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Wednesday, 15 April 2015

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 15 April 2015, Wednesday, 4.45pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
15 April 2015, Wednesday, 4.45pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
15 April 2015, Wednesday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

US markets (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 04 hours and 45 minutes away from opening for trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Money have changed from -0.943 to -2.725 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. On the other front, Big Monies' Bullish Calls on hand changed from +3.967 to +1.550 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator.  

Big Money Aggregate Strength (posture) in holdings changed from +1.512 to -0.588


Broad Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

In the financial markets worldwide today:

+ Big Monies increased shorts holdings for 2nd consecutive trading day.
+ Big Monies dumped half of all bullish calls holdings on hand: BEARISH
+ Big Monies have switched to shorts.
+ Big Monies are cautiously collecting shorts while taking care of immediate rebounds with protective bullish calls.
+ Bullish calls are protective in nature.
+ Current Phase: Big Monies have collected shorts in holdings for 2nd consecutive week overall. 
+ Overall net strength has now fallen negative (with shorts).

+ EARLY ALERT:
+ Long Term Bear Market is making double confirmation on stocks all across the board internationally.

+ Stocks that fail to rally with the positive Funds Flow Analysis of the past few weeks will plunge faster than any other stocks when Funds Flow Analysis of Smart Monies turn negative (shorts) again. 


Worldwide financial markets are executing the following basic technical structures:

+ Long term: Transition to Bear Markets
+ Mid term: Sideways with high probability of topping out: Bearish Bias.
+ Short term: Choppy

<< TRANSITION TO LONG TERM BEAR MARKET WORLDWIDE AS WARNED IN END-2013 AND EARLY-2014 HAS RECEIVED CONFIRMATION IN EARLY-2015>>

Long term major top for worldwide financial markets forming in 2014 and early 2015:

+ First confirmation of worldwide bear market transition had made in the first half of 2014 per warned earlier.
+ The worldwide transitions to bear markets have been warned in end-2013 and early-2014 based on technicals and funds flow characteristics of worldwide financial markets.
+ We are receiving 2nd confirmation of worldwide bear market transition in early 2015.

The order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear markets respectively

While Long Term Major Top starts to form in indices worldwide, the following is the order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear market respectively:

1. Weakest stocks (2.27% of the entire broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2012, making it 2.27% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make highs). 

2. Weaker stocks (the next 13.59% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2013, making it 2.27%+13.59%=15.86% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make new highs but with deceleration). 

3. Weak stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2014, making it 15.86%+34.13%=49.99% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to consolidate and to peak out)

4. Strong stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2015, making it 49.99%+34.13%=84.12% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to start to go downtrend)

5. The stronger and the strongest stocks (the remaining 15.88% of the broad market) will transit into their bear markets in 2016 onwards, making it 84.12%+15.88%=100% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices in bear market).

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Money Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0.000-0.999: Neutral / Negligible Net Holdings
1.000-2.999: Weak strength / weak holdings
3.000-4.999: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5.000-6.999: Strong strength / high holdings
7.000-8.999:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9.000-10.000:: Maximum strength / maximum holdings

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




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Tuesday, 14 April 2015

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 14 April 2015, Tuesday, 11.35pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
14 April 2015, Tuesday, 11.35pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
14 April 2015, Tuesday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

US markets (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ) are in the first 02 hours 05 minutes of trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Money have changed from -0.108 to -0.943 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. On the other front, Big Monies' Bullish Calls on hand changed from +3.959 to +3.967 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator.  

Big Money Aggregate Strength (posture) in holdings changed to +1.512


Broad Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

In the financial markets worldwide today:

+ Big Monies increased shorts holdings for today. 
+ Big Monies consolidated their bullish calls.
+ Big Monies have switched to shorts, however, they are holding moderate bullish calls.
+ Big Monies are cautiously collecting shorts while taking care of immediate rebounds with protective bullish calls.
+ Current Phase: Big Monies are pushing markets to establish shorts now.

+ EARLY ALERT:
+ Long Term Bear Market is making double confirmation on stocks all across the board internationally.

+ Stocks that fail to rally with the positive Funds Flow Analysis of the past few weeks will plunge faster than any other stocks when Funds Flow Analysis of Smart Monies turn negative (shorts) again. 


Worldwide financial markets are executing the following basic technical structures:

+ Long term: Transition to Bear Markets
+ Mid term: Sideways with high probability of topping out: Bearish Bias.
+ Short term: Choppy

<< TRANSITION TO LONG TERM BEAR MARKET WORLDWIDE AS WARNED IN END-2013 AND EARLY-2014 HAS RECEIVED CONFIRMATION IN EARLY-2015>>

Long term major top for worldwide financial markets forming in 2014 and early 2015:

+ First confirmation of worldwide bear market transition had made in the first half of 2014 per warned earlier.
+ The worldwide transitions to bear markets have been warned in end-2013 and early-2014 based on technicals and funds flow characteristics of worldwide financial markets.
+ We are receiving 2nd confirmation of worldwide bear market transition in early 2015.

The order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear markets respectively

While Long Term Major Top starts to form in indices worldwide, the following is the order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear market respectively:

1. Weakest stocks (2.27% of the entire broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2012, making it 2.27% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make highs). 

2. Weaker stocks (the next 13.59% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2013, making it 2.27%+13.59%=15.86% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make new highs but with deceleration). 

3. Weak stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2014, making it 15.86%+34.13%=49.99% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to consolidate and to peak out)

4. Strong stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2015, making it 49.99%+34.13%=84.12% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to start to go downtrend)

5. The stronger and the strongest stocks (the remaining 15.88% of the broad market) will transit into their bear markets in 2016 onwards, making it 84.12%+15.88%=100% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices in bear market).

