USD-JPY: 26 August 2013, Monday, 7.40am Singapore Time

USD-JPY: 26 August 2013, Monday, 7.40am Singapore Time

Majority (more than 90%) of international market participants are long USD-JPY. 

They are all using logic to be bullish of this forex pair.

Longing USDJPY gives you a very COMFORTABLE FEELING because by logic this judgement is a sure winner. 

I am SHORT the USD-JPY giving a target of  ￥83.54

Shorting USDJPY gives you a very DISTASTEFUL FEELING because by logic this judgement is a sure loser. This is where I am in. To be at the minority side. 

The smart monies are unrolling, covering and buying back their last year's Yen shorts stealthily. They are getting shorts on USD-JPY (means buying Yen) while the herd are all on the opposite side longing USD-JPY (ie shorting Yen) on stale and outdated facts, which is how foolish money behave.

USD-JPY: 23 August 2013, Friday, 7.35pm Singapore Time

USD-JPY: 23 August 2013, Friday, 7.35pm Singapore Time

Established 4th Batch of  Shorts on USDJPY at ￥99.000
(Reverse Technical Analysis)

Maintains Target of ￥83.54
(Target profit of more than 1500 pips per contract)

(I am buying Japanese Yen when everybody is shorting Japanese Yen )
*Note: Buy JPY/USD = Short USD/JPY 

Refer to all USDJPY posts here:
http://donovan-ang.blogspot.sg/search/label/USD-JPY

Donovan Norfolk Ang

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 23 August 2013, Friday, 3.25pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):

For Worldwide Financial Markets:

23 August 2013, Friday, 3.25pm Singapore Time

Computed FFA For Worldwide Financial Markets

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the first hour of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 6 hours 05 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -7.960 to -5.655 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands' Puts Holdings changed from -5.484 to -5.584 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ 2nd consecutive day of profit-taking of initial batches of Shorts by Big Hands.
+ Big Hands had flipped from holdings in Longs to holdings in Shorts since 22 days ago.
+ Big Hands' Holdings: Still non-insignificant amount of Shorts, with Shorting-bias in STRENGTH and with Bearish Puts Holdings.
+ Immediate 1-2 day intra-day rebound execution in progress as per warned yesterday
+ More sell-downs still expected to take over in the short-mid term.
+ Longs should be cautious, with rebounds as shorting opportunities.
+ The short term and mid term rebounds of international financial markets have come to an end per anticipated since last week.
+ IMPULSIVE SELL-DOWNS still underway for mid term.
+ Cautions are to be taken.
+ Many international markets will resume testing bear market boundaries soon.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ Many international markets will be testing bear-bull boundaries after the short term rebounds worldwide.
+ Weak markets (e.g. Philippines, India, Korea etc) are already entering into Bear Market Zones at high points.
+ Strong markets (e.g. US, Singapore, Germany, etc) had held on to critical supports temporarily and will attempt to bounce off these critical supports; these critical supports will get tested repeatedly (their critical supports are being tested currently).
+ US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) will go on to make all time new highs while all other markets are in precarious modes.
+ Rebounds of emerging economies will merely be dead cat bounces.

In essence, there will be 3 groups of BIG MARKET MOVEMENTS from now:

1st Group (Weak Markets): 
Weak markets such as Korea, Philippines, Indonesia, Spain etc.
These markets already broke down critical supports which denote initial bear market stage; these will do dead cat bouncing back-tests (falling knife dead cat rebounds). 
Sell on rebounds.

2nd group (Mid-strength Markets): 
Singapore, Hong Kong, UK, France, etc
These markets will rebound off critical supports now (STI 2925-3065 pts, HSI 19000-19500 pts, FTSE-UK 5900-6000 pts as analysed previously), with no breakdowns yet. Refer to all past technical analyses.
Ride, observe and be cautiously ready to sell.

3rd grp (Strong Markets): 
US Markets of S&P500, DJIA and NASDAQ.
These markets may hover at all time new highs and throw a big array of confusions to traders, investors and analysts. While US hover around all time new highs, weak markets' rebounds will confirm bear market and mid-strength markets may transit to bear market phase in this rebound.
Ride and observe and be cautious.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:

-10 ----- 0 ------+10

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:

negative (-ve) = shorting;

positive (+ve) = longing;

0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)

1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings

3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings

5-6: Strong strength / high holdings

7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings

9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.

