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Friday, 30 November 2012

Thursday, 29 November 2012

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 29 November 2012, Thursday, 11.25pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):

29 November 2012, Thursday, 11.25pm Singapore Time


Don't Trifle with The Beast even if The Beast is Without Fundamentals. Do bear in mind that the beast has hit maximum sentiment today.

European markets are into the 7th hour of trading, while US markets are in midst of the 1st hour of trading. 

As expected based on Donovan FFA on the longs, Asia, Europe as well as the US markets have rocketed today and tonight respectively, with Italy leading the charge at +405 points (+2.63%). A very small position of merely 10 MINI-contracts with small tight stop would had earned 10 x 405Euros = 4050 Euros =  SGD $6416 in just one single night tonight (Singapore Time). Similarly, just 10 normal contracts = 10 x 5Euros x 405 points = 20,250Euros = SGD $32,080 profits in one single night tonight. It's a big sweep tonight.

Based on current latest computational model results, Holdings index strength of Big Hands piled up from +5.721 to +10.00 (MAXIMUM) on the Donovan Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Calls holdings maintains at +10.00 (MAXIMUM) on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator.

Posture by Big Hands Overall:

+ Pumping up the world markets currently and on-going. (Warned about it and SPOT ON the sharp reversal since last week).
+ Maintained at the switch to longs since last week and added more longs despite US Fiscal Cliff.
+ Longs now at +10.00 (MAXIMUM)
+ Usually weaker Big Hands will start to profit-take on +10.00 while the stronger Big Hands will attempt to pump up more (role rotational play).
+ Majority of Calls are still being held on.
+ Calls maintained at +10.00 (MAXI-load).
+ Outlook in the short term maintains at BULLISH mode but with a tinge of profit-taking mood in the immediate term now (Sentiments reached maximum without the prior set up of accumulations).
+ Do bear in mind more retailers were attempting to join the shorting ranks based on strong shorting/selling signals triggered on worldwide charts as highlighted since last week. Retailers are now getting whipped.

+ At Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator = +10.00 in strength currently, it is a test of upper demarcations in worldwide markets (Tests of upper boundaries induced by sudden spike to +10.00 in holdings without any accumulation set up is often a probe of boundaries. Bear market trends which had been in place since mid-to-late-2010 must be negated in such set ups (+10.00 in holdings) to confirm a large negation of worldwide bear market trends; otherwise it would serve to turn as a confirmation of bear market. Hence current movement is a CRITICAL GAME CHANGER now till end of 2012).

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store

Wednesday, 28 November 2012

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 28 November 2012, Wednesday, 3.20pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):

28 November 2012, Wednesday, 3.20pm Singapore Time


Don't Trifle with The Beast even if The Beast is Without Fundamentals

European markets are 40 minutes away from opening, while US markets are 7 hours and 10 minutes away from the Wednesday opening bell. Based on my current latest computational model results, Holdings index strength of Big Hands changed from +4.403 to +5.721 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Calls holdings maintains at +10.00 (MAXIMUM) on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator.

Posture by Big Hands Overall:

+ Maintained at the switch to longs since last week and added more longs despite US Fiscal Cliff.
+ Majority of Calls are still being held on.
+ Calls maintained at maxi-load.
+ Outlook in the short term reverses to BULLISH mode and do bear in mind more retailers are attempting to join the shorting ranks now based on shorting/selling signals triggered on worldwide charts as highlighted since last week.

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Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store

Tuesday, 27 November 2012

Olam International: 27 November 2012, Tuesday, 11.59pm Singapore Time

Open: $1.655
Close: $1.560
High:   $1.655
Low:   $1.560

Interpreted Posture of the above Market Depth Scan  (if you have experience like me in market posture/positioning judgements):
Big Hands Short Sellers are out in full-fledged, planned and deliberate price push-down operations in Olam now. 
As illustrated by the Market Depth above, they give no regard to their defences and are very confident of their attack operations.

