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Monday, 28 January 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 28 January 2013, Monday, 3.30 pm Singapore Time


Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA) 

For Worldwide Financial Markets:
28 January 2013, Monday, 3.30 pm Singapore Time



Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are 30 minutes away from opening, while US markets are 7 hours away from the Monday opening bell. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -2.835 to +0.933  in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index OscillatorBig Hands' Calls holdings changed from +0.752 to +0.684 in strength on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 


Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ High Volatility swing with a single day large longs today.
+ Short term is a swing back to neutral now.
+ Shake-out operation done on both longs and shorts today.


Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ Mid-long-term remains a buy on dip in 2013 as markets in Europe and Asia have negated bear market technical structures as mentioned last year 2012. 
+ Long term funds are still buying/investing.
+ Short term and immediate term shorts/sells/profit-takings by traders represent entry/re-entry opportunities for longer term investors (i.e. buy on retracement dips).
+ Short term shake-outs on weak holders, or retailers with high leverage and no holding power, represent golden chance to buy on dips cheaply. 
+ As highlighted previously, by 2Q/3Q 2013, many markets (except PIIGS) will make new bull market highs since 2009 financial crisis..


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Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
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Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve


Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions walked by Big Hands.



4 comments:

  1. Hi donavan , wat is ur personal view on cosco n yzj?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Thanks alot . I am always a big fan of your blog.

    ReplyDelete
  3. As a big rising wave lifts all boats, I expect Cosco and Yangzijiang to get lifted upwards too. However, as the ship-building sector is one of the weakest, the rising tide, while able to cause many stocks to propel, may just cause Cosco and Yangzijiang to backtest important resistances only. Stocks such as property counters and local banks will encounter less resistance during this rising tide, but stocks such as Cosco and Yangzijiang will encounter more inertia/resistance along the way. During a every minor correctional tide, strong stocks such as property counters and local banks will be resistant to falls while weak ones such as Cosco and Yangzijiang may be more fluid to falls.

    ReplyDelete
  4. I expect Cosco to backtest $1.655 as resistance.

    ReplyDelete