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Thursday, 3 April 2014

Capitaland: 3 April 2014, Thursday, 9.49pm Singapore Time

Capitaland: 3 April 2014, Thursday, 9.49pm Singapore Time
Chart courtesy of Chartnexus.com

Donovan Norfolk Ang Technical Rating:
Bearish on Capitaland (Short)

Bearish on Stocks and Equities Worldwide, 
especially property stocks and financial/bank stocks
(Get out of stock markets)

Bearish on global property stocks.



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Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 3 April 2014, Thursday, 3.50pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
3 April 2014, Thursday, 3.50pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
3 April 2014, Thursday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the first 0 hour 50 minutes of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 5 hour 40 minutes away from opening for trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +9.999 to +10.000 (Bearish Reversal Point) in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Hands' Calls Holdings on hand changed from +4.090 to +3.930 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ 3rd of April of 2014:

+ WORLDWIDE BEAR MARKET CONFIRMATIONS ARE BEING MADE WHILE YOU LEAST EXPECT IT.
(When everything seems so bullish currently)

+ Big Hands are again at Bearish Reversal Point today and unloading Calls: bearish.
+ FFA PERSISTENTLY in bearish reversal point.
+ Possibility of dual bearish reversal movements in above FFA now.
+ This international FFA movement still exhibits the characteristics of a transition to bear markets worldwide.
+ Immediate-Term dead cat bounce is ending (short and unload on every immediate-term rebound).
+ All 3 Short-Term, Mid-Term and Long-Term trend outlooks remain in same direction of being bearish-biased and downtrend-biased.
+ European markets and Asian markets will remain weak.
+ Worldwide financial markets have been executing technical price discovery to confirm a bear market transition.
+ Long Term Investment Funds are also unloading now (selling off on technical rebounds).
+ In holistic consideration of the macro-analysis:

+ Financial Markets worldwide are generally in the following structures:
+ Immediate term: Technical Rebound Ending
+ Short term: Bearish Reversal (Reversal to Bearish) in execution
+ Mid term: Bearish
+ Long Term: Transition to Nascent Bear Markets

+ The short-term bearish reversal of March 2014 (refer Funds Flow Analysis Chart) is now a tentative confirmation that financial markets are attempting to transit to long term bear markets.
+ Markets are bearish-biased: in essence, short, sell and exit stocks & equities on opportunistic intraday technical rebounds (95% stocks will move downtrend while only 5% will buck against the trend).

+ At FFA of +10.000 previously, the short term technical rebounds worldwide are confirming the birth of a new bear market, and these technical rebounds are meant to serve as noises to confuse the markets.
+ After the shorts have been squeezed in February 2014, the financial markets worldwide are turning to resume bleeding the longs and investment portfolios for the long term.
+ It is prudent to exit the stocks and equities markets.
+ If one is generally still holding investment portfolios or longs in stocks and equities, one is expected to suffer further portfolio damages, a warning that was issued since November-December of 2013. 
+ Nascent long term bear market is coming sooner than one would expect and any immediate term rebounds are good opportunities to exit.

+ Commodities currencies (AUDUSD, NZDUSD) to continue to be hammered as per warned last week and start of this week. (See my Commodities Stock and Commodities Forex Correlation on Synchronisation before the start of this week on the analysis site.

Side-Note:
Read all the hot money, smart money and capital exodus / capital flight articles located at the right hand column of this analysis site. They were in-depth analyses and painstakingly written to help you. I had put in much efforts in those quality articles and giving to you for free. 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




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Market Forecast Update: 3 April 2014, Thursday, 10.41am Singapore Time

LATEST
Market Forecast Update: 3 April 2014, Thursday, 10.41am Singapore Time

In my all analyses which triangulate, it is time to get out of the markets. At the high. And the time is now 3 April 2014. Come back in only when things are cheap, otherwise, even if it gets higher, there is actually no point looking back because the risks really do not justify any upside speculation. The prospective bitter punishments will be heavier than the sweeties.

Another thing to note:
Even my most bullish 3 Aces of the international markets, DAX, NASDAQ and KLCI are finding momentum upwards an uphill and mammoth task now. And the ball is starting to roll back down.

It is prudent to reduce exposure to stocks and equities and be light on them.