In my researches which spanned over numerous years analysing different market depth postures, do not expect this price depressing operation to end soon, given such market depth posture as well as the confidence shown in the posture. 
Muddy Waters is definitely not walking alone.


REFERENCE:
OLAM FULL AND DETAILED ANALYSIS MADE IN AUGUST 2012 WARNING ABOUT GETTING OUT BEFORE THE OLAM STORM TO COME AND IS INDEED HAPPENING RIGHT NOW:
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/search/label/Olam

Note:
Such postures generally apply to other (international) markets too during an aggressive move.

Home: http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 27 November 2012, Tuesday, 8.30pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):

27 November 2012, Tuesday, 8.30pm Singapore Time


Don't Trifle The Bulls

European markets are into the 5th hour of trading, while US markets are 2 hours away from the Tuesday opening bell. Based on current latest computational results, Holdings index strength of Big Hands changed from +2.60 to +4.403 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Calls holdings maintains at +10.00 (MAXIMUM) on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator.

Posture by Big Hands Overall:

+ Maintained at the switch to longs since last week.
+ Majority of Calls are still being held on (and are deeply in the money).
+ Calls maintain at maxi-load.
+ Outlook in the short term reverses to BULLISH mode and do bear in mind more retailers are attempting to join the shorting ranks now based on shorting/selling signals triggered on worldwide charts as highlighted since last week.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store

Monday, 26 November 2012

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 26 November 2012, Monday, 3.59pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):

26 November 2012, Monday, 3.59pm Singapore Time


Markets consolidating; however, retailers are joining the shorting ranks and looking to short on rebounds now, something to be careful of as too many retailer shorts rock the boat. Markets have a high probability of cleaning out shortists in the short term with a year end rally.

European markets are 1 minute away from opening, while US markets are 6.5 hours away from the Monday opening bell. Based on current latest computational results, Holdings index strength of Big Hands changed from +5.365 to +2.60 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Calls holdings maintains at +10.00 (MAXIMUM) on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator.

Posture by Big Hands Overall:

+ Maintained at switch to longs now.
+ Majority of Calls are still being held on (in the money).
+ Outlook in the short term reverses to slight BULLISH mode and do bear in mind more retailers are attempting to join the shorting ranks now, as highlighted since last week
+ A switch to a Dual-pronged bullish mode now.


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store

Sunday, 25 November 2012

JP Morgan (JPM): 25 November 2012, Sunday, 11.30pm Singapore Time

JP Morgan (JPM): 25 November 2012, Sunday, 11.30pm Singapore Time 

Attached above is the Technical Analysis of JP Morgan.

The RED TRIANGLE ($39-$40.50) illustrated (YELLOW SHADED REGION) will be the launch of the new rocket up for December 2012 and January 2013. JP Morgan will rally from the TRIPLE SUPPORTS as above. 

The MAGICAL RED TRIANGLE will serve as the MAGICAL RALLY LAUNCHPAD OF JP MORGAN.

The minimum upside target is at least US$46. 

Donovan Rating:
BUY / LONG

Saturday, 24 November 2012

WILMAR: 24 November 2012, Saturday, 1.20pm Singapore Time

WILMAR: 24 November 2012, Saturday, 1.20pm Singapore Time

Above attached is the Technical Analysis of Wilmar International. 

For the entire 2012, I have been extremely bearish of Wilmar, always calling for a SHORT on this stock even before I started the "DONOVAN'S MARKET ANALYSIS" site. However, I am reversing my judgement on Wilmar after its consolidation for 4 months.

Wilmar LONGS is in tally with my BIG MARKET Funds Flow Analysis as big hands are longs in the big markets.

The above YELLOW shaded region represents a consolidation to reverse the trend and attack upwards now. $3.12-$3.15 represents good entry opportunities with stop-loss at just below $3.00.

