Monday, 30 December 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 30 December 2013, Monday, 7.45pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
30 December 2013, Monday, 7.45pm Singapore Time
The Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
30 December 2013, Monday


Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are in the first 3 hours 45 minutes of trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 2 hours 45 minutes away from opening for trading. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -7.136 to -7.323 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index OscillatorOn the other front, Big Hands' Puts Holdings on hand changed from -3.365 to -3.553 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Big Hands are dual shorts today despite market technical rebounds on thin volume, ie setting up rebound to short today: Bearish.
+ Big Hands are persistently shorts: be highly cautious.
+ Big Hands increased Shorts today.
+ Big Hands increased Puts today.
+ Puts remain as speculative and non-protective.
+ World markets will be looking to Dow Jones Industrial Average for cues: DJIA around 16600 points will trigger the next wave of correction.
+ Worldwide markets are still bearish biased.
+ Mid Term Corrections worldwide expected to resume in January 2014.
+ Longists should be cautious.
+ Shortists should short on any technical rebound which are essentially for selling at good prices.
+ Hot Money and Smart Money may rotate away from Equities Market into the Metals Market.

+ Timeframe of worldwide selling: To last until February 2014.

+Mid term selling climax is still to be expected. Note that if the attempted -10.000 maximum shorts cannot bring about a sell-down climax, the long term outlook for world financial markets will reverse into a long term bull market.
+ Financial Markets worldwide are officially entering into critical stage from November 2013 to early 2014 (Tally with all your index charts, they are all at critical multi-year resistances).

+ The following are the short-mid term sell-off correction targets as per analysed since 7 weeks ago with some new updates:
(you might like to refer to the accompanying detailed analysis links attached too):

1. Malaysian FKLI: 
1,790 points and a whipsaw just below 1790 points as first target. ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 12 NOV 2013
and 
breakdown of 1780 points as second target  ---> SECOND TARGET HIT ON 13 NOV 2013
and 
1776 points as third target
and 
breakdown of 1776 points as forth target

2. Hong Kong Hang Seng Index: 
22,770 points as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 8 NOV 2013
and 
and 
21604.4 points as third target

3. India NIFTY Index:
6001 points as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 21 NOV 2013
and

4. UK FTSE100: 
6500-6550 points ---> TARGET HIT ON 3 DEC 2013

5. Germany DAX: 
8700-8750 points

8. US NASDAQ Composite: 
3700 points

9. EURO STOXX 50:
2930-2950 points ---> TARGET HIT ON 12 DEC 2013

10. Dow Jones Industrial Index (DJIA):
14750 points as first target
and 
breakdown of 14750 points as second target

11. EURUSD: 
1.34000 ---> TARGET HIT ON 7 NOV 2013 
12. GBPUSD: 
1.59000 as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT TWICE IN NOV 2013
and 
1.57000-1.57500 as second target

13. NZDUSD: 
0.81000 ---> TARGET HIT ON 29 NOV 2013

14. AUD, NZD, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD, CHF will generally be weak until the corrections end. 

15. Euronext Brussels Bel20 Index:
2740-2780 points as first target ---> FIRST TARGET HIT ON 6 DEC 2013
and
2600-2632 points as second target

16. Singapore Straits Times Index (STI):
2600 points as target

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

The depth of this anticipated short-mid term sell off will reveal clearer skies and whether previous long term outlook still hold.

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Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
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Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.



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