Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 11 December 2012, Tuesday, 3.30pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA) For Worldwide Financial Markets:
11 December 2012, Tuesday, 3.30pm Singapore Time

European markets are 30 minutes away from opening, while US markets are 7 hours away from the Tuesday opening bell. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands increased from +8.351 to +9.489 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands' Calls holdings increased from +8.566 to +9.043 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Dual-pronged re-load of longs today. 

Expect stocks in the broad markets to remain strong.

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Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
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Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:

-10 ----- 0 ------+10

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:

negative (-ve) = shorting;

positive (+ve) = longing;

0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)

1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings

3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings

5-6: Strong strength / high holdings

7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings

9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Home: http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/

Euro-USD Intraday: 10 December 2012, Monday, 9.00pm Singapore Time

Euro-USD Intraday: 10 December 2012, Monday, 9.00pm Singapore Time

Intraday Setup:

Long if BLUE RESISTANCE ($1.29521) breaks up.

Else Short if RED SUPPORT (1.28773) breaks down;

Close position within this week.

Home:
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 10 December 2012, Monday, 8.25pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA) For Worldwide Financial Markets:
10 December 2012, Monday, 8.25pm Singapore Time

European markets are amidst the 5th hour of opening, while US markets are 2 hours away from the Monday opening bell. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands reduced from +8.552 to +8.351 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands' Calls holdings reduced from +9.162 to +8.566 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Dual-pronged profits taking today.

Posture by Big Hands Overall:

+ European markets indeed went into immediate term profit-taking today and US markets (to be opened in 2 hours' time) are expected to go into consolidation too later, with profit-taking (selling) bias to prepare for change of hands as forecasted last Friday.
+ As highlighted since two weeks ago, weaker Big Hands will start to profit-take on +10.00 (hit last Thursday, 29 November 2012) while the stronger Hands continue to attempt to pump and hold (role rotational play) => Result: Switch of hands amidst consolidation (immediate term sell for mid-term buy)
+ Majority of Calls are still being held on but also with continuous and gradual profit-taking, as highlighted two weeks ago too.
+ Big Boys' Calls (accumulated big as computed in November 2012) are still deeply in-the-money, taken profits of gradually and reduced again to +8.566 today, and persistently with profit taking postures.
+ Sentiments reached maximum (+10.00 previously) without the prior set up of buy-accumulations. This usually has a short-squeeze intention.


+ At Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator = +10.00 in strength hit two weeks ago, it was a test of upper demarcations in worldwide markets as per highlighted (These were tests of upper boundaries, induced by sudden spike to +10.00 in holdings, without any accumulation set up; and such operations are often probes on boundaries. 

Bear market trends which had been in place since mid-to-late-2010 must be negated in such set ups to confirm a large negation of worldwide bear market trends; otherwise it would serve to turn as a confirmation on worldwide deflationary business environments which had been in place generally since 2010. Hence current movement is a CRITICAL GAME CHANGER  till end of 2012).

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:

-10 ----- 0 ------+10

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:

negative (-ve) = shorting;

positive (+ve) = longing;

0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)

1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings

3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings

5-6: Strong strength / high holdings

7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings

9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store

Home: http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 7 December 2012, Friday, 3.30pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA) For Worldwide Financial Markets:
7 December 2012, Friday, 3.30pm Singapore Time

European markets are 0.5 hour away from opening, while US markets are 7 hours away from the Friday opening bell. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands reduced from +8.632 to +8.552 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands' Calls holdings reduced from +9.650 to +9.162 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator.

Posture by Big Hands Overall:

+ European markets (to open in 0.5 hour's time) and US markets (to be opened in 7 hours' time) are expected to go into consolidation mode later, with profit-taking (selling) bias to prepare for change of hands.
+ As highlighted since last Friday, weaker Big Hands will start to profit-take on +10.00 (hit last Thursday, 29 November 2012) while the stronger Hands continue to attempt to pump and hold (role rotational play) => Result: Switch of hands amidst consolidation
+ Majority of Calls are still being held on but also with continuous and gradual profit-taking, as highlighted last Friday too.
+ Big Boys' Calls (accumulated big as computed in November 2012) are deeply in-the-money now, taken profits of gradually and reduced again to +9.162 today, and persistently with profit taking postures.
+ Sentiments reached maximum (+10.00 previously) without the prior set up of buy-accumulations. This usually has a short-squeeze favour.


+ At Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator = +10.00 in strength hit last week, it was a test of upper demarcations in worldwide markets as per highlighted (These were tests of upper boundaries, induced by sudden spike to +10.00 in holdings, without any accumulation set up; and such operations are often probes on boundaries. Bear market trends which had been in place since mid-to-late-2010 must be negated in such set ups to confirm a large negation of worldwide bear market trends; otherwise it would serve to turn as a confirmation on worldwide deflationary business environments which had been in place generally since 2010. Hence current movement is a CRITICAL GAME CHANGER  till end of 2012).

