Friday, 15 November 2013

Funds Flow Analysis (FFA): 15 November 2013, Friday, 2.50pm Singapore Time



Current Latest Computed Funds Flow Analysis (FFA):
For Worldwide Financial Markets:
15 November 2013, Friday, 2.50pm Singapore Time
The Donovan Norfolk Ang Funds Flow Analysis Indicator 
for Worldwide Financial Markets 
15 November 2013, Friday
Broad Markets / Big Markets / Big Wind Directions

European markets are 1 hour 10 minutes away from opening for trading, while US markets (Dow, S&P500 and NASDAQ) are 7 hours 40 minutes away from the opening bell. 

Based on current latest computational results, Holdings Index Strength of Big Hands changed from -10.000 to -10.000 (MAXIMUM SHORTING POWER) in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. On the other front, Big Hands' Puts Holdings on hand changed from -5.618 to -3.792 in strength on the Donovan Norfolk Funds Flow Index Oscillator. 

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Short-Term / Mid-Term Posture by Big Hands:

+ Big Hands took profits of a large part of their Bearish PUTS today.
+ Big Hands are still SHOW HAND in their shorts in international financial markets.
+ In terms of Shorting, Big Hands are ALL IN.
+ Big Hands' Short-Term Holdings are still shorts with MAXIMUM Strength.
+ Big Hands' PUTS Holdings are reduced in strength.
+ Overall: Market movers, Big Hands and Smart Money are very HIGH CONFIDENCE in their shorts, and are still setting up international markets for shorting.
+ All these are despite any immediate term rebound today which are short term escape waves.
+ A CLIMATIC/CLIMAX Sell-down is still in place now.
+ Climax in sell-down will see markets selling off relentlessly to cause panic and great fear.
+ Overall Short Term Outlook: Bearish-biased with high level shorts.
+ Fear has not set in yet and fear has to be struck into the hearts of majority of market participants.
+ Temasek Holdings, Singapore’s state-owned investment firm & ninth-biggest state investment company, according to the Sovereign Wealth Fund Institute , exited Facebook Inc. (FB), Monsanto (MON) Co. and Air Products & Chemicals Inc. (APD) in the third quarter as it pared U.S. stock holdings (Source: Bloomberg)
+ BlackRock Inc.’s Laurence D. Fink, who oversees the world’s biggest money manager, said Nov. 12 that stocks may decline as much as 15 percent because of political risks in China, Japan, France  (Source: Bloomberg)
+ Some protections and cautions are still warranted if one is late longs in Stocks, Equities, Indices, Commodities, Forex: EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, CANADIAN DOLLAR CAD, SWISS FRANC CHF AND JAPANESE YEN JPY, Gold, Silver, Crude Palm Oil and Crude Oil. 

Posture:
+ Big Hands' persistence in Puts (refer to chart above) coupled with switch to shorts last week were strong signs of intentions: Short-Term Correction still brewing VERY strong.
+ Big Hands Shorts and Puts are not only STRONG but STICKY and PERSISTENT.
+ Market-Movers are still looking to execute short term sell-down on indices, index stocks, big cap stocks and mid cap stocks worldwide as per reiterated last week (Note: penny stocks and small caps do not need to respond to index/big market corrections).
+ Short-term Corrections are expected to be executed with more impulse; however, do bear in mind that mid-term worldwide market outlook is still upwave-biased despite this anticipated short term sell-down with potential force.