Donovan Norfolk Ang

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 22 August 2013, Thursday, 3.45pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):

For Worldwide Financial Markets:

22 August 2013, Thursday, 3.45pm Singapore Time

Computed FFA For Worldwide Financial Markets

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the first hour of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 5 hours 45 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -10.00 to -7.960 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands' Puts Holdings changed from -6.504 to -5.484 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Dual profit-takings today.
+ Profit-taking of initial batches of Shorts and Puts by Big Hands
+ Big Hands had flipped from holdings in Longs to holdings in Shorts since 21 days ago.
+ Holdings: Still significant amount of Shorts, with Shorting-bias in STRENGTH and with Bearish Puts Holdings.
+ Immediate 1-2 day intra-day rebound expected, before more sell-downs to take over in the short-mid term.
+ Longs should be cautious, with rebounds as shorting opportunities.
+ The short term and mid term rebounds of international financial markets have come to an end per anticipated since last week.
+ IMPULSIVE SELL-DOWNS still underway for mid term.
+ Cautions are to be taken.
+ European Markets and US Markets executed the sell-down within 24-72 hours per warned 3 days ago.
+ Many international markets will resume testing bear market boundaries soon.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ Many international markets will be testing bear-bull boundaries after the short term rebounds worldwide.
+ Weak markets (e.g. Philippines, India, Korea etc) are already entering into Bear Market Zones at high points.
+ Strong markets (e.g. US, Singapore, Germany, etc) had held on to critical supports temporarily and will attempt to bounce off these critical supports; these critical supports will get tested repeatedly (their critical supports are being tested currently).
+ US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) will go on to make all time new highs while all other markets are in precarious modes.
+ Rebounds of emerging economies will merely be dead cat bounces.

In essence, there will be 3 groups of BIG MARKET MOVEMENTS from now:

1st Group (Weak Markets): 
Weak markets such as Korea, Philippines, Indonesia, Spain etc.
These markets already broke down critical supports which denote initial bear market stage; these will do dead cat bouncing back-tests (falling knife dead cat rebounds). 
Sell on rebounds.

2nd group (Mid-strength Markets): 
Singapore, Hong Kong, UK, France, etc
These markets will rebound off critical supports now (STI 2925-3065 pts, HSI 19000-19500 pts, FTSE-UK 5900-6000 pts as analysed previously), with no breakdowns yet. Refer to all past technical analyses.
Ride, observe and be cautiously ready to sell.

3rd grp (Strong Markets): 
US Markets of S&P500, DJIA and NASDAQ.
These markets may hover at all time new highs and throw a big array of confusions to traders, investors and analysts. While US hover around all time new highs, weak markets' rebounds will confirm bear market and mid-strength markets may transit to bear market phase in this rebound.
Ride and observe and be cautious.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:

-10 ----- 0 ------+10

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:

negative (-ve) = shorting;

positive (+ve) = longing;

0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)

1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings

3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings

5-6: Strong strength / high holdings

7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings

9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.

Donovan Norfolk Ang

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 21 August 2013, Wednesday, 2.15pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):

For Worldwide Financial Markets:

21 August 2013, Wednesday, 2.15pm Singapore Time

Computed FFA For Worldwide Financial Markets

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are 45 minutes away from opening for trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 7 hours 00 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -10.00 to -10.00 (No Change) in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands' Puts Holdings changed from -6.390 to -6.504 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Dual Shorts today.
+ No covering back of shorts (ie no buy-back of shorts)
+ Big Hands had flipped from holdings in Longs to holdings in Shorts since 20 days ago.
+ Big Hands holdings is a maintenance of Shorts Holdings in MAX STRENGTH.
+ Big Hands consolidating Bearish Puts Holdings.
+ Big Hands' overall Shorting Posture on hand continue to stay persistent and confident.
+ Big Hands' Bearish Puts on hand have been persistent and relentless for past 6 weeks.
+ Longs should be cautious.
+ The short term rebounds of international financial markets have come to an end per anticipated.
+ IMPULSIVE SELL-DOWNS underway and to carry on for short-mid term.
+ Cautions are to be taken.
+ European Markets and US Markets executed the sell-down within 24-72 hours per warned 2 days ago.
+ Many international markets will resume testing bear boundaries soon.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ Many international markets will be testing bear-bull boundaries after the short term rebounds worldwide.
+ Weak markets (e.g. Philippines, India, Korea etc) are already entering into Bear Market Zones at high points.
+ Strong markets (e.g. US, Singapore, Germany, etc) had held on to critical supports temporarily and will attempt to bounce off these critical supports; these critical supports will get tested repeatedly (their critical supports are being tested currently).
+ US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) will go on to make all time new highs while all other markets are in precarious modes.
+ Rebounds of emerging economies will merely be dead cat bounces.

In essence, there will be 3 groups of BIG MARKET MOVEMENTS from now:

1st Group (Weak Markets): 
Weak markets such as Korea, Philippines, Indonesia, Spain etc.
These markets already broke down critical supports which denote initial bear market stage; these will do dead cat bouncing back-tests (falling knife dead cat rebounds). 
Sell on rebounds.

2nd group (Mid-strength Markets): 
Singapore, Hong Kong, UK, France, etc
These markets will rebound off critical supports now (STI 2925-3065 pts, HSI 19000-19500 pts, FTSE-UK 5900-6000 pts as analysed previously), with no breakdowns yet. Refer to all past technical analyses.
Ride, observe and be cautiously ready to sell.

3rd grp (Strong Markets): 
US Markets of S&P500, DJIA and NASDAQ.
These markets may hover at all time new highs and throw a big array of confusions to traders, investors and analysts. While US hover around all time new highs, weak markets' rebounds will confirm bear market and mid-strength markets may transit to bear market phase in this rebound.
Ride and observe and be cautious.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:

-10 ----- 0 ------+10

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:

negative (-ve) = shorting;

positive (+ve) = longing;

0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)

1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings

3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings

5-6: Strong strength / high holdings

7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings

9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.

Donovan Norfolk Ang

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 20 August 2013, Tuesday, 6.30pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):

For Worldwide Financial Markets:

20 August 2013, Tuesday, 6.30pm Singapore Time

Computed FFA For Worldwide Financial Markets

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the 4th hour of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 3 hours 00 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -10.00 to -10.00 (No Change) in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands' Puts Holdings changed from -6.473 to -6.390 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ No covering back of shorts (ie no buy-back of shorts)
+ Big Hands had flipped from holdings in Longs to holdings in Shorts since 19 days ago.
+ Big Hands holdings is an increase in Shorts Holdings to MAX STRENGTH.
+ Big Hands consolidating Bearish Puts Holdings.
+ Big Hands' overall Shorting Posture on hand continue to stay persistent and confident.
+ Big Hands' Bearish Puts on hand have been persistent and relentless for past 6 weeks.
+ Longs should be cautious.
+ The short term rebounds of international financial markets have come to an end per anticipated.
+ IMPULSIVE SELL-DOWNS underway and to carry on for short-mid term.
+ Cautions are to be taken.
+ European Markets and US Markets executed the sell-down within 24-72 hours per warned yesterday.
+ Many international markets will resume testing bear boundaries soon.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ Many international markets will be testing bear-bull boundaries after the short term rebounds worldwide.
+ Weak markets (e.g. Philippines, India, Korea etc) are already entering into Bear Market Zones at high points.
+ Strong markets (e.g. US, Singapore, Germany, etc) had held on to critical supports temporarily and will attempt to bounce off these critical supports; these critical supports will get tested repeatedly (their critical supports are being tested currently).
+ US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) will go on to make all time new highs while all other markets are in precarious modes.
+ Rebounds of emerging economies will merely be dead cat bounces.

In essence, there will be 3 groups of BIG MARKET MOVEMENTS from now:

1st Group (Weak Markets): 
Weak markets such as Korea, Philippines, Indonesia, Spain etc.
These markets already broke down critical supports which denote initial bear market stage; these will do dead cat bouncing back-tests (falling knife dead cat rebounds). 
Sell on rebounds.