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Wednesday, 2 April 2014

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 2 April 2014, Wednesday, 7.45pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
2 April 2014, Wednesday, 7.45pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
2 April 2014, Wednesday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the first 4 hours 45 minutes of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 1 hour 45 minutes away from opening for trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +10.000 (Bearish Reversal Point) to +9.999 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Hands' Calls Holdings on hand changed from +4.100 to +4.090 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ 2nd of April of 2014:
+ Big Hands are dual sells today: bearish.
+ FFA PERSISTENT in bearish reversal point.
+ This worldwide FFA movement now exhibits the characteristics of a transition to bear markets worldwide.
+ Immediate-Term dead cat bounce is ending (short and unload on every immediate-term rebound).
+ All 3 Short-Term, Mid-Term and Long-Term trend outlooks remain in same direction of being bearish-biased and downtrend-biased.
+ European markets and Asian markets will remain weak.
+ Worldwide financial markets have been executing technical price discovery to confirm a bear market transition.
Long Term Investment Funds are also unloading now (selling off on technical rebounds).
+ In holistic consideration of the macro-analysis:

+ Financial Markets worldwide are generally in the following structures:
+ Immediate term: Technical Rebound Ending
+ Short term: Bearish Reversal (Reversal to Bearish) in execution
+ Mid term: Bearish
+ Long Term: Transition to Nascent Bear Markets

+ The short-term bearish reversal of March 2014 (refer Funds Flow Analysis Chart) is now a tentative confirmation that financial markets are attempting to transit to long term bear markets.
+ Markets are bearish-biased: in essence, short, sell and exit stocks & equities on opportunistic intraday technical rebounds (95% stocks will move downtrend while only 5% will buck against the trend).

+ At FFA of +10.000 previously, the short term technical rebounds worldwide are confirming the birth of a new bear market, and these technical rebounds are meant to serve as noises to confuse the markets.
+ After the shorts have been squeezed in February 2014, the financial markets worldwide are turning to resume bleeding the longs and investment portfolios for the long term.
+ It is prudent to exit the stocks and equities markets.
+ If one is generally still holding investment portfolios or longs in stocks and equities, one is expected to suffer further portfolio damages, a warning that was issued since November-December of 2013. 
+ Nascent long term bear market is coming sooner than one would expect and any immediate term rebounds are good opportunities to exit.

Side-Note:
Read all the hot money, smart money and capital exodus / capital flight articles located at the right hand column of this analysis site. They were in-depth analyses and painstakingly written to help you. I had put in much efforts in those quality articles and giving to you for free. 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




Click "Share" on the Facebook icon at the bottom of this thread if you like it, or 
if you would like to start a discussion about it with friends on your Facebook Wall.

Tuesday, 1 April 2014

VIX: 1 April 2014, Tuesday, 9.15pm Singapore Time

VIX: 1 April 2014, Tuesday, 9.15pm Singapore Time
Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

Attached above is the daily chart of the VIX Fear Index. It is doing a large rounding bottom formation which is essentially bullish in formation as above; a large bullish VIX build-up implies a large bearish stocks and equities market build-up. 

The long term bullish build-up in VIX has serious implications:
Financial markets are building up big in bearishness, and this coincides with the worldwide financial markets' transition to bear markets. 

All previous VIX analyses:

Donovan Norfolk Ang Technical Rating:
Bullish on VIX
Bearish of Stocks and Equities Worldwide
(Get out of stock markets)




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if you would like to start a discussion about it with friends on your Facebook Wall.

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 1 April 2014, Tuesday, 2.15pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
1 April 2014, Tuesday, 2.15pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
1 April 2014, Tuesday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are 0 hour 45 minutes away from opening for trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 7 hours 15 minutes away from opening for trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +8.299 to +10.000 (Bearish Reversal Point) in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Hands' Calls Holdings on hand changed from +4.266 to +4.100 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ 1st of April of 2014:
+ FFA hits bearish reversal point again today.
+ This worldwide FFA indicator movement now exhibits the characteristics of a transition to bear markets worldwide.
+ Immediate-Term dead cat bounce is ending (short and unload on every immediate rebound).
+ All 3 Short-Term, Mid-Term and Long-Term trend outlooks remain in same direction of being bearish-biased and downtrend-biased.
+ European markets and Asian markets will remain weak.
+ Worldwide financial markets have been executing technical price discovery to confirm a bear market transition.
+ Long Term Investment Funds are also unloading now (selling off on technical rebounds).
+ In holistic consideration of the macro-analysis:

