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Wednesday, 8 April 2015

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 8 April 2015, Wednesday, 4.00pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
8 April 2015, Wednesday, 4.00pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
8 April 2015, Wednesday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

US markets (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 05 hours 30 minutes away from opening for trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Money have changed to from +0.695 to -2.075 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. On the other front, Big Monies' Bullish Calls on hand changed from +2.447 to +1.871 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator.  

Big Money Aggregate Strength (posture) in holdings changed from +1.571 to -0.102
(Big Hands unloaded the last 4 weeks with pronounced huge dumps 2 weeks ago)

Broad Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

In the financial markets worldwide today:

+ Big Monies are significant shorts today despite markets seemingly bullish.
+ Big Monies also unloaded some bullish calls.
+ Big Monies are dual sells today.
+ The action of big hands and smart monies are short term volatile as warned, mid term sideways and long term bearish bias in nature: dump or get out of stocks on any immediate term or short term rebounds.
+ One should be looking to get out of the financial markets and not be looking to buy. 

+ EARLY ALERT:
+ Long Term Bear Market is making double confirmation on stocks all across the board internationally.

+ Stocks that fail to rally with the positive Funds Flow Analysis of the past few weeks will plunge faster than any other stocks when Funds Flow Analysis of Smart Monies turn negative (shorts) again. 


Worldwide financial markets are executing the following basic technical structures:

+ Long term: Transition to Bear Markets
+ Mid term: Sideways with high probability of topping out: Bearish Bias.
+ Short term: Choppy

<< TRANSITION TO LONG TERM BEAR MARKET WORLDWIDE AS WARNED IN END-2013 AND EARLY-2014 HAS RECEIVED CONFIRMATION IN EARLY-2015>>

Long term major top for worldwide financial markets forming in 2014 and early 2015:

+ First confirmation of worldwide bear market transition had made in the first half of 2014 per warned earlier.
+ The worldwide transitions to bear markets have been warned in end-2013 and early-2014 based on technicals and funds flow characteristics of worldwide financial markets.
+ We are receiving 2nd confirmation of worldwide bear market transition in early 2015.

The order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear markets respectively

While Long Term Major Top starts to form in indices worldwide, the following is the order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear market respectively:

1. Weakest stocks (2.27% of the entire broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2012, making it 2.27% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make highs). 

2. Weaker stocks (the next 13.59% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2013, making it 2.27%+13.59%=15.86% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make new highs but with deceleration). 

3. Weak stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2014, making it 15.86%+34.13%=49.99% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to consolidate and to peak out)

4. Strong stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2015, making it 49.99%+34.13%=84.12% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to start to go downtrend)

5. The stronger and the strongest stocks (the remaining 15.88% of the broad market) will transit into their bear markets in 2016 onwards, making it 84.12%+15.88%=100% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices in bear market).

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Money Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0.000-0.999: Neutral / Negligible Net Holdings
1.000-2.999: Weak strength / weak holdings
3.000-4.999: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5.000-6.999: Strong strength / high holdings
7.000-8.999:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9.000-10.000:: Maximum strength / maximum holdings

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




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Tuesday, 7 April 2015

LYXOR Commodities ETF: 7 April 2015, Tuesday, 7.33pm Singapore Time

LYXOR  Commodities ETF: 7 April 2015, Tuesday, 7.33pm Singapore Time

Attached above is the Lyxor Commodities ETF Monthly Chart.

Lyxor Commodities ETF will rebound short term to $20.00 region in the next few months before it will resume its long term downwave again.

Use Lyxor Commodities ETF as a guide to where commodities will be heading as a group in the next few months. 

While Lyxor Commodities ETF rebounds to $20.00 region or more, USD Index will correct healthily to 85.00-90.00 region .



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Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 7 April 2015, Tuesday, 4.44pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
7 April 2015, Tuesday, 4.44pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
7 April 2015, Tuesday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

US markets (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 04 hours 46 minutes away from opening for trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Money have changed to +0.695 (Negligible) in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. On the other front, Big Monies' Bullish Calls on hand changed to +2.447 (Weak Bullish Calls) in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator.  