2nd group (Mid-strength Markets): 
Singapore, Hong Kong, UK, France, etc
These markets will rebound off critical supports now (STI 2925-3065 pts, HSI 19000-19500 pts, FTSE-UK 5900-6000 pts as analysed previously), with no breakdowns yet. Refer to all past technical analyses.
Ride, observe and be cautiously ready to sell.

3rd grp (Strong Markets): 
US Markets of S&P500, DJIA and NASDAQ.
These markets may hover at all time new highs and throw a big array of confusions to traders, investors and analysts. While US hover around all time new highs, weak markets' rebounds will confirm bear market and mid-strength markets may transit to bear market phase in this rebound.
Ride and observe and be cautious.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:

-10 ----- 0 ------+10

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:

negative (-ve) = shorting;

positive (+ve) = longing;

0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)

1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings

3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings

5-6: Strong strength / high holdings

7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings

9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.

Donovan Norfolk Ang

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 19 August 2013, Monday, 3.30pm Singapore Time

Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):

For Worldwide Financial Markets:

19 August 2013, Monday, 3.30pm Singapore Time

Computed FFA For Worldwide Financial Markets

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the first 30 minutes of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 6 hours 00 minutes away from opening. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -8.545 to -10.00 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. Big Hands' Puts Holdings changed from -5.589 to -6.473 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Immediate-Term/Short-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Big Hands had flipped from holdings in Longs to holdings in Shorts since 18 days ago.
+ Big Hands holdings an increase in Shorts Holdings to MAX STRENGTH.
+ Big Hands piling up some more Bearish Puts Holdings.
+ Big Hands' overall Shorting Posture on hand continue to stay persistent and has increased today.
+ Big Hands' Bearish Puts on hand have been persistent and relentless for past 6 weeks.
+ Longs should be cautious.
+ The short term rebounds of international financial markets are coming to an end.
+ IMPULSIVE SELL-DOWNS coming and to carry on for short-mid term.
+ Cautions are to be taken.
+ Possible further European Markets and US Markets sell-down within 24-72 hours.
+ Many international markets will resume testing bear boundaries soon.

+ On a side-note, USD-JPY to begin a powerful sell-down to counter-balance the sell-downs in EUR-USD, USD-CHF and AUD-USD so as to maintain a balanced USD Index.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Mid-Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

+ Many international markets will be testing bear-bull boundaries after the short term rebounds worldwide.
+ Weak markets (e.g. Philippines, India, Korea etc) are already entering into Bear Market Zones at high points.
+ Strong markets (e.g. US, Singapore, Germany, etc) had held on to critical supports temporarily and will attempt to bounce off these critical supports; these critical supports will get tested repeatedly (their critical supports are being tested currently).
+ US markets (DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ) will go on to make all time new highs while all other markets are in precarious modes.
+ Rebounds of emerging economies will merely be dead cat bounces.

In essence, there will be 3 groups of BIG MARKET MOVEMENTS from now:

1st Group (Weak Markets): 
Weak markets such as Korea, Philippines, Indonesia, Spain etc.
These markets already broke down critical supports which denote initial bear market stage; these will do dead cat bouncing back-tests (falling knife dead cat rebounds). 
Sell on rebounds.

2nd group (Mid-strength Markets): 
Singapore, Hong Kong, UK, France, etc
These markets will rebound off critical supports now (STI 2925-3065 pts, HSI 19000-19500 pts, FTSE-UK 5900-6000 pts as analysed previously), with no breakdowns yet. Refer to all past technical analyses.
Ride, observe and be cautiously ready to sell.

3rd grp (Strong Markets): 
US Markets of S&P500, DJIA and NASDAQ.
These markets may hover at all time new highs and throw a big array of confusions to traders, investors and analysts. While US hover around all time new highs, weak markets' rebounds will confirm bear market and mid-strength markets may transit to bear market phase in this rebound.
Ride and observe and be cautious.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:

-10 ----- 0 ------+10

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:

negative (-ve) = shorting;

positive (+ve) = longing;

0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)

1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings

3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings

5-6: Strong strength / high holdings

7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings

9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.

Donovan Norfolk Ang