Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 16 November 2012, Friday, 5.35pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
16 November 2012, Friday, 5.35pm Singapore Time

The Games of Bluffs and Whipsaws are getting exciting

European markets are into the 2nd hour of trading, while US markets are 5 hours away from the Friday opening bell. Based on current latest computational results, Holdings index strength of Big Hands changed from -1.179 to -2.992 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands Calls holdings on hand reduced from +4.090 to +3.901 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator.

Posture by Big Hands:

+ Increase in Shorts Holdings.
+ Majority of Calls are still being held on (for protection against upside in the immediate/short-term) with slight profit takings of the Calls on Hand.
+ Outlook in the mid-term still bearish-biased and Shorts persist, with protection against immediate term rebound.
+ Stocks in the Board Markets (Big Caps, Mid-caps and Small caps) had been under Shorts-accumulation set-up in August-October 2012 period, as warned in September and October 2012. 

Meanwhile, based on Sector Rotational Analysis, penny stocks will be back in rotational play.
* Based on my funds flow, I warned ahead during August and September 2012 just before the tops are being formed, that the next major tops worldwide will occur in September and October 2012. 

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Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
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Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:

-10 ----- 0 ------+10

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:

negative (-ve) = shorting;

positive (+ve) = longing;

0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)

1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings

3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings

5-6: Strong strength / high holdings

7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings

9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store

Home: http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 15 November 2012, Thursday, 3.25pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
15 November 2012, Thursday, 3.25pm Singapore Time

The Games of Bluffs and Whipsaws are getting exciting

Per expected, this broad-based sell-down caught many market participants/investors by surprise, and it is not at all a surprise per warned in my analyses. European markets are 35 minutes away from opening, while US markets are around 7 hours away from the Thursday opening bell. Based on current latest computational results, Holdings index strength of Big Hands changed from -1.685 to -1.179 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands Calls holdings on hand reduced from +4.373 to +4.090 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Dual pronged longs today, suggesting immediate-term technical rebound as anticipated on Monday will still be on-going.


Posture by Big Hands:

+ Decrease in Shorts again.
+ Majority of Calls are still being held on (for protection against upside in the immediate/short-term).
+ Outlook in the mid-term still bearish-biased but weakened.
+ Stocks in the Board Markets (Big Caps, Mid-caps and Small caps) had been under Shorts-accumulation set-up in August-October 2012 period, as warned in September and October 2012. 

Meanwhile, based on Sector Rotational Analysis, penny stocks will be back in rotational play.* Based on my funds flow, I warned ahead during August and September 2012 just before the tops are being formed, that the next major tops worldwide will occur in September and October 2012. 

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Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:

-10 ----- 0 ------+10

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:

negative (-ve) = shorting;

positive (+ve) = longing;

0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)

1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings

3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings

5-6: Strong strength / high holdings

7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings

9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store

Home: http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 14 November 2012, Wednesday, 4.35pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
14 November 2012, Wednesday, 4.35pm Singapore Time

The Games of Bluffs and Whipsaws are getting exciting

European markets are in their first hour of trading, while US markets are 6 hours away from the Wednesday opening bell. Based on current latest computational results, Holdings index strength of Big Hands changed from -3.309 to -1.685 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands Calls holdings on hand changed from +2.243 to +4.373 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Dual pronged longs today, suggesting immediate-term technical rebound as anticipated on Monday will still be on-going.


Posture by Big Hands:

+ Decrease in Shorts.
+ Calls are held (for protection against upside in the immediate/short-term) and further increased to a more significant position.
+ Consolidation and possibly immediate-term technical rebound to carry on per warned on Monday, 12 Nov 2012 .
+ Outlook in the mid-term still bearish-biased but weakened.
+ Stocks in the Board Markets (Big Caps, Mid-caps and Small caps) had been under Shorts-accumulation set-up in August-October 2012 period, as warned in September and October 2012. 


* Based on my funds flow, I warned ahead during August and September 2012 just before the tops are being formed, that the next major tops worldwide will occur in September and October 2012. 

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Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:

-10 ----- 0 ------+10

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:

negative (-ve) = shorting;

positive (+ve) = longing;

0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)

1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings

3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings

5-6: Strong strength / high holdings

7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings

9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store

Home: http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 13 November 2012, Tuesday, 2.45pm Singapore Time

Happy Deepavali 2012!
May the light of fire bring you good luck and happiness.

Public Holiday in Singapore. 
No FFA will be done for today.

