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Wednesday, 22 May 2013

International Trading and Investment Community

International Trading and Investment Community

Dear all fans and avid readers of Donovan's Market Analysis, if you are interested in joining a sharing community to gain more knowledge, you are may like to join International Trading and Investment Community at: http://www.facebook.com/InternationalTradingAndInvestmentCommunity

May your learning journey be a fruitful one.

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 22 May 2013, Wednesday, 2.15 pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA)

For Worldwide Financial Markets:
22 May 2013, Wednesday, 2.15 pm Singapore Time



Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are 45 minutes away from opening while US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 7 hours 15 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +7.347 to +4.451  in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands' Calls Holdings changed from +0.563 to +0.177 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

For those who in April and early May were selling, shorting or believing the "Sell in May and Go Away" myths, or shorting and selling on bearish divergences in indicators and breakdowns worldwide, these groups of people burnt their hands seriously. 

In entire April where I last stopped my FFA briefly, big hands had tremendous amount of Longs if you noticed. The FFA was in the range of +9.00 to +10.00 which were very strong positions.They were buying furiously for the PUMP AND PUMP UPSIDE OPERATIONS in the first 3 weeks of May. That was my Funds Flow Analysis against selling when I last stopped my analysis.


Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ High level of unloads/secret sellings from Monday till today of this week.
+ Market is finally showing signs of turning based on big hands' holdings and shorting posture.
+ This is because all the "Sell/Short in May" fools are wiped out with nasty losses already.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ There are beliefs out there that 2013 will be a bear market or economic collapse of some major Western economies such as US (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ); in my analyses, generally 2013 will, on the contrary, be a strong bull due to my FFA and TA.
+ We are currently not in any bear market.
+ Mid-long-term remains a buy on dip for investment purposes in 2013 as markets in Europe and Asia have negated bear market technical structures as mentioned last year 2012.
+ Long term funds are still buying/investing.
+ Short term and immediate term shorts/sells/profit-takings by traders represent entry/re-entry opportunities for longer term investors (i.e. buy on retracement dips).
+ Short term shake-outs on weak holders, or retailers with high leverage and no holding power, represent golden chance to buy on dips cheaply.
+ As highlighted previously, by 2Q/3Q 2013, many markets (except PIIGS) will make new bull market highs since 2009 financial crisis..


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve


Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions walked by Big Hands.



Saturday, 18 May 2013

DAX Index: 18 May 2013, Saturday, 11.10pm Singapore Time

DAX Index: 18 May 2013, Saturday, 11.10pm Singapore Time

BMR-1 and BMR-2 Negations:
GERMANY FINANCIAL MARKET AND GERMAN DAX INDEX WILL BE VERY BULLISH

There were many Sell-In-May precautions or warnings for 2013 in Singapore by many supposed "gurus" or "experts" as well as in international news. Well, the more "experts" who cautioned about selling or "sell in May and go away", the more one should had bought secretly and should still be buying, especially German Market and the German DAX Index.

As per advocated since last year, we are still in a long term bull market at current point.

Attached is the German DAX market structure which is one of the leaders, together with the US.
In early 2012, there was the first BMR (Bear Market Rejection) signal by the market (BMR-1). This Bear Market Rejection received double confirmation in the same last year 2012 June-July period (BMR-2). 

This is essentially a very bullish structure. 

There are those who are persistently bearish currently; they do not want to admit that their years of bearishness and posting of bearish news and bearish reports are not objective vis-a-vis what market analysis says. They will continue to be wrong, and the day they wake up to find critical resistances broken up, realise that they are wrong, they will be wrong again: because markets will secretly turn its back on them again.

Conclusion
Based on Technical Analysis of the German DAX chart above, 
German DAX Long Term Target: 9415 points

To share a quote I have composed:
"When market commanders make a decision, the rest of the followers will follow."
-Donovan Ang

Thursday, 25 April 2013

Announcement: 25 April 2013, Thursday, 5.40pm Singapore Time



To All Passionate Supporters of Donovan's Market Analysis,

Thank you for your supports.

I would be taking a break away from online write-ups and analyses again as I need to concentrate and put focus on my financial market trades and also due to sensitivity issues of Donovanian FFA.

Meantime, I would still post some charts, as well as insightful write-ups, here and there for your benefit.

I will continue with Donovan's Market Analysis after I manage to find time.
Meanwhile, best of luck in your trades and investments!

Wednesday, 24 April 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 24 April 2013, Wednesday, 4.55pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA)
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
24 April 2013, Wednesday, 4.55pm Singapore Time



Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the 2nd hour of trading while US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 4 hours 35 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +9.013 to +8.034  in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands' Calls Holdings changed from +1.451 to +2.082 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ 3rd consecutive day of unloads.
+ Persistently treacherous set-ups in play.
+ Warned beforehand that late longs and late shorts will get whip-sawed nastily in this short term volatility.
+ As it turns out, the whipsaws are indeed nasty, and is all happening as scripted, regardless of whether you are longs or shorts.
+ Late longs and late shorts will still get whipped again based on current posture set up.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ There are beliefs out there that 2013 will be a bear market or economic collapse of some major Western economies such as US (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ); in my analyses, generally 2013 will, on the contrary, be a strong bull due to my FFA and TA.
+ We are currently not in any bear market.
+ Mid-long-term remains a buy on dip for investment purposes in 2013 as markets in Europe and Asia have negated bear market technical structures as mentioned last year 2012.
+ Long term funds are still buying/investing.
+ Short term and immediate term shorts/sells/profit-takings by traders represent entry/re-entry opportunities for longer term investors (i.e. buy on retracement dips).
+ Short term shake-outs on weak holders, or retailers with high leverage and no holding power, represent golden chance to buy on dips cheaply.
+ As highlighted previously, by 2Q/3Q 2013, many markets (except PIIGS) will make new bull market highs since 2009 financial crisis..


