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Thursday, 4 July 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 4 July 2013, Thursday, 2.20pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
4 July 2013, Thursday, 2.20pm Singapore Time

Computed FFA For Worldwide Financial Markets

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are 40 minutes away from opening for trading while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 7 hours 10 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -1.648 to -1.732 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Puts Holdings changed from -8.087 to -8.191 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Big Hands still protecting themselves with large amount of Puts though overall shorts reduced already.
+ Short term markets are trying to form a short term bottom.
+ Bottoming in progress in worldwide markets.
+ Operation now is to prepare for transition from Shorts into dead-cat-bouncing Longs.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ Many international markets will be testing bear-bull boundaries.
+ Some weak markets (e.g. Philippines, India, Korea etc) are getting into Bear Market Zones.
+ Strong markets (e.g. US, Singapore, Germany, etc) will hold the supports for now (their critical supports are being tested currently).
+ US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) will go on to make all time new highs from here
+ Emerging economies will make dead cat bounces.

In essence, there will be 3 groups of BIG MARKET MOVEMENTS from now:

1st Group (Weak Markets): 
Weak markets such as Korea, Philippines, Indonesia, Spain etc.
These markets already broke down critical supports which denote initial bear market stage; these will do dead cat bouncing back-tests (falling knife dead cat rebounds). 
Sell on rebounds.

2nd group (Mid-strength Markets): 

Singapore, Hong Kong, UK, France, etc
These markets will rebound off critical supports now (STI 2925-3065 pts, HSI 19000-19500 pts, FTSE-UK 5900-600 pts all analysed previously), with no breakdowns yet. Refer to all past technical analyses.
Ride, observe and be cautiously ready to sell.

3rd grp (Strong Markets): 

US Markets of S&P500, DJIA and NASDAQ.
These markets will make all time new highs and throw a big array of confusions to traders, investors and analysts. While US will go on to make all time new highs, weak markets' rebounds will confirm bear market and mid-strength markets may transit to bear market phase in this rebound.
Ride and observe and be cautious.

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Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
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Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.

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