Upside is as high as $4.68 (1st target) and $5.60 (2nd target) or when Funds Flow Analysis indicates a sell, whichever is earlier.

Overall, Donovan View on Wilmar:
BUY with Cautions

Note:
I am also reversing from Bearish mode into Bullish mode for worldwide markets in the short term now (Indices, Stocks, Big Directions, Euro). 

German DAX Index: 24 November 2012, Saturday, 12.40pm Singapore Time

German DAX Index: 24 November 2012, Saturday, 12.40pm Singapore Time

Attached is the Technical Analysis of German DAX Index. 

Based on the Funds Flow Analysis of the world, Big Hands abruptly and sharply reversed into huge amount of LONGS positions now, and have maintained their MAXIMUM amount of CALLs derivatives on hand. Based on current FFA, bearing no sharp change to shorts, the German DAX index will break the PINK RESISTANCE band of 7428-7600points as illustrated above. The PINK resistance band will not hold. 

The projected Price Satisfaction of the above DAX structure means that DAX will hit 8425 points, breaking the new bull market high, before retracing down.

DAX will hence break new bull market highs since the US Financial Crisis and the EU Crisis, a time when the whole world are bearish of the financial markets and spring a surprise with a year end rally, wiping out retailer shortists who have taken shorts positions now.

UPSIDE:
More than 1000points DAX.

Friday, 23 November 2012

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 23 November 2012, Friday, 3.25pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):

23 November 2012, Friday, 3.25pm Singapore Time


Markets consolidating but retailers (and Technical Analysis Trainers) are joining the shorting ranks and looking to short on rebounds now, something to be careful of as too many retailers will rock the boat. Markets going to wipe out shortists in the short term now with a year end rally.

European markets are half an hour away from opening, while US markets are 7 hours away from the Friday opening bell. Based on current latest computational results, Holdings index strength of Big Hands changed from +1.590 to +5.365 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator, reversing SHARPLY from SHORTS into SIGNIFICANT LONGS now. It is a sharp switch, and a very treacherous one. Big Hands Calls holdings on hand changed from +6.267 to +10.00 (MAXIMUM) on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator.

Posture by Big Hands Overall:

+ 4th consecutive day massive piling up of LONGS vis-a-vis shorts.
+ Majority of Calls are still being held on (in the money), with maximum load of Calls accumulated already.
+ Outlook in the short term reverses to BULLISH mode and do bear in mind more retailers are attempting to join the shorting ranks now, as highlighted since 3 days ago.
+ Maximum load of CALLS coupled with significant amount of Longs. 
+ Sharp switch to a Dual pronged melt-up (rally) mode now.

As per expected last Friday based on Sector Rotation Analysis, penny stocks are still in rotational play since 4 days ago. This was already forecast last Friday and indeed executed since 4 days ago by the MARKET.


* Short term wise, based on funds flow analysis, markets have one more leg up now and the recent corrections may have ended. 


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store

Thursday, 22 November 2012

HSBC: 22 November 2012, Thursday, 10.17pm Singapore Time

Chart 1:
HSBC (listed in Hong Kong): 22 November 2012, Thursday, 10.17pm Singapore Time

Chart 2:
HSBC (listed in New York): 22 November 2012, Thursday, 10.17pm Singapore Time

The above are Technical Analyses of
HSBC, UK Banking Corporation

HSBC (Hong Kong):
BUY $76.55 and sell in batches when $78.00 breaks up with volume. Time its sell with HSBC listed in US Market (NYSE).

HSBC (New York):
A BUY as illustrated by the RED CIRCLE in Chart 2 (Below $50) and take all profits at $56.04-$56.85.

* ONLY FOR SHORT TERM TRADING, NOT EVEN MID TERM. 
* TIME WITH STOXX 50 CHARTS AS POSTED ON THE SAME DAY AS THIS ANALYSIS IS MADE. 
* LONG TERM FINANCIAL MARKETS ARE STILL TRAPPED WITHIN A SLOW DEFLATIONARY BEAR MARKET STRUCTURE.

