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Tuesday, 26 February 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 26 February 2013, Tuesday, 10.29 pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA) 
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
26 February 2013, Tuesday, 10.29 pm Singapore Time

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions 

European markets are into the 7th hour of trading, while US markets (DJIA, SPX, NASDAQ) are 1 minute away from the Tuesday opening bell.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +2.836 to +4.325 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands switched to puts last week for immediate term protection, and puts for today changed from -1.434 to -2.501 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Big Hands are now volatility postured.
+ Continued increase in immediate term and short term downside protections.
+ Continued increase in accumulations at the same time.
+ Shake out operations are still greatly in place (Whipsaws both up and down).
+ Small hands will sell with fear, especially self-inflicted fear, regardless of upside or downside due to volatility.
+ Big Hands will make from both sides of up-move and down-move (due to volatility from PUTS and longs in stocks).
+ Intraday traders (both longs and shorts) will be whipped in both directions and with bruises.
+ Big Hands will sell to buy (The great paradox of financial markets and market psychology just like how they also buy to sell).

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ There are beliefs out there that 2013 will be a bear market or economic collapse of some major Western economies such as US (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ); in my analyses, generally 2013 will, on the contrary, be a strong bull due to my FFA and TA.
+ We are currently not in any bear market. 
+ Mid-long-term remains a buy on dip for investment purposes in 2013 as markets in Europe and Asia have negated bear market technical structures as mentioned last year 2012. 
+ Long term funds are still buying/investing.
+ Short term and immediate term shorts/sells/profit-takings by traders represent entry/re-entry opportunities for longer term investors (i.e. buy on retracement dips).
+ Short term shake-outs on weak holders, or retailers with high leverage and no holding power, represent golden chance to buy on dips cheaply. 
+ As highlighted previously, by 2Q/3Q 2013, many markets (except PIIGS) will make new bull market highs since 2009 financial crisis..

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions walked by Big Hands.

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