+ Financial Markets worldwide are generally in the following structures:
+ Immediate term: Technical Rebound Ending
+ Short term: Bearish Reversal (Reversal to Bearish) in execution
+ Mid term: Bearish
+ Long Term: Transition to Nascent Bear Markets

+ The short-term bearish reversal of March 2014 (refer Funds Flow Analysis Chart) is now a tentative confirmation that financial markets are attempting to transit to long term bear markets.
+ Markets are bearish-biased: short, sell and exit stocks & equities generally on opportunistic intraday technical rebounds.

This bearish reversal was warned ahead at the end of February 2014 and during the first 2 weeks of March 2014 just before FED Chairman Janet Yellen announced the raise in year-end 2015 interest rate expectations to 1%, above market consensus of 0.65%. 

Refer to these warnings before FED Chairman's rates announcement that is bearish for markets:
+ At FFA of +10.000 previously, the short term technical rebounds worldwide are confirming the birth of a new bear market, and these technical rebounds were meant to serve as noises to confuse the markets.
+ After the shorts have been squeezed in February 2014, the financial markets worldwide are to resume bleeding the longs and investment portfolios for the long term.
+ If one is generally still holding investment portfolios or longs in stocks and equities, one is expected to suffer further portfolio damages, a warning that was issued since November-December of 2013 based on totality analysis. 
+ Nascent long term bear market is coming sooner than one would expect and any immediate term rebounds are good opportunities to exit.

Side-Note:
Read all the hot money, smart money and capital exodus / capital flight articles located at the right hand column of this analysis site. They were in-depth analyses and painstakingly written to help you. I had put in much efforts in those quality articles and giving to you for free. 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




Click "Share" on the Facebook icon at the bottom of this thread if you like it, or 
if you would like to start a discussion about it with friends on your Facebook Wall.

MSCI Singapore Index (SiMSCI): 1 April 2014, Tuesday, 11.18am Singapore Time

MSCI Singapore Index (SiMSCI): 1 April 2014, Tuesday, 11.18am Singapore Time
(The Close Equivalent of Straits Times Index)

Attached is the Technical Analysis of the litmus index of the Singapore Stocks and Equities Market: MSCI Singapore. The MSCI Singapore reflects the state of the Singapore stocks and equities market, as well as how the economy will be steering ahead: Bearish.

Added more Shorts on MSCI Singapore (SiMSCI) at 360.85 points today.
(MSCI Singapore 359.0 pts is roughly equivalent to Straits Times Index 3175 pts).

As highlighted previously, the Singapore stocks market had been under distributional mode from end of 2012 to early 2014. This entire phase involved the Big Hands, Smart Money and Market Movers getting rid and unloading their unwanted babies to the Public at high prices. This sets the pace for laying the groundwork for the next bear market.

In addition, as explained comprehensively in past Straits Times Index Analyses, there is a huge wave of selling pressures acting above current positions of the markets (refer to past STI analyses on how this came about).

Once the distribution layer of support at MSCI Singapore (SiMSCI) 334 points-343 points breaks down, the distribution officially completes and the bear market will rear its ugly head. Sentiments remain that majority 90% of investors and retailers do not believe in any bear market as economic forecasts are rosy. Such sentiment is a breeding ground for more bearish sell-offs, as all these investors will never get out or exit the markets, with emotions and gut feel ruling over any rationality.


Donovan Norfolk Ang Technical Rating:
Bearish
(Bearish also on all international stocks and equities)

Related:
(Capital flight/exodus from worldwide bank stocks)

(The Great Capital Flight of Emerging Markets)

(All analyses of MSCI Singapore / Straits Times Index as preview of World Markets)

(Straits Property Index as preview of World Property Markets)

(NASDAQ: turning toppish)

Please share with your friends to alert them.




Click "Share" on the Facebook icon at the bottom of this thread if you like it, or 
if you would like to start a discussion about it with friends on your Facebook Wall.