Amara: 22 November 2012, Thursday, 9.40pm Singapore Time

Amara: 22 November 2012, Thursday, 9.40pm Singapore Time

FULL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS AS ATTACHED

How to lose money with such an excellent set up?

DONOVAN RATING:
STRONG BUY AT 41.5 CENTS (S$0.415)
TARGET BASED ON CALCULATION = 59.5CENTS TO 63CENTS


Home: http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 22 November 2012, Thursday, 3.05pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):

22 November 2012, Thursday, 3.05pm Singapore Time


Markets consolidating but retailers (and Technical Analysis Trainers) are attempting to join the shorting ranks now, something to be careful of as too many retailers will rock the boat.

European markets are 1 hour away from opening, while US markets are 7.5 hours away from the Thursday opening bell. Based on current latest computational results, Holdings index strength of Big Hands changed from -2.178 to +1.590 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator, reversing from SHORTS into LONGS nowBig Hands Calls holdings on hand changed from +4.262 to +6.267 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator, in the money with all Calls on hand. 

Posture by Big Hands Overall:

+ Third consecutive day massive reduction in Shorts
+ Majority of Calls are still being held on (for protection against upside in the immediate/short-term), with even more Calls piled up now. 
+ Outlook in the mid-term less bearish biased now and do bear in mind more retailers are attempting to join the shorting ranks now, as highlighted yesterday.
+ Markets worldwide will now have to execute the next further wave of sell-downs (with volumes) in Index Stocks, Blue Chips and Mid Caps soon; otherwise, the operations will turn into shorts-shakeout since retailers are starting to join the shorting ranks though not fully in yet.

+ In my judgement, there should be one more last weak wave of short term drive-down, to induce late shortists to short, and for Big Hands to officially, and gradually, switch to sizeable Longs holdings. In any way, Big Hands' Calls positions are sizeable now and their Shorts have gradually switched to Longs, a slow and stealth switch.


As per expected last Friday, based on Sector Rotational Analysis, penny stocks were still in rotational play since 3 days ago. This was already foreseen last Friday and indeed executed since 3 days ago by the MARKET.


* Based on my funds flow, I warned ahead during August and September 2012 just before the tops are being formed, that the next major tops worldwide will occur in September and October 2012

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store

Wednesday, 21 November 2012

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 21 November 2012, Wednesday, 2.30pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):

21 November 2012, Wednesday, 2.30pm Singapore Time


Markets consolidating but retailers are attempting to join the shorting ranks now, 
something to be careful of as too many retailers will rock the boat.

European markets are 1.5 hours from opening, while US markets are 8 hours away from the Wednesday opening bell. Based on current latest computational results, Holdings index strength of Big Hands changed from -3.357 to -2.178 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands Calls holdings on hand changed from +4.115 to +4.262 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Posture by Big Hands Overall:

+ Second consecutive day reduction in Shorts.
+ Majority of Calls are still being held on (for protection against upside in the immediate/short-term).
+ Outlook in the mid-term remains bearish-biased but do bear in mind more retailers are attempting to join the shorting ranks now.
+ Stocks in the Board Markets (Big Caps, Mid-caps and Small caps) had been under Shorts-accumulation set-up in August-October 2012 period, as warned in September and October 2012
+ Markets worldwide will now have to execute the next further wave of sell-downs (with volumes) in Index Stocks, Blue Chips and Mid Caps soon; otherwise, the operations will turn into shorts-shakeout since retailers are starting to join the shorts rank though not fully in.

As per expected last Friday, indeed based on Sector Rotational Analysis, penny stocks were back in rotational play since 2 days ago. This was already foreseen last Friday and indeed executed since 2 days ago by the MARKET.


* Based on my funds flow, I warned ahead during August and September 2012 just before the tops are being formed, that the next major tops worldwide will occur in September and October 2012

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store