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Thursday, 28 February 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 28 February 2013, Thursday, 6.15 pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA) 
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
28 February 2013, Thursday, 6.10 pm Singapore Time



Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions 

European markets are into the 2 hours 10 minutes of trading, while US markets (DJIA, SPX, NASDAQ) are 4 hours 20 minutes away from the Thursday opening bell.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +3.989 to +3.127 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands puts changed from -0.865 to -0.867 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Big Hands took profits of their immediate term longs today.
+ Continuation of whipsawing to be expected on both immediate-term and short-term longist and shortist traders.
+ Volatility in both directions on last day of February.
+ Bullish bias in short/immediate term outlook is more dominant currently (Big Hands have strong holding power though).
+ Slight Puts protection are still held in place, hence they are still slightly cautious despite the short/immediate term outlook.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ There are beliefs out there that 2013 will be a bear market or economic collapse of some major Western economies such as US (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ); in my analyses, generally 2013 will, on the contrary, be a strong bull due to my FFA and TA.
+ We are currently not in any bear market. 
+ Mid-long-term remains a buy on dip for investment purposes in 2013 as markets in Europe and Asia have negated bear market technical structures as mentioned last year 2012. 
+ Long term funds are still buying/investing.
+ Short term and immediate term shorts/sells/profit-takings by traders represent entry/re-entry opportunities for longer term investors (i.e. buy on retracement dips).
+ Short term shake-outs on weak holders, or retailers with high leverage and no holding power, represent golden chance to buy on dips cheaply. 
+ As highlighted previously, by 2Q/3Q 2013, many markets (except PIIGS) will make new bull market highs since 2009 financial crisis..


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve


Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions walked by Big Hands.



Wednesday, 27 February 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 27 February 2013, Wednesday, 3.35 pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA) 
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
27 February 2013, Wednesday, 3.35 pm Singapore Time



Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions 

European markets are 25 minutes away from opening, while US markets (DJIA, SPX, NASDAQ) are 6 hours 55 minutes away from the Wednesday opening bell.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +4.325 to +3.989 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands switched to puts last week for immediate term protection, and puts for today changed from -2.501 to -0.865 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Big Hands took handsome profits of their Puts today.


Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ There are beliefs out there that 2013 will be a bear market or economic collapse of some major Western economies such as US (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ); in my analyses, generally 2013 will, on the contrary, be a strong bull due to my FFA and TA.
+ We are currently not in any bear market. 
+ Mid-long-term remains a buy on dip for investment purposes in 2013 as markets in Europe and Asia have negated bear market technical structures as mentioned last year 2012. 
+ Long term funds are still buying/investing.
+ Short term and immediate term shorts/sells/profit-takings by traders represent entry/re-entry opportunities for longer term investors (i.e. buy on retracement dips).
+ Short term shake-outs on weak holders, or retailers with high leverage and no holding power, represent golden chance to buy on dips cheaply. 
+ As highlighted previously, by 2Q/3Q 2013, many markets (except PIIGS) will make new bull market highs since 2009 financial crisis..


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve


Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions walked by Big Hands.



Tuesday, 26 February 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 26 February 2013, Tuesday, 10.29 pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA) 
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
26 February 2013, Tuesday, 10.29 pm Singapore Time



Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions 

European markets are into the 7th hour of trading, while US markets (DJIA, SPX, NASDAQ) are 1 minute away from the Tuesday opening bell.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +2.836 to +4.325 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands switched to puts last week for immediate term protection, and puts for today changed from -1.434 to -2.501 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 


Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Big Hands are now volatility postured.
+ Continued increase in immediate term and short term downside protections.
+ Continued increase in accumulations at the same time.
+ Shake out operations are still greatly in place (Whipsaws both up and down).
+ Small hands will sell with fear, especially self-inflicted fear, regardless of upside or downside due to volatility.
+ Big Hands will make from both sides of up-move and down-move (due to volatility from PUTS and longs in stocks).
+ Intraday traders (both longs and shorts) will be whipped in both directions and with bruises.
+ Big Hands will sell to buy (The great paradox of financial markets and market psychology just like how they also buy to sell).


Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ There are beliefs out there that 2013 will be a bear market or economic collapse of some major Western economies such as US (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ); in my analyses, generally 2013 will, on the contrary, be a strong bull due to my FFA and TA.
+ We are currently not in any bear market. 
+ Mid-long-term remains a buy on dip for investment purposes in 2013 as markets in Europe and Asia have negated bear market technical structures as mentioned last year 2012. 
+ Long term funds are still buying/investing.
+ Short term and immediate term shorts/sells/profit-takings by traders represent entry/re-entry opportunities for longer term investors (i.e. buy on retracement dips).
+ Short term shake-outs on weak holders, or retailers with high leverage and no holding power, represent golden chance to buy on dips cheaply. 
+ As highlighted previously, by 2Q/3Q 2013, many markets (except PIIGS) will make new bull market highs since 2009 financial crisis..


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve


Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions walked by Big Hands.



LATEST DEVELOPMENT: 26 February 2013, Tuesday, 7.32am Singapore Time


LATEST

Dow Jones Industrial Index nose-dived sharply with -216 points;
Futures wise,
Italy MIB is -536 points (-3.28%) currently;
Spanish IBEX is -255 points (-3.11%) currently;
French CAC40 is -103 points (-2.71%) while the strong German DAX is -125 points (-1.61%);
UK FTSE 100 is -102 points (-1.6%);
Australian ASX is -73 points (-1.46%) while Japanese Nikkei 225 futures is a sharp -338 points (-2.9%);

Hang Seng futures plunged -354 points (-1.55%) currently. Singapore Straits Times Index is set to open with a sharp gap down of -40 points or -1.37% at the open.