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:

-10 ----- 0 ------+10

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:

negative (-ve) = shorting;

positive (+ve) = longing;

0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)

1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings

3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings

5-6: Strong strength / high holdings

7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings

9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store

Home: http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/

Olam International: 7 December 2012, Friday, 9.05am

Olam International: 7 December 2012, Friday, 9.05am

Olam Technical Analysis Further Update:

Breached 1.49 and 1.465 respectively. With Volume

There were no selling on fear in November and December, with many market participants trying to catch a falling knife; there is no Longs killing Longs action yet; hence Olam has not bottomed yet. 

$1 and Sub-$1  the targets from here (refer to previous price projections based on Donovan's Technical Analysis).

+ My view:
From an objective Fundamental Analysis judgement, higher yielding notes will further erode away Olam's profits, deteriorating its fundamentals. Should worldwide recovery continue to persist, and interest rates rise without a commodities rise (commodities general price suppression) due to a tightening of USD back to US, highly-geared commodities companies could get double whammy.


Reference (Past Olam Analyses):
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/search/label/Olam

Home:

http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 6 December 2012, Thursday, 2.30pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA) For Worldwide Financial Markets:
6 December 2012, Thursday, 2.30pm Singapore Time

European markets are 1.5 hour away from opening, while US markets are 8 hours away from the Thursday opening bell. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +8.489 to +8.632 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands' Calls holdings reduced from +9.678 to +9.650 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator.

Posture by Big Hands Overall:

+ European markets (to open in 1.5 hour's time) and US markets (to be opened in 8 hours' time) are expected to go into consolidation mode later, with profit-taking bias for change of hands.
+ As highlighted last Friday, weaker Big Hands will start to profit-take on +10.00 while the stronger Hands continue to attempt to pump up and hold (role rotational play) => Result: Switch of hands
+ Majority of Calls are still being held on but also with profit-taking mood now, as highlighted last Friday too.
+ Big Boys' Calls (accumulated big as highlighted in November 2012) are deeply in-the-money now and reduced to +9.650 today, and persistently with profit taking postures.
+ Sentiments reached maximum (+10.00 previously) without the prior set up of buy-accumulations. This usually has a short-squeeze favour.


+ At Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator = +10.00 in strength previously this week, it was a test of upper demarcations in worldwide markets as per highlighted (These were tests of upper boundaries, induced by sudden spike to +10.00 in holdings, without any accumulation set up; and such operations are often probes on boundaries. Bear market trends which had been in place since mid-to-late-2010 must be negated in such set ups to confirm a large negation of worldwide bear market trends; otherwise it would serve to turn as a confirmation on worldwide deflationary business environments which had been in place generally since 2010. Hence current movement is a CRITICAL GAME CHANGER  till end of 2012).

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:

-10 ----- 0 ------+10

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:

negative (-ve) = shorting;

positive (+ve) = longing;

0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)

1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings

3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings

5-6: Strong strength / high holdings

7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings

9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store

Home: http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 5 December 2012, Wednesday, 3.35pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
5 December 2012, Wednesday, 3.35pm Singapore Time

China Stocks Market Rally. US Market Will Follow Through with Selling Down Tonight

European markets are 25 minutes away from opening, while US markets are 7 hours away from the Wednesday opening bell. 

Based on current latest computational model results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +7.416 to +8.489 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands' Calls holdings reduced from +10.00 (MAXIMUM) to +9.678 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator.

Posture by Big Hands Overall:

+ Push-up in Asia met with slight profit taking action today.
+ As highlighted last Friday, weaker Big Hands will start to profit-take on +10.00 while the stronger Hands will attempt to pump up more (role rotational play).
+ Majority of Calls are still being held on but also with profit taking mood now as per highlighted last Friday too.
+ Calls (Deeply in-the-money) taken profits of and reduced to +9.678 now, with profit taking postures.
+ Sentiments reached maximum (+10.00 previously) without the prior set up of accumulations. This usually has a short-squeeze favour.


+ At Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator = +10.00 in strength previously this week, it was a test of upper demarcations in worldwide markets last week as per highlighted (These were tests of upper boundaries, induced by sudden spike to +10.00 in holdings, without any accumulation set up; and such operations are often probes on boundaries. Bear market trends which had been in place since mid-to-late-2010 must be negated in such set ups to confirm a large negation of worldwide bear market trends; otherwise it would serve to turn as a confirmation on worldwide deflationary business environments which had been in place generally since 2010. Hence current movement will be a CRITICAL GAME CHANGER  till end of 2012).

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:

-10 ----- 0 ------+10

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:

negative (-ve) = shorting;

positive (+ve) = longing;

0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)

1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings

3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings

5-6: Strong strength / high holdings

7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings

9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store

Home: http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 4 December 2012, Tuesday, 3.59pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
4 December 2012, Tuesday, 3.59pm Singapore Time

European markets are 1 minute away from opening, while US markets are 6.5 hours away from the Tuesday opening bell. 

Based on current latest computational model results, Holdings index strength of Big Hands reduced from +9.069 to +7.416 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands' Calls holdings maintains at +10.00 (MAXIMUM) on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator.

Possibility of US immediate-term correctional selling tonight (Asian/Singapore Time).

