The following is the Donovan Norfolk Financial Model of A Bear Market Transition.
The following model has been repeatedly backtested successfully on all past bear markets across all major economies.
It is being applied to current financial markets in Singapore.
The following model has been repeatedly backtested successfully on all past bear markets across all major economies.
It is being applied to current financial markets in Singapore.
It is a sole proprietary financial model owned by Donovan Norfolk Ang.
Any infringement of the proprietary model and copyright will be pursued by Donovan Norfolk Ang.
While Long Term Major Top starts to form in indices worldwide, the following is the order of how individual stocks will transit into their individual bear market respectively:
1. Weakest stocks (2.27% of the entire broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2012, making it 2.27% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make highs).
2. Weaker stocks (the next 13.59% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2013, making it 2.27%+13.59%=15.86% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to still make new highs but with deceleration).
3. Weak stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2014, making it 15.86%+34.13%=49.99% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to consolidate and to peak out)
4. Strong stocks (the next 34.13% of the broad market) will start to transit into their bear markets in 2015, making it 49.99%+34.13%=84.12% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices to start to go downtrend)
5. The stronger and the strongest stocks (the remaining 15.88% of the broad market) will transit into their bear markets in 2016 onward, making it 84.12%+15.88%=100% of the entire broad markets in bear market (market indices in bear market).
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hello sir,
ReplyDeletein sum - we will have a confirmed bear treand in 2016 across all tickers. Thanks for this indication. Is it possible to advice at this time when do you feel the bull resumes..2017-18 ?
This will be a long term bear market, in a form that the 99% majority have not experienced before.
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