US dragging Europe down and causing entire Asia to open with sharp gap-downs at the open. 
All these were pre-warned 5 hours before they started to happen and 10 hours before they fully happened.

See Yesterday's Post Below:
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/2013/02/funds-flow-analysis-ffa-25-february.html

Monday, 25 February 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 25 February 2013, Monday, 6.20 pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA) 
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
25 February 2013, Monday, 6.20 pm Singapore Time



Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions 

European markets are into the 3rd hour of trading, while US markets (DJIA, SPX, NASDAQ) are 4 hours 10 minutes away from the Monday opening bell.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +3.964 to +2.836 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands switched to puts last week for immediate term protection, and puts for today changed from -0.044 to -1.434 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Dual Pronged sells with strong immediate-term protection against the downside. 


Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

Currently European Markets and US futures are all bullishly green
+ However, there is a possibility that US Markets will later open bullishly green and execute a bearish unexpected sell-down by market close.
+ Flavours of protection against immediate-term volatile sell-down is getting stronger by Big Hands.
+ European Markets may be dragged by US markets from green into the red.
+ Index Longs and Euro-USD pair longs may be whipsawed in Europe later.
+ Asian markets have some possibility of opening lower tomorrow.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ There are beliefs out there that 2013 will be a bear market or economic collapse of some major Western economies such as US (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ); in my analyses, generally 2013 will, on the contrary, be a strong bull due to my FFA and TA.
+ We are currently not in any bear market. 
+ Mid-long-term remains a buy on dip for investment purposes in 2013 as markets in Europe and Asia have negated bear market technical structures as mentioned last year 2012. 
+ Long term funds are still buying/investing.
+ Short term and immediate term shorts/sells/profit-takings by traders represent entry/re-entry opportunities for longer term investors (i.e. buy on retracement dips).
+ Short term shake-outs on weak holders, or retailers with high leverage and no holding power, represent golden chance to buy on dips cheaply. 
+ As highlighted previously, by 2Q/3Q 2013, many markets (except PIIGS) will make new bull market highs since 2009 financial crisis..


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve


Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions walked by Big Hands.



Friday, 22 February 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 22 February 2013, Friday, 4.05 pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA) 
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
22 February 2013, Friday, 4.05 pm Singapore Time



Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions 

European markets are into the first 5 minutes of trading, while US markets are 6 hours 25 minutes away from the Friday opening bell.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +4.52 to +3.964 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands switched to puts for immediate term protection, changing from +0.546 to -0.044 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 


Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ No signs of Big Hands selling despite immediate-term correction, i.e. market is not bearish.
+ Big Hands inducing retailers to short or sell.
+ Weak holders and weak-minded traders/investors will get shaken out.
+ Longing/Buying stocks is still the way to go based on current FFA, i.e. buy on dips.
+ Shorting is not the correct strategy based on current FFA.
+ Currently, any selling is fake selling based on my FFA judgement, meant for shake-outs of weak minded investors/traders.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ There are beliefs out there that 2013 will be a bear market or economic collapse of some major Western economies such as US (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ); in my analyses, 2013 will, on the contrary, be a strong bull due to my FFA and TA.
+ We are not in any bear market. 
+ Mid-long-term remains a buy on dip for investment purposes in 2013 as markets in Europe and Asia have negated bear market technical structures as mentioned last year 2012. 
+ Long term funds are still buying/investing.
+ Short term and immediate term shorts/sells/profit-takings by traders represent entry/re-entry opportunities for longer term investors (i.e. buy on retracement dips).
+ Short term shake-outs on weak holders, or retailers with high leverage and no holding power, represent golden chance to buy on dips cheaply. 
+ As highlighted previously, by 2Q/3Q 2013, many markets (except PIIGS) will make new bull market highs since 2009 financial crisis..


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve


Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions walked by Big Hands.


Thursday, 21 February 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 21 February 2013, Thursday, 4.30 pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA) 

For Worldwide Financial Markets:
21 February 2013, Thursday, 4.30 pm Singapore Time



Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions 

European markets are into the first hour of trading, while US markets are 5 hours 50 minutes away from the Thursday opening bell.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +5.117 to +4.52 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands reduced Calls, with strength changing from +1.703 to +0.546 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 


Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ No signs of real selling.
+ Big Hands inducing retailers to short.
+ Weak holders and weak-minded traders/investors will get shaken out.
+ Longing/Buying stocks is still the way to go based on current FFA.
+ Shorting is not the correct strategy based on current FFA.
+ Currently, any selling is fake selling based on my FFA judgement, meant for shake-outs of weak minded people.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ There are beliefs out there that 2013 will be a bear market or economic collapse of some major Western economies such as US (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ); in my analyses, 2013 will, on the contrary, be a strong bull due to my FFA and TA.
+ Mid-long-term remains a buy on dip for investment purposes in 2013 as markets in Europe and Asia have negated bear market technical structures as mentioned last year 2012. 
+ Long term funds are still buying/investing.
+ Short term and immediate term shorts/sells/profit-takings by traders represent entry/re-entry opportunities for longer term investors (i.e. buy on retracement dips).
+ Short term shake-outs on weak holders, or retailers with high leverage and no holding power, represent golden chance to buy on dips cheaply. 
+ As highlighted previously, by 2Q/3Q 2013, many markets (except PIIGS) will make new bull market highs since 2009 financial crisis..


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve


Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions walked by Big Hands.