Side-note: 

My Funds Flow Analyses already warned a month in advance of the severe selling (as per previous track records of the major turn-ups and turn-downs, and with track records unbroken and unparalleled). Have you taken the precautions as anticipated by my FFA and escaped unhurt from the financial markets? Current market movements worldwide are resumptions of mid-term down-wave, and not just your normal downwards correction (unless FFA shows a major change). Hence, any technical rebound is just short in duration and weak in magnitude.

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 12 November 2012, Monday, 2.20pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
12 November 2012, Monday, 2.20pm Singapore Time

The Games of Bluffs and Whipsaws are getting exciting

As per warned on the Shorting Set-up laid up by the Big Boys, major stocks have since plunged heavily worldwide; Hang Seng Index plunged around 900points in 3 days leaving no room for escape, while the US DJIA  has now delved to sub-13000 points. This nasty selling, however, was within expectation based on my Funds Flow Analyses, and the smart ones would had already gotten out before this plunge.

In addition, as per expected last Friday of immediate term rebounds in financial markets worldwide, it indeed came today (Monday). It will not last long.

European markets are less than 2 hours from opening, while US markets are around 8.5 hours away from the Monday opening bell (US Markets on holiday today). Based on current latest computational results, Holdings index strength of Big Hands changed from -1.359 to -3.309 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands Calls holdings on hand changed from +2.512 to +2.243 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator.  


Posture by Big Hands:

+ Increase in Shorts again after adding noise to the markets.
+ Calls are held (for protection against upside in the immediate/short-term)
+ Consolidation and possibly immediate term technical rebound before more selldown waves to resume
+ Outlook in the mid-term still bearish-biased.
+ Stocks in the Board Markets (Big Caps, Mid-caps and Small caps) had been under Shorts-accumulation set-up in August-October 2012 period, as warned in September and October 2012. 


* Based on my funds flow, I warned ahead during August and September 2012 just before the tops are being formed, that the next major tops worldwide will occur in September and October 2012. It's all turned true now in retrospect.

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Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:

-10 ----- 0 ------+10

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:

negative (-ve) = shorting;

positive (+ve) = longing;

0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)

1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings

3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings

5-6: Strong strength / high holdings

7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings

9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store

Home: http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 9 November 2012, Friday, 4.01pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
9 November 2012, Friday, 4.01pm Singapore Time

The Game of Bluff is getting exciting

As per warned on the Shorting Set-up laid up by the Big Boys, major stocks plunged heavily worldwide; Hang Seng Index plunged around 900points in 2-3 days, leaving no room for escape, while US DJIA plunged to sub-13000 points. Those who lost badly could had escaped without harm, if heeded my warnings, as this was within expectations per highlighted by the Donovan Funds Flow Analyses.

European markets have just rung the opening bell and are in their first minute of trading, while US markets are around 6.5 hours away from the Friday opening bell. Based on current latest computational results, Holdings index strength of Big Hands changed from -3.077 to -1.359 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands Calls holdings on hand changed from +0.815 to +2.512 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator.  


Posture by Big Hands:

+ Further Reduction in Shorts holdings
+ Single day sudden large increase in Calls, for protection against upside in the immediate-term
+ Consolidation and possibly immediate term shorts whipsaw posture now 
+ Outlook in the mid-term still generally bearish-biased with expectation of immediate term rebounds.
+ Stocks in the Board Markets (Big Caps, Mid-caps and Small caps) had been under Shorts-accumulation set-up in August-October 2012 period, as warned in September and October 2012. 

==> Immediate Term Bounce within a Mid Term Downmove.

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Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:

-10 ----- 0 ------+10

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:

negative (-ve) = shorting;

positive (+ve) = longing;

0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)

1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings

3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings

5-6: Strong strength / high holdings

7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings

9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store

Home: http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 8 November 2012, Thursday, 7.40pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
8 November 2012, Thursday, 7.40pm Singapore Time

The Game of Bluff is getting exciting

European markets are in their 4th hour of trading, while US markets are around 3 hours away from the Thursday opening bell. Based on current latest computational results, Holdings index strength of Big Hands changed from -5.239 to -3.077 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands Calls holdings on hand changed from +0.564 to +0.815 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator.  

Naive retailers, on the other hand, are longs in the markets.

Posture by Big Hands:

+ Reduction in Shorts holdings.
+ However, Bulk of Holdings are still Shorts.
+ Little protection against upside in the short-term
+ Reduction from aggressive attacking mode
+ Outlook outright bearish in the mid-term without any more upmove-rebound protection
+ Stocks in the Board Markets (Big Caps, Mid-caps and Small caps) had been under Shorts-accumulation set-up in August-October 2012 period, as warned in September and October 2012. 