Big Money Aggregate Strength (posture) in holdings changed to +1.571 (Weak Longs)
(Big Hands unloaded the last 4 weeks with pronounced huge dumps 2 weeks ago)

Broad Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

In the financial markets worldwide today:

+ Big Monies are dual buys for today.
+ Overall, Big Monies are neutral in holdings for now, but note that they had dumped almost all longs holdings since 2 weeks ago.
+ The action of big hands and smart monies are short term volatile, mid term sideways and long term bearish bias in nature: dump or get out of stocks on any immediate term or short term rebounds.
+ One should be looking to get out of the financial markets and not be looking to buy. 

+ EARLY ALERT:
+ Long Term Bear Market is making double confirmation on stocks all across the board internationally.

+ Stocks that fail to rally with the positive Funds Flow Analysis of the past few weeks will plunge faster than any other stocks when Funds Flow Analysis of Smart Monies turn negative (shorts) again. 


Worldwide financial markets are executing the following basic technical structures:

+ Long term: Transition to Bear Markets
+ Mid term: Sideways with high probability of topping out: Bearish Bias.
+ Short term: Choppy

<< TRANSITION TO LONG TERM BEAR MARKET WORLDWIDE AS WARNED IN END-2013 AND EARLY-2014 HAS RECEIVED CONFIRMATION IN EARLY-2015>>

Long term major top for worldwide financial markets forming in 2014 and early 2015:

+ First confirmation of worldwide bear market transition had made in the first half of 2014 per warned earlier.
+ The worldwide transitions to bear markets have been warned in end-2013 and early-2014 based on technicals and funds flow characteristics of worldwide financial markets.
+ We are receiving 2nd confirmation of worldwide bear market transition in early 2015.

The order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear markets respectively

While Long Term Major Top starts to form in indices worldwide, the following is the order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear market respectively:

1. Weakest stocks (2.27% of the entire broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2012, making it 2.27% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make highs). 

2. Weaker stocks (the next 13.59% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2013, making it 2.27%+13.59%=15.86% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make new highs but with deceleration). 

3. Weak stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2014, making it 15.86%+34.13%=49.99% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to consolidate and to peak out)

4. Strong stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2015, making it 49.99%+34.13%=84.12% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to start to go downtrend)

5. The stronger and the strongest stocks (the remaining 15.88% of the broad market) will transit into their bear markets in 2016 onwards, making it 84.12%+15.88%=100% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices in bear market).

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Money Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0.000-0.999: Neutral / Negligible Net Holdings
1.000-2.999: Weak strength / weak holdings
3.000-4.999: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5.000-6.999: Strong strength / high holdings
7.000-8.999:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9.000-10.000:: Maximum strength / maximum holdings

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




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Monday, 6 April 2015

Monetary Authority of Singapore Policy


Our Central Bank, MAS, has been doing a good job in ensuring the health of our financial system.




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Saturday, 4 April 2015

Market Update: 4 April 2015, Saturday, 9.55pm Singapore Time


Market Update: 
4 April 2015, Saturday, 9.55pm Singapore Time


Gold and Gold ETF (GLD listed in SGX) will gap up on Monday 6 April 2015. Buy more Gold and Gold ETF as they are still very cheap. 

Stay invested in Gold while USD and stocks-equities sell down as warned. 

Gold, Silver, AUD, CAD, NZD, Crude Oil and commodities will end their large rebound only when Gold and USD both hit my targets (as posted in my analysis site) in synchronous mode. 

Stocks-equities will meanwhile keep being unloaded as per warned using Worldwide FFA that the stocks rebound wave has ended.





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Wednesday, 1 April 2015

Microsoft Pre-market: 1 April 2015, Wednesday, 7.42pm Singapore Time

Microsoft Pre-market: 1 April 2015, Wednesday, 7.42pm Singapore Time

US markets are 01 hour and 48 minutes away from opening for trading.
Microsoft is breaking down pre-markets.
1st of April the D-Day.




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Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 1 April 2015, Wednesday, 4.10pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
1 April 2015, Wednesday, 4.10pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
1 April 2015, Wednesday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

US markets (DJIA. S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 05 hours 20 minutes away from opening for trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Money have changed from -1.426 to -1.321 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. On the other front, Big Monies' Bullish Calls on hand changed from +1.341 to +1.893 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator.  