Posture by Big Hands Overall:

+ Profit takings in immediate term as per expected since last Friday
+ Longs now reduced to +7.416. 
+ Usually weaker Big Hands will start to profit-take on +10.00 while the stronger Big Hands will attempt to pump up more (role rotational play) per highlighted last Friday.
+ Majority of Calls are still being held on but also with profit taking mood now as per highlighted last Friday.
+ Calls maintained at +10.00 (MAXI-load) with profit taking postures now.
+ Sentiments reached maximum without the prior set up of accumulations (Short-squeeze intentions)
+ Do bear in mind more retailers were attempting to join the shorting ranks based on strong shorting/selling signals triggered on worldwide charts as highlighted since last week. Retailers are now getting whipped.

+ At Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator = +10.00 in strength, it was a test of upper demarcations in worldwide markets last week as per highlighted (These were tests of upper boundaries induced by sudden spike to +10.00 in holdings without any accumulation set up and is often a probe of boundaries. Bear market trends which had been in place since mid-to-late-2010 must be negated in such set ups to confirm a large negation of worldwide bear market trends; otherwise it would serve to turn as a confirmation of worldwide deflationary business environments which had been in place generally since 2010. Hence current movement is a CRITICAL GAME CHANGER  till end of 2012).

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:

-10 ----- 0 ------+10

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:

negative (-ve) = shorting;

positive (+ve) = longing;

0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)

1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings

3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings

5-6: Strong strength / high holdings

7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings

9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store

Home: http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/

Olam International: 4 December 2012, Tuesday, 11.17am Singapore Time

Olam International: 4 December 2012, Tuesday, 11.17am Singapore Time

A follow-up from previous technical analyses on Olam where the price has indeed dived since warning in August 2012:

http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/search/label/Olam

As attached above, based on more advanced technical analysis, Olam will do a dead-cat-bounce escape wave within the RED ZONE. With or without the well-known Muddy Waters Report, its long term sell was inevitable based on long term T.A as highlighted in August 2012 (Olam was $1.90-$2.00 back then, before the Muddy Waters Hedge Fund released its Reports).

The first layer of selling pressure suppressing Olam is posed by the RED ZONE as above. This is the real battle/fighting zone, and because of the entire price structure as highlighted in August 2012:  http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/search/label/Olam, the RED ZONE will continue to be great selling pressures to get out of Olam.

$1.715-$1.77 poses the first powerful resistance inside the RED Killing Zone suppressing Olam until next year 2013. RED ZONE (December 2012-January 2012) is expected to be tested SUCCESSFULLY  as resistance.

Should Olam escape into the ORANGE ZONE, there will still be tremendous suppressive layer at $1.83-$1.89 where the most optimistic of long term holders will want to get out based on T.A. 

Technicals continue to be damaged and out-of-favour (And Technicals react 6-9 months ahead of Fundamentals, suggesting Olam fundamentals are not good). Getting out is the safest route as down-move, as had been anticipated, has been impulsive and rebounds are merely corrective (to get out) in structure. Since 2011-2012, Market has been judging Olam as a sell based on price structures (http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/search/label/Olam). Respect the market.

Home:

http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 3 December 2012, Monday, 6.25pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
3 December 2012, Monday, 6.25pm Singapore Time

European markets are into the 3rd hour of trading, while US markets are 4 hours away from the Monday opening bell. 

Based on current latest computational model results, Holdings index strength of Big Hands reduced from +10.00 (MAXIMUM) to +9.069 on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands' Calls holdings maintains at +10.00 (MAXIMUM) on the Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator.

Posture by Big Hands Overall:

+ Profits taking in immediate term as per expected last Friday
+ Longs now at +9.069
+ Usually weaker Big Hands will start to profit-take on +10.00 while the stronger Big Hands will attempt to pump up more (role rotational play) per highlighted last Friday.
+ Majority of Calls are still being held on but also with profit taking mood as per highlighted last Friday.
+ Calls maintained at +10.00 (MAXI-load) with profit taking postures now.
+ Sentiments reached maximum without the prior set up of accumulations (Short-squeeze intentions)
+ Do bear in mind more retailers were attempting to join the shorting ranks based on strong shorting/selling signals triggered on worldwide charts as highlighted since last week. Retailers are now getting whipped.

+ At Donovan Funds Flow Index Oscillator = +10.00 in strength, it was a test of upper demarcations in worldwide markets last week as per highlighted (These were tests of upper boundaries induced by sudden spike to +10.00 in holdings without any accumulation set up and is often a probe of boundaries. Bear market trends which had been in place since mid-to-late-2010 must be negated in such set ups to confirm a large negation of worldwide bear market trends; otherwise it would serve to turn as a confirmation of worldwide deflationary business environments which had been in place generally since 2010. Hence current movement is a CRITICAL GAME CHANGER  till end of 2012).

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:

-10 ----- 0 ------+10

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:

negative (-ve) = shorting;

positive (+ve) = longing;

0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)

1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings

3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings

5-6: Strong strength / high holdings

7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings

9-10:: Rally Mode in store / Plunging Mode in store

Home: http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/