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Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:

-10 ----- 0 ------+10

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:

negative (-ve) = shorting;

positive (+ve) = longing;

0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)

1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings

3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings

5-6: Strong strength / high holdings

7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings

9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store

Donovan's Daily Broad Market Short Term Shorting Intention (BMSTSI) Oscillator:

0% -----20-----50-----80-----100%

Donovan's Daily Broad Market Short Term Shorting Intention (BMSTSI) Index Scale Key:

0 to 10: Negligible Broad Market Shorting Activity Today

10 to 20: Very Weak/Little Broad Market Shorting Activity Today

20 to 40: Weak/Little Broad Market Shorting Activity Today

40 to 60: Moderate Broad Market Shorting Activity Today

60 to 80: Strong Broad Market Shorting Activity Today

80 to 90: Very Strong Broad Market Shorting Activity Today

90 to 100: Full or Best Effort Broad Market Shorting Activity Today

Home: http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 7 November 2012, Wednesday, 2.22pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
7 November 2012, Wednesday, 2.22pm Singapore Time

The Game of Bluff is getting treacherous

European markets are 1.5 hours away from opening, while US markets are 8 hours away from the Wednesday opening bell. Based on current latest computational results, Holdings index strength of Big Hands changed from -4.119 to -5.239 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands reversed from slight Puts holdings to slight Calls holdings, with holdings on hand changing from -0.329 to +0.564  on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 


Posture:

+ Piling up of more Shorts (with Bulk of Shorts maintained).
+ No more protection against upside in the short-term
+ Gradually switching to a more aggressive attacking mode now 
+ Outlook outright bearish in the mid-term without any more upmove-rebound protection
+ Stocks in the Board Markets (Big Caps, Mid-caps and Small caps) had been under Shorts-accumulation set-up in August-October 2012 period, as warned in September and October 2012. 

Meanwhile, Donovan Broad Market Short Term Shorting Intention (1-month look-back window), Donovan-BMSTSI (1-mth), changed from strength index 58.65% to 52.45% (Computation Completed: 7 Oct 2012, 10.12pm Singapore Time).

* Note that Donovan-BMSTSI is also an Oscillator, based on the total amount of shorts in the entire markets; BMSTSI 20 and below means too few shorts (under-short) in the short term broad market and BMSTSI 80 and above means too much shorts (over-short) in the short term broad market. An increase in BMSTSI means broad markets are increasingly being shorted, suggesting bearishness, while a decreasing BMSTSI means covering shorts or lessened shorts. 

Below is the history of broad market shorts by the Smart Money and the most well-informed:

Donovan Broad Market Short Term Shorting Intention (BMSTSI) History:

22/10 BMSTSI = 39.12 (Volatility)
23/10 BMSTSI = 46.98 (Volatility)
24/10 BMSTSI = 34.30 (Volatility)
25/10 BMSTSI = 28.59 
26/10 BMSTSI = SINGAPORE PUBLIC HOLIDAY

29/10 BMSTSI = 33.00 (Short Term Broad Market Shorts Consolidation Ends)
30/10 BMSTSI = 43.00 (Short Term Broad Market Shorts Consolidation Ends)
31/10 BMSTSI = 47.23 (Short Term Broad Market Shorts Consolidation Ends) 
01/11 BMSTSI = 53.00 
02/11 BMSTSI = 54.11

05/11 BMSTSI = 59.11 
06/11 BMSTSI = 58.65 
07/11 BMSTSI = 52.45


*Note that Donovan-BMSTSI is also an Oscillator, based on the total amount of shorts in the entire markets; BMSTSI 20 and below means too few shorts (under-short) in the short term broad market and BMSTSI 80 and above means too much shorts (over-short) in the short term broad market. An increase in BMSTSI means broad markets are increasingly being shorted, suggesting bearishness, while a decreasing BMSTSI means covering shorts or lessened shorts. 

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Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:

-10 ----- 0 ------+10

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:

negative (-ve) = shorting;

positive (+ve) = longing;

0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)

1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings

3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings

5-6: Strong strength / high holdings

7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings

9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store

Donovan's Daily Broad Market Short Term Shorting Intention (BMSTSI) Oscillator:

0% -----20-----50-----80-----100%

Donovan's Daily Broad Market Short Term Shorting Intention (BMSTSI) Index Scale Key:

0 to 10: Negligible Broad Market Shorting Activity Today

10 to 20: Very Weak/Little Broad Market Shorting Activity Today

20 to 40: Weak/Little Broad Market Shorting Activity Today

40 to 60: Moderate Broad Market Shorting Activity Today

60 to 80: Strong Broad Market Shorting Activity Today

80 to 90: Very Strong Broad Market Shorting Activity Today

90 to 100: Full or Best Effort Broad Market Shorting Activity Today

Home: http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/