Big Money Aggregate Strength (posture) in holdings changed from -0.043 to +0.286
(Big Hands unloaded the last 3 weeks with pronounced huge dumps in the past 1 week; all as per warned previously)

Broad Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

In the financial markets worldwide today:

+ Smart Monies further consolidated their shorts in holdings: bearish
+ Smart Monies also added slight bullish calls on hand.
+ Bullish calls are now protective in nature and main direction is the sellers' markets now.
+ Markets worldwide had been unloading for the past 3 weeks as warned, with more pronounced unloading in the past 1 week.

+ EARLY ALERT:
+ Long Term Bear Market is making double confirmation on stocks all across the board internationally.

+ Stocks that fail to rally with the positive Funds Flow Analysis of the past few weeks will plunge faster than any other stocks when Funds Flow Analysis of Smart Monies turn negative (shorts) again. 


Worldwide financial markets are executing the following basic technical structures:

+ Long term: Transition to Bear Markets
+ Mid term: Sideways with high probability of topping out: Bearish Bias.
+ Short term: Downtrend

<< TRANSITION TO LONG TERM BEAR MARKET WORLDWIDE AS WARNED IN END-2013 AND EARLY-2014 HAS RECEIVED CONFIRMATION IN EARLY-2015>>

Long term major top for worldwide financial markets forming in 2014 and early 2015:

+ First confirmation of worldwide bear market transition had made in the first half of 2014 per warned earlier.
+ The worldwide transitions to bear markets have been warned in end-2013 and early-2014 based on technicals and funds flow characteristics of worldwide financial markets.
+ We are receiving 2nd confirmation of worldwide bear market transition in early 2015.

The order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear markets respectively

While Long Term Major Top starts to form in indices worldwide, the following is the order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear market respectively:

1. Weakest stocks (2.27% of the entire broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2012, making it 2.27% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make highs). 

2. Weaker stocks (the next 13.59% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2013, making it 2.27%+13.59%=15.86% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make new highs but with deceleration). 

3. Weak stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2014, making it 15.86%+34.13%=49.99% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to consolidate and to peak out)

4. Strong stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2015, making it 49.99%+34.13%=84.12% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to start to go downtrend)

5. The stronger and the strongest stocks (the remaining 15.88% of the broad market) will transit into their bear markets in 2016 onwards, making it 84.12%+15.88%=100% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices in bear market).

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Money Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0.000-0.999: Neutral / Negligible Net Holdings
1.000-2.999: Weak strength / weak holdings
3.000-4.999: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5.000-6.999: Strong strength / high holdings
7.000-8.999:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9.000-10.000:: Maximum strength / maximum holdings

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




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if you would like to start a discussion about it with friends on your Facebook Wall.

Energy Transfer Partners: 1 April 2015, Wednesday, 7.48am Singapore Time

HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE


Energy Transfer Partners: 1 April 2015, Wednesday, 7.48am Singapore Time


One of the stocks from my Stocks Scanning Results (http://finviz.com/screener.ashx):
Attached above is the chart of Energy Transfer Partners (NYSE: ETP) that is listed in the US Stocks Market (NYSE).

Red Flags in Chart and Table highlighted above.
The latest candlestick on resistance is very nice as well.

Note in addition the following:
Failure of this stock to rally on maximum positive Funds Flow of +10.000 on broad markets from January-2015 to March-2015: HIGHLY BEARISH
(Refer to Daily Funds Flow Analysis Worldwide)

Side Note:
NYSE: BBY is hybrid wedge, the price action is bearish in nature, especially with fake break up at $39.00 and price actions testing wedge resistance successfully.

First black line resistance (outer line) formed mini wedge only

It is the 2nd inner black line that forms the larger wedge because the 2nd line entrenched the price sweetly to confirm the bearishness.

Plus there was a bear flag past few days, one should never be looking to long it. See carefully in detail how the price actions interact with my line and u will know why these are powerful lines and formed a bear wedge.

Lastly, the wedge resistance band is a thick one, this is a strong, powerful, thick resistance of selling pressure.

Proper interpretation of charts with proper S/R lines is very important. Not just mere scanning and gambling after a scan.






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