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Money Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0.000-0.999: Neutral / Negligible Net Holdings
1.000-2.999: Weak strength / weak holdings
3.000-4.999: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5.000-6.999: Strong strength / high holdings
7.000-8.999:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9.000-10.000:: Maximum strength / maximum holdings

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




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if you would like to start a discussion about it with friends on your Facebook Wall.

Sunday, 12 April 2015

Russia RTS Index: 12 April 2015, Sunday, 10.57pm Singapore Time

Russia RTS Index: 12 April 2015, Sunday, 10.57pm Singapore Time

Attached is the follow up of the Russia RTS Index and the Russian Stocks Market. 

In September 2012 (RED Circled point in chart), I forewarned using the fan analysis and worldwide Funds Flow Analysis that the Russia Stocks Market will crash and that the Russia Ruble will go into a deep bear market (refer: http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/2012/09/russia-rts-standard-index-23-september.html). This has now taken place and Russia is entrenched in the early-mid stage of a bear market.

Together with the impending commodities escape wave (dead cat bounce) to come worldwide, including the crude oil escape wave, Russian markets will move upwards to backtest the 1242-1340 points band to confirm its long term bear market.

This rebound is in tune with the last and final upmove in strong markets worldwide. It will also synchronously be the last and final escape wave in weak markets worldwide.

In essence, for weak markets and weak stocks, this final dead cat bounce is merely to confirm long term bear markets just like the Russian case; for strong markets, they may make new highs but that will be the final wave up (eg laggard markets such as China and Hong Kong).

The rebound in Russia will end around 1242-1340 points band in chart above, following which Russia Stocks Market, together with Ruble, will crash below RTS Index of below 500 points.
This bear market in Russian financial markets and Russian Ruble is far from over.
Worldwide markets will also get worse after this escape wave rebound.



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Friday, 10 April 2015

Washington Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT): 10 April 2015, Friday, 9.53pm Singapore Time

Washington Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT): 
10 April 2015, Friday, 9.53pm Singapore Time

One of the stocks from my Stocks Scanning Results @ http://finviz.com/screener.ashx:
Attached above is the chart of Washington Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) that is listed in the US Stocks Market (NYSE).

Red Flags in Chart and Table highlighted above.

Note in addition the following:
Failure of this stock to rally on maximum positive Funds Flow of +10.000 on broad markets in March-2015: HIGHLY BEARISH
(Refer to Daily Funds Flow Analysis Worldwide)

Any positive forecast or positivities are not able to push up the REIT anymore:
Highly Bearish

Sell on good news and accelerated plunge on bad news.
This is what will happen to REITS and property stocks worldwide.

This stock is available for shorting in IGmarket platform.

Side-note:
In the stock scans, more and more REITS are appearing bearish.
Watch out for Singapore REITS. You may lose your capital way more than any meagre dividends.



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Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 10 April 2015, Friday, 7.35pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
10 April 2015, Friday, 7.35pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
10 April 2015, Friday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

US markets (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 01 hour 55 minutes away from opening for trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Money have changed to +1.607 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. On the other front, Big Monies' Bullish Calls on hand changed to +3.427 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator.  

Big Money Aggregate Strength (posture) in holdings changed to +2.517


Broad Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

In the financial markets worldwide today:

+ Big Monies consolidating positions with weak longs and moderate bullish calls.
+ The action of big hands and smart monies are short term volatile as warned, mid term sideways and long term bearish bias in nature: dump or get out of stocks on any immediate term or short term rebounds.
+ One should be looking to get out of the financial markets and not be looking to buy. 

+ EARLY ALERT:
+ Long Term Bear Market is making double confirmation on stocks all across the board internationally.

+ Stocks that fail to rally with the positive Funds Flow Analysis of the past few weeks will plunge faster than any other stocks when Funds Flow Analysis of Smart Monies turn negative (shorts) again. 


Worldwide financial markets are executing the following basic technical structures:

+ Long term: Transition to Bear Markets
+ Mid term: Sideways with high probability of topping out: Bearish Bias.
+ Short term: Choppy

<< TRANSITION TO LONG TERM BEAR MARKET WORLDWIDE AS WARNED IN END-2013 AND EARLY-2014 HAS RECEIVED CONFIRMATION IN EARLY-2015>>

Long term major top for worldwide financial markets forming in 2014 and early 2015:

+ First confirmation of worldwide bear market transition had made in the first half of 2014 per warned earlier.
+ The worldwide transitions to bear markets have been warned in end-2013 and early-2014 based on technicals and funds flow characteristics of worldwide financial markets.
+ We are receiving 2nd confirmation of worldwide bear market transition in early 2015.

The order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear markets respectively

While Long Term Major Top starts to form in indices worldwide, the following is the order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear market respectively:

1. Weakest stocks (2.27% of the entire broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2012, making it 2.27% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make highs). 

2. Weaker stocks (the next 13.59% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2013, making it 2.27%+13.59%=15.86% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make new highs but with deceleration). 

3. Weak stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2014, making it 15.86%+34.13%=49.99% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to consolidate and to peak out)

4. Strong stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2015, making it 49.99%+34.13%=84.12% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to start to go downtrend)

5. The stronger and the strongest stocks (the remaining 15.88% of the broad market) will transit into their bear markets in 2016 onwards, making it 84.12%+15.88%=100% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices in bear market).

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Money Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0.000-0.999: Neutral / Negligible Net Holdings
1.000-2.999: Weak strength / weak holdings
3.000-4.999: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5.000-6.999: Strong strength / high holdings
7.000-8.999:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9.000-10.000:: Maximum strength / maximum holdings

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




Click "Share" on the Facebook icon at the bottom of this thread if you like it, or 
if you would like to start a discussion about it with friends on your Facebook Wall.