Wednesday, 26 March 2014

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 26 March 2014, Wednesday, 7.50pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
26 March 2014, Wednesday, 7.50pm Singapore Time
Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
26 March 2014, Wednesday

Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the first 3 hours 50 minutes of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 1 hour 40 minutes away from opening for trading.

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from +6.389 to +8.045 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Hands' Calls Holdings on hand changed from +1.436 to +1.852 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ 26th of March of 2014:
+ Worldwide Big Hands are dual longs today for the 3rd consecutive day and for executing Immediate Term Intradays' rebound (Intradays' Dead Cat Bounce).
+ However, all 3 Short-Term, Mid-Term and Long-Term trend outlook remains bearish-biased and downtrend-biased.
+ Big Hands' Bullish Calls continue to be at consolidating weakened positions.
+ Big Hands have strengthened intentions of switching to Bearish Puts.
+ In holistic consideration of the macro-analysis:

+ Financial Markets worldwide are generally in the following structures:
+ Immediate term: Technical Rebound
+ Short term: Bearish Reversal (Reversal to Bearishness) in execution
+ Mid term: Transition to or in the midst of Downtrend
+ Long Term: Transition to Nascent Bear Markets

+ The short-term bearish reversal of March 2014 (refer Funds Flow Analysis Chart) is now a tentative confirmation that financial markets are attempting to transit to long term bear markets now.
+ Markets are bearish-biased: short, sell and exit stocks & equities generally on opportunistic intraday technical rebounds.

This bearish reversal was warned ahead at the end of February 2014 and during the first 2 weeks of March 2014 just before FED Chairman Janet Yellen announced the raise in year-end 2015 interest rate expectations to 1%, above market consensus of 0.65%. 

Refer to these warnings before FED Chairman's rates announcement that is bearish for markets:
+ At FFA of +10.000 previously, the short term technical rebounds worldwide are confirming the birth of a new bear market, and these technical rebounds were meant to serve as noises to confuse the markets.
+ After the shorts have been squeezed in February 2014, the financial markets worldwide are to resume bleeding the longs and investment portfolios for the long term.
+ If one is generally still holding investment portfolios or longs in stocks and equities, one is expected to suffer further portfolio damages, a warning that was issued since November-December of 2013 based on totality analysis. 
+ Nascent long term bear market is coming sooner than one would expect and any immediate term rebounds are good opportunities to exit.

Side-Note:
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Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
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Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.




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1 comment:

  1. Hi Donovan, how about gold? It's been falling, but will it rise again?

    ReplyDelete