Side-Note:
Wisdom from Donovan Norfolk Ang THE PAST FEW DAYS: 

"Markets will ignore anything good, be it on the news side, fundamental side or technical side, as long as Big Hands are large Shorts with large Puts."
(ECB cutting of rates ---> Bullish ---> Markets to Sell-down on Bullish News Front)

+ The following are the short term sell-down correction targets as per reiterated since last week:

(you might like to refer to the accompanying detailed analysis links attached too):

1. Malaysian FKLI: 
1,790 points and a whipsaw just below 1790 points as first target. ---> TARGET HIT ON 12 NOV 2013
and 
breakdown of 1780 points as second target  ---> TARGET HIT ON 13 NOV 2013

3. India NIFTY Index: 
5750 points

4. UK FTSE100: 
6500-6550 points.

5. US NASDAQ Composite: 
3700 points.

8. EURUSD: 
1.34000 ---> TARGET HIT ON 7 NOV 2013 
9. GBPUSD: 
1.59000 as first target ---> TARGET HIT TWICE IN NOV 2013
and 
1.57000-1.57500 as second target

10. NZDUSD: 
0.81000

11. AUD, NZD, EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD, CHF will generally be weak until the corrections end. 

+ FFA Litmus Test Results:
Short-term corrections are expected to be executed with more force now in International financial markets worldwide: Stocks, Equities, Indices, Commodities, Forex: EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, CANADIAN DOLLAR CAD, SWISS FRANC CHF AND JAPANESE YEN JPY, Gold, Silver, Crude Palm Oil and Crude Oil. These are, however, still within a mid-term relief rally bounce and any short term corrections are to be judged as healthy retracements within the larger mid-term upwaves.

+ Below are the much larger mid-term upwave targets that still hold:

+ Financial Markets, Commodities Markets, Oil, Gold, Silver and Forex markets (EURUSD, GBPUSD, Swiss Franc, Japanese Yen, Canadian Dollar, AUDUSD, NZDUSD) are still expected to have some more upside against the US Dollar, and this upside is expected to be healthy until I turn big reversal.

+ Expectations are still unchanged: FCPO 3000RM as target, Gold $1500-$1550 as first target and $1750-$1800 as second target, Silver $30.000 as target, Golden Agri (Palm Oil Stock) S$0.60 as 1st target and S$0.74 as 2nd target, AUDUSD $0.96 as first target and $1.00 parity as 2nd target, USDJPY ￥83.54-￥84.00 as final target, India CNX Nifty Index 6188-6320 as up-move target and break-out of 6320 points for uncharted rally as second target, and Oil $118.00-$120.00 as tentative target, FKLI 1900 points as target, or until I turn big reversal.

+ Special Note: 
Each of the respective asset class markets (Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Palm Oil, Commodities, Forex, Stocks and Worldwide Stock Market Indices) have moved in my directions since.

+ So far, only Indian Nifty Index, AUDUSD has hit initial targets as above listed. 
+ More upsides in worldwide financial markets (Stocks, Equities, Indices, Commodities, Forex: EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, CANADIAN DOLLAR CAD, SWISS FRANC CHF AND JAPANESE YEN JPY, Gold, Silver, Crude Palm Oil and Crude Oil)  are still expected after this short term correction selldown (refer past analyses).
+ Japan's QE effects are wearing out, Nikkei-225 may become the weakest link of international financial markets when the rising tide ends.

Broad/Big Market (Big Wind Direction) Long Term Outlook by Big Hands:

The depth of this anticipated short term sell-down will reveal clearer skies and whether previous long term outlook still hold.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Donovan Big Hands Funds Flow Computational Oscillator
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Index Oscillator:
-10 ----- 0 ------+10
Donovan's Funds Flow Analysis Strength-Index Scale Key:
negative (-ve) = shorting;
positive (+ve) = longing;
0: No shorts and no longs (direction-less)
1-2: Weak strength / weak holdings
3-4: Moderate strength / moderate holdings
5-6: Strong strength / high holdings
7-8:Very strong strength / very high holdings
9-10:: Rally Mode in store if +ve / Plunging Mode in store if -ve

Implication of Broad Markets/Big Markets/Big Wind Indices Directions
If it is a rising tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally rise;
If it is a receding tide in Index Big Wind, most or almost all stock boats generally go lower.
Hence the importance of Big Wind Directions blown by Big Hands.



at

1 comment:

  1. primepeng15 November 2013 at 21:26

    Soros bought put with his fund. He is bearish. I will be waiting for the next rally

    ReplyDelete