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve


Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions walked by Big Hands.


Tuesday, 23 April 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 23 April 2013, Tuesday, 4.05pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA)
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
23 April 2013, Tuesday, 4.05pm Singapore Time



Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the 2nd hour of trading while US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 5 hours 25 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +9.503 to + 9.013  in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands' Calls Holdings changed from +1.554 to +1.451 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Dual-pronged sells today.
+ 2nd day of consecutive dual sellings/unloads by Big Hands.
+ Late longs and late shorts will still get whipped based on current posture set up.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ There are beliefs out there that 2013 will be a bear market or economic collapse of some major Western economies such as US (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ); in my analyses, generally 2013 will, on the contrary, be a strong bull due to my FFA and TA.
+ We are currently not in any bear market.
+ Mid-long-term remains a buy on dip for investment purposes in 2013 as markets in Europe and Asia have negated bear market technical structures as mentioned last year 2012.
+ Long term funds are still buying/investing.
+ Short term and immediate term shorts/sells/profit-takings by traders represent entry/re-entry opportunities for longer term investors (i.e. buy on retracement dips).
+ Short term shake-outs on weak holders, or retailers with high leverage and no holding power, represent golden chance to buy on dips cheaply.
+ As highlighted previously, by 2Q/3Q 2013, many markets (except PIIGS) will make new bull market highs since 2009 financial crisis..


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve


Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions walked by Big Hands.


Monday, 22 April 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 22 April 2013, Monday, 2.30pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA)
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
22 April 2013, Monday, 2.30pm Singapore Time



Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are 30 minutes away from opening for trading while US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 7 hours 00 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +9.907 to +9.503  in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands' Calls Holdings changed from +1.645 to +1.554 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Dual sells today.
+ Adjustments
+ Late longs and late shorts will get whipped tonight.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ There are beliefs out there that 2013 will be a bear market or economic collapse of some major Western economies such as US (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ); in my analyses, generally 2013 will, on the contrary, be a strong bull due to my FFA and TA.
+ We are currently not in any bear market.
+ Mid-long-term remains a buy on dip for investment purposes in 2013 as markets in Europe and Asia have negated bear market technical structures as mentioned last year 2012.
+ Long term funds are still buying/investing.
+ Short term and immediate term shorts/sells/profit-takings by traders represent entry/re-entry opportunities for longer term investors (i.e. buy on retracement dips).
+ Short term shake-outs on weak holders, or retailers with high leverage and no holding power, represent golden chance to buy on dips cheaply.
+ As highlighted previously, by 2Q/3Q 2013, many markets (except PIIGS) will make new bull market highs since 2009 financial crisis..


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve


Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions walked by Big Hands.



Friday, 19 April 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 19 April 2013, Friday, 2.50pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA)
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
19 April 2013, Friday, 2.50pm Singapore Time



Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are 10 minutes away from opening for trading while US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 6 hours 40 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +5.044 to +9.907  in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands' Calls Holdings changed from +0.917 to +1.645 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Yesterday when markets seemed bearish, big hands were buying much; this is why markets rallied in Asia today.
+ Shortists are burnt or whipped badly as per warned beforehand on the volatility.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ There are beliefs out there that 2013 will be a bear market or economic collapse of some major Western economies such as US (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ); in my analyses, generally 2013 will, on the contrary, be a strong bull due to my FFA and TA.
+ We are currently not in any bear market.
+ Mid-long-term remains a buy on dip for investment purposes in 2013 as markets in Europe and Asia have negated bear market technical structures as mentioned last year 2012.
+ Long term funds are still buying/investing.
+ Short term and immediate term shorts/sells/profit-takings by traders represent entry/re-entry opportunities for longer term investors (i.e. buy on retracement dips).
+ Short term shake-outs on weak holders, or retailers with high leverage and no holding power, represent golden chance to buy on dips cheaply.
+ As highlighted previously, by 2Q/3Q 2013, many markets (except PIIGS) will make new bull market highs since 2009 financial crisis..


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve


Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions walked by Big Hands.



Thursday, 18 April 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 18 April 2013, Thursday, 9.08pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA)
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
18 April 2013, Thursday, 9.08pm Singapore Time



Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are into the 7th hour of trading while US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 22 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +1.880 to +5.044  in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands' Calls Holdings changed from +1.971 to +0.917 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Neutral short term.
+ Whipsaw upwards and downwards simultaneously to catch late shorts and late longs.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ There are beliefs out there that 2013 will be a bear market or economic collapse of some major Western economies such as US (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ); in my analyses, generally 2013 will, on the contrary, be a strong bull due to my FFA and TA.
+ We are currently not in any bear market.
+ Mid-long-term remains a buy on dip for investment purposes in 2013 as markets in Europe and Asia have negated bear market technical structures as mentioned last year 2012.
+ Long term funds are still buying/investing.
+ Short term and immediate term shorts/sells/profit-takings by traders represent entry/re-entry opportunities for longer term investors (i.e. buy on retracement dips).
+ Short term shake-outs on weak holders, or retailers with high leverage and no holding power, represent golden chance to buy on dips cheaply.
+ As highlighted previously, by 2Q/3Q 2013, many markets (except PIIGS) will make new bull market highs since 2009 financial crisis..


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve


Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions walked by Big Hands.