing just like they did in 2013-2015.

The 3 green regions are my live warnings, forewarning back in 1H-2016, 2H-2016 and 1H-2017 that we will see a big time buying opportunity in commodity stocks and commodities on the cheap. Steel and steel stocks in particular would be the leader for commodities during my analyses back in 2016 and 2017. They indeed became the leader. The rest of the commodities such as grains, raw materials, plantations, etc will all follow suit to rally big. Commodity stocks and plantation stocks are a must-buy now. Crude oil and crude oil related stocks will continue to rally. Gold will rally.

Reuters-Jefferies CRB Index, Commodities and Commodity Stocks Chart 1: 
3 January 2018, Wednesday, 9.17am Singapore Time
(Click on Technical Chart above to Enlarge)

The above Reuters-Jefferies CRB Index, Commodities and Commodity Stocks Chart 2 shows what the commodities, commodity currencies and commodity stocks had generally been doing over the past half year. Amidst the backdrop of large scale bottoming, the short term and mid term has already seen commodities as a whole making plenty of secret supports now (see chart above). The commodity sector has also merely used neutrality in RSI just to test supports and not using oversold to test supports. This is secretly bullish in nature. The recent back-test in GREEN making the 200 days Moving Average Resistance becoming the newfound 200 days M.A LONG TERM SUPPORT had involved the use of oversold-RSI while making the low a much higher low. This is all part of a change to big bullish trend. 2018 and beyond is commodities' year as they switch from winter to new spring. 

In addition, if the lowest chain of an international economy switches to spring, it also means spring turning into hot summer rallies for stock markets all over the world (summer being equated to hot rallies).

DNA Technical Outlook: 
BULLISH.
Happy New Year 2018 to all.